When McCain's campaign ran aground earlier in the year in the
wake of the immigration debate and his campaign's financial woes
many counted him out. The question now is whether he come back not
only politically but financially. The good news for McCain: he is
making hay out of his Woodstock quip with two ads, one using Fox
footage( to which Fox objects) and one without. Both ads are running in what
McCain spokesperson Jill Hazelbaker describes as a "significant
statewide buy" in New Hampshire although she declined to give
details as to the extent/duration of the buy. His latest McCain Update makes good use of the
buzz over his ad explaining : "Our latest ad only begins to expose
Hillary Clinton's attempts to spend tax payers' money on frivolous,
wasteful projects. As John McCain said Sunday night, 'No one can be
president of the United States that supports projects such as
these.' Your contribution will help make sure this holds true." The
bad news: his financial situation remains precarious. Hazelbaker indicates no
decision has been made on whether to accept matching funds. But the
moment of truth may be drawing near. Without funds, he may not have
the resources for additional buys in NH or in his other identified
battleground states of Iowa and South Carolina (not to mention
other possible targets such as Michigan and Florida). But there is
good reason why the option to receive matching funds is the last,
last resort for campaigns.Under matching fund rules candidates would be limited in
primaries to expenditure caps in each state, some of which are
quite low( a bit over $800,000 in NH for example). In the general
election the restricted expenditures for matching fund recipients
become even more problematic. Although exact figures for the 2008
limits are not yet out, the FEC indicates that if the election were
held this year a candidate receiving matching funds would be
limited to $81.78M in the general election. In the face of
Hillary's gargantuan fundraising machine this would certainly be a
huge handicap for McCain. Bottom line: McCain's debate performance,
a revival of favorable media coverage and this latest ad campaign
may be his best and last chance to turn his campaign's financial
ship around.