I don’t think that particular poll means that Hillary is in
trouble, because as everyone pointed out, it’s early. It does,
however, make an Obama candidacy seem more plausible. Over the past
few weeks many preference polls for the Democratic nomination came
out where Obama’s numbers were in the 16-20% range with Hillary in
the mid 30s. Many analysts pointed to these numbers to say, despite
all of the publicity Obama has gotten, his numbers have hardly
moved. What the NH poll shows is that concentrated media attention
in one state actually did boost his numbers. Whether he can
replicate this in other states and sustain it is another story
entirely.