Just when political junkies thought they had
mastered the primary calendar comes word Ohio and Michigan may be
moving their dates up to late January. In the most recent polls
Giuliani leads in Ohio in the Strategic Vision poll at 25% with
Romney at 15% and McCain and Thompson at 14%. In Michigan, despite
Romney’s family ties he polled in latest Quinnipiac poll at only
8%, with McCain at 14%, Thompson at 18% and Giuliani at 24%. Moving
up these large states with expensive media markets will once again
put a premium on money and organization and candidates with more
urban appeal. Political gurus will continue to debate whether these
states detract from or add to the importance of the earliest states
(Iowa and New Hampshire) but clearly candidates will have to divert
time and money to Ohio and Michigan if these primary dates leapfrog
Super Duper Tuesday.