Quin, I would have to disagree with your suggestion that the Fed
"send not one but two signals at its meetings, with those signals
deliberately appearing to contradict each other." The problem in
doing that is that by creating excessive confusion in the market
about what the Fed's thinking is, you increase the likelihood that
investors will make decisions based on wildly incorrect
assumptions, creating panic, and massive volatility over time. Of
all the things that Wall Street doesn't like, uncertainty is at the
top of the list. Investors like for things to be predictable, and
all of the models that analysts use to help investors make
decisions are based on limiting uncertainty, and it would make no
sense, as a matter of policy, to deliberately introduce more
uncertainty into the market. One of the great achievements of Alan
Greenspan is that he ushered in an era of openness in the Fed, so
that investors weren't making decisions completely in the dark, and
markets have been much more stable as a result. It would be a huge
mistake to return to the old way of doing things, when
comprehending Fed policy was a matter of guesswork.