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Phil: I have to disagree.

Midterm elections are usually decided by how well each side does among their base, so the 2% drop in conservatives surely did in a more than a few Republicans across the nation, especially with fairly close defeats in Missouri and, likely, Montana.

You are right that the War in Iraq was a big issue and helped Dems win the moderates. But a dispirited GOP base was a big part of the story this election.

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