Hotline reports that the Republican 72 hour program has been
activated to help Sen. Lincoln Chafee in his primary against Club
for Growth-backed conservative Stephen Laffey:
Workers start arriving Friday and will be charged
with sorting out the mess that Washington operatives believe is the
Chafee campaign. First task may be to get Republican voters to
forget Chafee's erratic performance in the last two of the four
broadcast debates between the incumbent and his lively challenger,
Cranston mayor Stephen
Laffey.
It's hard to tell how close the race actually is, because Rhode
Island allows Independents to vote in the Republican primary and
it's hard to gauge their turnout likelihood or voting preferences.
But a theoretical poll for the general election shows likely
Democratic nominee Sheldon Whitehouse in a
dead heat with Chafee and more than 30 points ahead of Laffey.
This highlights a very real dilemma for frustrated conservative
voters who want to see real conservatives in the House and Senate.
In a liberal northeastern state such as Rhode Island, is it better
to nominate a true conservative who gets trounced in the general
election by the Democrat, or nominate a liberal Republican like
Chafee who is far from ideal, but preferable to a Democrat? What
if Chafee is defeated in the primary and Democrats end up taking
over the Senate by one vote, with Chafee's seat swinging control
over to the Democrats? There is clearly also a compelling case to
be made that Republicans don't deserve to be in power if they are
going to abandon conservative principles, but it is also worth
considering whether someone like Chafee is the best chance
Republicans have of winning in Rhode Island.
I think the Chafey-Laffey race also highlights something else.
For all the David Brooks and Andrew Sullivan talk about a
Lieberman-McCain party, the electorate seems to be sending the
opposite message so far this election season. Whether it's Lamont
vs. Lieberman, Chafee vs. Laffey, or Walberg vs. Schwartz in
Michigan, people seem to want more polarization and real
differences between the two parties, rather than more
bi-partisanship.