The influential social
conservatives who comprise the Arlington Group met over the weekend
to discuss the possibility of endorsing a presidential candidate
and could not reach a consensus, according to a source familiar
with the process.
Though leaders of the individual organizations may make their
own endorsements, those selections "cannot be considered a blanket
endorsement by the 'Religious Right,'" according to the source.
While many leaders want to endorse fan favorite Mike Huckabee,
others are more hesitant. The source informed me that "the dilemma
is over whether to choose the preferred candidate of their
constituents or go with the pragmatic choice and risk offending our
base."
According to the source, James Dobson of Focus on the Family
likes Mitt Romney, Gary Bauer of American Values prefers Fred
Thompson, and Don Wildmon of the American Family Association likes
Huckabee. Tony Perkins of the Family Research Council is still on
the fence, but nearing a decision.
Social conservative leaders understand that splitting up the
vote may make a Rudy Giuliani nomination more likely. While there
was a sense going into the weekend that the leaders would possibly
coalesce around Romney for practical reasons, Huckabee's rock star
reception at the Value Voters Summit made things more
difficult.
Interestingly, the source described a "new pragmatic narrative"
that may be forming: "None of the top-tier can beat Hillary anyway
so why risk offending the base by snubbing Huckabee?"
Either way, social conservative leaders are in a bind.
"If we don't support Huckabee we tick off religious
conservatives," the source lamented. "If we push Huckabee we tick
off everyone else. It's a tough situation to be in."