The great Kate O'Beirne takes exception to my piece in
theNY Observeras to why
conservatives seem to be approving of Rudy's candidacy. Just a few
thoughts: 1) The conventional thinking was that he wouldn't make it
out of the box and social conservatives would descend on him.
Perhaps they are in a state of shock but they have not yet done so.
He leads in polls among all Republicans, social conservatives and
Evangelicals. The piece is not predictive of his ability to win,
and Romney -- who is looking very strong -- may in fact be the
three-legged stool proponent some conservatives are searching for.
However, a lot of conservatives, and a lot of social conservatives,
do like Rudy (or at least tell pollsters they do) and there are
reasons for it, many of which I discuss. 2) Contrary to
Ms.O'Beirne's contention, I do not "condescend" to social
conservatives. Indeed I give them credit for knowing what Rudy's
positions are. I do not assume that they are ignorant of his widely
known views. I do think they are considering their support
strategically in light of the available options and the prospect of
a Hillary presidency. 3) Ms. O'Beirne's conclusion that Rudy may
win but it will not be "because conservatives have grown up" raises
an interesting possibility that a Rudy win may represent a
fundamental readjustment of the GOP and the relative strength of
social conservatives. 4) I do heartily agree that the race is fluid and there are
multiple roads to the nomination.