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New Poll

The LAT/Bloomberg national poll is out and it has lots of interesting stats. First: Rudy 32%, Thompson 15%, McCain 13%, Romney 11% and Huckabee 7%. (In June Rudy led Thompson by only 6 pts.) Even more interesting is the breakdown among subgroups within the GOP. Rudy leads in every group except among the Christian Right where Thompson leads 25-23% (in this category Huckabee -- wow -- outpolls Romney 14-9%) but McCain comes close to Rudy among moderates/liberals trailing only by 2 pts. Among voters who go to religious services once a week or more Rudy leads Thompson 29-17%(here Romney noses out Huckabee 13-11%) . But good news for everyone: only 36% are certain of their choice. There are interesting issue questions on immigration (GOP voters they favor an enforcement plus guest worker plan over enforcement only 50-45%[but amnesty is not given as an option]), abortion (among GOP voters, 68-29% illegal to legal with gradations in between,), and gay marriage ( for GOP voters 45% say no marriage or civil union but 31% are ok with civil union). The bad news: everyone loses to Hillary but Rudy is at least under double digits. (On this, you poll gurus should look at the methodology explanation at the end -- a bit confusing what the ratio of Democrats to Republicans was for the general election match ups.) Oh - Hillary leads Obama 48-17% (think Secretariat in the 1973 Belmont).

topics:
Abortion, Immigration

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