According to
exit polls, President Bush received 84 percent of the
conservative vote in 2004. A new NY Times/CBS News
poll finds that just 59 percent of self-described conservatives
plan to vote for the Republican House candidate in Tuesday’s
elections, with 25 percent saying they would be voting Democratic
and 16 percent undecided. It’s hard to know how seriously to take
these results. For instance, perhaps some conservatives simply say
they’ll vote Democrat in a poll just because they’re frustrated,
even though when push comes to shove, they’ll vote Republican. But
this could also be a sign that the much-publicized disenchantment
among conservatives will indeed hurt the GOP.