An ARG Iowa poll earlier in the week showed
only a ten point gap between Romney and Rudy. ONE Polls shows Romney
cruising at 35%, Rudy at 12% and Fred and Huckabee at 11% and
McCain at 7% behind even Tom Tancredo. This seems closer to the
norm( Romney leads in RealClearPolitics by an average of 17.5%). This raises some
interesting questions. Does Fred really try to win in this caucus
state with zero organization or does he blow it off altogether for
fear Huckabee and other second tiers will finish ahead of him? (As
noted yesterday, he's spending 2 1/2 days there on his kick off so
perhaps he thinks he can't ignore both NH-- where the pesky New
Englanders may be peeved about trading Leno for their debate-- and
Iowa.) Do McCain and Rudy continue to make a push or focus instead
on NH, Michigan, SC and Florida? These decisions may turn once
again on the primary calendar. If Wyoming is going to perch on
January 5, Iowa may be pushed into holiday time and a dim memory by
the time the January primaries roll around.