Though I consider myself a skeptic,
Mark Helprin has a characteristically thoughtful (though
uncharacteristically dovish)
piece in the NY Times, arguing that
this may be the best chance for peace between Israel and the
Palestinians since Egypt and Israel came to terms almost 30 years
ago. Helprin takes a contrarian view on the Lebanon War, arguing
that it actually "chastened" Hezbollah. He also believes that Hamas
overplayed its hand, and supports the strategy of helping Mahmoud
Abbas economically develop the West Bank:
The starving and oppressed Gazans who watch Hamas
fire rockets, the chief effect of which is to summon Israeli tanks,
may soon see a prosperous West Bank at the brink of statehood and
at peace with its neighbors and the world. The quarantine of Gaza
will cast a bright light upon the normalization of the West Bank.
And although Hamas leaders portray Mr. Abbas as a collaborator, it
is they who may be held to account for keeping more than a million
of their own people hostage to a gratuitous preference for struggle
over success.
Fearful of Iran, the Arab states may also be more cooperative:
The sudden and intense commonality of interest between the
Palestinian Authority and Israel is the equivalent of the
Israeli-Egyptian core of 1977. But today, the Arabs, in the second
circle, have largely reversed position. Fearful of Iran's
sponsorship of war, chaos and revolution, they will apply their
weight against the rejectionists.
Egypt, the Persian Gulf states and Jordan have so
much to contend with at home and in the east that they cannot
afford an active front in their midst, and are therefore forming
ranks against Iran, Hezbollah and Hamas, bringing most of the rest
of the Arab states with them.
This is extraordinary and it is where we are now:
on the verge of a rare alignment of Israel and the Palestinian
Authority, the leading Arab nations and the major powers...