Melinda Liu, Newsweek Beijing Bureau Chief, spoke at SAIS on
Thursday on the Chinese attitude post-Iraq. She was engaging in
that regard (read the fuller account here) but particularly notable for
her comments on Nepal, where the Maoist rebellion is blighting a
country one State Department researcher described as proof that low
economic development and abject misery were not doomed to go hand
in hand. Liu described the determination of longtime expatriate
friends in Nepal that the Maoists would gain the upper hand and
make Nepal unliveable; they had already made arrangements to leave
the country, having spent decades there in peace. Beijing,
ironically, wants good terms with any Nepalese regime but feels a
certain awkwardness toward Nepal's bands of fanatical throwbacks.
"Straight outta the 50s," Liu said, Nepal's Maoist movement is
complete with armed women's groups, austere uniforms, and communist
dance circles. But for all the kitsch, Nepal is descending into
what Liu flatly described as a "mess." What are the implications
for the China-India relationship? Picture a morass of spreading
complications, dilemmas, Hobson's choices. Nobody wants what is
happening in Nepal except a pack of wild atavists. Disaster there
is their responsibility, everyone else's problem.