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Phil: Just to underscore our commenters' points, there's no way that Giuliani, who has tied or beaten Clinton in every other head-to-head, was suddenly losing before Thursday's debate (when most if not all of the Newsweek poll was taken). Newsweek consistently publishes some of the least-predictive polls in the business; they neither filter for likely voters nor weight for party identification. You're right about the candidate-satisfaction numbers (which are automatically more meaningful by virtue of the partisanship filters), but as for the rest, wait for a second opinion before panicking.

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