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That's how many House seats "Republican campaign officials" expect to lose, according to an article on the front page of today's Washington Post. As far as the debate over whether Republicans would learn their lesson by losing and show a renewed comittment to limited government, the article makes this seem unlikely. Rather than attributing the GOP's bad prospects to abandoning small government principles, the article cites "sustained violence in Iraq and the page scandal involving former GOP representative Mark Foley."

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