We saw a
Texas poll over the weekend and here is another deep
Red state poll,in which Rudy is now leading Thompson. In North
Carolina Thompson lost 6 pts and now trails Rudy 21-19% with Romney
at 16%. This
story out of South Carolina explains what many find is Rudy's
surprising appeal in the
South. My own sense is that these Texas and North Carolina
polls show two things: 1) a cooling of enthusiasm for Thompson(will
the debate help him bounce back?) and 2) Rudy's tough guy image
continues to play well in Republicans strongholds despite his
social views. A significant part of that tough guy image is his
choice of enemies -- government bureaucrats, Yasser Arafat and
Hillary Clinton, and his most recent addition to the pantheon, NY
pornographers, who he reminds audiences he chased out of Times
Square. If Thompson does not bounce back and Romney can not
overcome resistance in the South (Is it religion? Or is it the flip
side of Giuliani-a guy not tough enough?) some of the Super Tuesday
Red States may be opportunities for Rudy.