I leave it to others to speculate as to whether Newt will join
the race. Either way, he stands to play a key and perhaps decisive
role in determining the nominee. If he chooses not to run but to
endorse another candidate it could be one of the few endorsements
that really matters since it offers the prospect of Newt playing a
role in the endorsee's administration. If, on the other hand, he
chooses to run he can shape the debates and the race even if he
can't win it. Clearly he has his eye on a theme, one I believe is
key but currently underappreciated, that managerial competence is
crucial to restoring GOP credibility and getting government reform
back on track. This focus will favor two candidates with executive
experience and track records and disadvantage two who come up short
in this area. Second, Newt has little patience for fluff and
platitudes so any candidate who hopes to slip through on tried and
true nostrums without detailed policy proposals should be
forewarned. You can only imagine a Newt stiletto comment in a
debate like "Well that was a nice soundbite but I never heard a
solid prescription for solving X." That type of comment coming from
the GOP's chief wonk would carry significant weight. So if you
doubt Newt could win the nomination, don't doubt he could hugely
influence who wins.