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For all the talk among pundits about Fred's flubs, staff changes, and bungled roll out, his poll numbers are looking pretty good. Depending on which ones you choose to believe, he's either surging or holding steady. Whether the problems that pundits are writing about now will prove fatal for Fred down the road is up for deabte, but at this point he should be seen as a formidable candidate. Does he have weaknesses? Sure. But if you were to analyze each of the GOP candidates individually in a vacuum, the only logical conclusion you could reach is that none of them can win the nomination. Somebody has to, and Fred has a lot going for him.