The Spectacle Blog
My first thought is, I wouldn't be surprised if some conservatives deliberately mislead pollsters about their voting intentions. Knowing the history of the mainstream media to get things wrong, a number of poll respondents might not mind helping them get it wrong again. It's tempting to do so when the MSM loves to ask questions to elicit the answers they want, then turn them into front page news, using them to bash conservative policies and people.
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http://spectator.org/blog/2006/11/02/re-the-conservative-vote
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