The NY Timesreports that the White House has
begun a debate over a possible pullout from Iraq with support
eroding among Senate Republicans. The WSJ,
meanwhile, editorializes:
The last of the brigades President Bush ordered for
his military surge in Iraq only arrived in the country last month,
and they have been heavily engaged with al Qaeda in the Sunni
triangle around Baghdad as part of the new military strategy. So
it's especially distressing that Republican Senators should decide
that this is the time to separate themselves from Mr. Bush on
Iraq.
If the U.S. does end up withdrawing from Iraq in what is widely
viewed as a defeat, many war supporters such as editorialists at
the WSJ will argue that surge was showing
signs of success, and if it weren't for Democrats, the media, and
weak Republican Senators, we may have won. Just for the record, I
do believe that the surge should be given more time to work before
we consider withdrawal, however, I don't think that President Bush
should escape blame if mounting political pressure forces him to
withdraw sooner than he would have liked. The truth is, both before
the invasion, and for years after the invasion, President Bush was
encouraged to send more troops to Iraq--including prominently by
John McCain. Bush could have replaced Rumsfeld and attempted a
sustained surge in early 2005, from a position of strength after
winning re-election. Not only would the political environment been
more receptive, but it would have been before the sectarian
violence spiraled out of control in Iraq, so the chances of success
would have been greater. Now that Republican support is starting to
peel back, many war supporters are arguing that the surge has only
been in full effect for a month, and hasn't been given enough of a
chance. While I agree, it must also be said that the long troop
deployment time was again, a legacy of Rumsfeld's stubborn refusal
to increase the size of the military while fighting two wars at
once. There is no reason why the American military should have
taken 4-5 months to deploy 20,000 troops. So now we're in a
situation in which even though the surge has only been in full
effect for about a month, in the public consciousness, it has been
going on since Bush announced it in January. The point of all of
this is while it's easy to blame the media, the politicizing of the
war by the opposition party, and the impatience of the American
people, like it or not, these are all realities of modern warfare
that need to be taken into account as part of any strategy.