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We now have, shall I say, a droplet of evidence supporting the thesis that Fred Thompson has hurt himself by waiting too long. It comes in the form of Rasmussen's daily tracking poll:

While daily fluctuations are as likely to reflect statistical noise as real changes in the race, it's worth noting that Giuliani has been ahead of Thompson or tied with him each day in August. During July, the reverse was generally true.

Giuliani now attracts support from 28% of Likely Republican Primary Voters, his highest total since early in May. As for Thompson, his support has slipped below the 20% mark for the first time since the summer began. Thompson is now the top choice for 19% while former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney attracts 12% support and Arizona Senator John McCain is clinging to double digit territory at 10%.

There is still clearly an opening for Thompson in the race, and he may very well get a boost once he officially announces, but assuming he was going to get in, it seems he would have been better off at least making his intentions known earlier.

topics:
John McCain, NATO