To some extent Romney is a victim of his own success. He rounds
up supporters, transport and registers them and gets 300 plus
votes. That's a sign he has active volunteers, paid staff and a
base of support. His opponents sneer that he "paid" for his votes
but this is how a straw poll works. Since we have an open primary
in Michigan others who have money have a more level playing field
through paid media. As for McCain, Michigan like New Hampshire
offers him a state where Independents can cross over to vote and
where he's won before. Thompson both on the speech reviews and
straw poll results demonstrates why pundits have been harsh -- he
needs to get his act together and fast. (And there is still no
evidence of a public schedule for Thompson for this upcoming week.)
As for Rudy, Mackinac may suggest that, like McCain, he is his
campaign's best asset and through retail events and media his
campaign needs to translate what voters and commentators in the
Mackinac Conference room observed to the primary electorate as a
whole. One good place to do that: New Hampshire where town halls
and debates count and his stand on social issues may be more
compatible with GOP voters with a libertarian streak.
UPDATE: A somewhat similar take on the outcome from someone actually there.