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Fred's Pollster

Fred's pollster argues that his late entry into the race isn't a problem because so many voters make up their mind late in the race. To an extent this is true. As long time GOP strategist and McCain supporter Charles Black pointed out in an interview earlier this summer, only about 10% of voters actually follow politics outside the immediate election period. However, the argument in this case seems to be a nonsequitur. The issue isn't when people decide, it's whether the delayed entry has made it too hard for Thompson to put in place an organization and campaign that will be there to help people decide -- whenever they do -- that he has what it takes to win. In caucus states like Iowa that window may have already opened and closed. There is a better argument that in large states where media plays a larger role --Florida and Super Duper Tuesday states -- the entry date makes little difference provided you have enough money to buy ads. If money is once again the key we'll know more perhaps if Thompson does indeed release his numbers for July, August and September with the other candidates in about 45 days.

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More Blog Posts by Jennifer Rubin

http://spectator.org/blog/2007/09/02/freds-pollster

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