Richard Cohen believes that the Democratic Party may shoot
itself in the foot by choosing a presidential nominee who caters to
the anti-war left the way George McGovern did in 1972:
Will history trump the polls? It will if, as in the
past, the Democratic Party so wounds itself fighting the war
against the war, it nominates a candidate beloved by a minority but
mistrusted by a majority. It has happened before.
Even though I am a supporter of the Iraq War, I think this analysis
is overly simplistic. Last fall, when Ned Lamont won the primary,
the hawks (including yours truly) were celebrating the return of the
McGovernites. But it turned out that opposition to the Iraq War had
really become mainstream enough to fuel the Democrats' November
landslide. In 1972, both candidates believed in ending the war in
Vietnam, but Nixon offered a way to do it honorably. In 2008 we
face the prospect of having a Republican candidate who supports
staying in Iraq and Democratic candidate who is promising to bring
the troops home. That's a tough spot for the GOP to be in. With
that said, I do not think the Republicans are doomed in 2008, but I
think the result will have to do more with the eventual match up
than the Iraq War.