One more quick point about Obama. Many pundits believe that the
Clinton team will work overtime to dig up every sordid detail about
him should he run. As Tony Blankley put it in a recent
column:
If Hillary Milhous Clinton begins to believe that Sen. Obama is
a threat to her inheritance of the White House -- it will not be
long before his own mother will not recognize the public image that
Hillary's operatives will have drawn of him.
I'm not so convinced this is the case. One
thing to keep in mind is that to win the presidency, Hillary
Clinton, like all Democrats, will have to count on strong turnout
among black voters. If she's seen as using dirty tricks to torpedo
the candidacy of a black candidate who is perceived as having a
chance to win, it could really turn off a lot of black voters in
the general election.
One parallel I can think of is the NY
mayoral race of 2001. Mark Green won a bitter primary against
Freddy Ferrer, who had a chance to be the first Hispanic mayor. The
tactics Green employed during the primary angered many minority
voters--and enough of them sat home on election day to help elect
Michael Bloomberg.
I'm not saying Clinton can't think of some
way to taint Obama's image, but I just think this will complicate
her efforts to do so.