The Spectacle Blog

NH Tea Leaves

By on 1.4.08 | 3:51PM

McCain may be up ten points or up four points or down four points depending on which poll you like. They don't yet account for the results from Iowa which may or may not impact Granite State voters. Larry J. Sabato reminds me today that historically "As goes Iowa, maybe goes SC" but that may be it. NH voters generally make up their own minds. If we learned anything from Iowa we should remember a couple things. First, the polls generally have the direction if not the magnitude correct. Second, local media does a pretty good job giving us a sense of whether the candidates are making progress or just making fools of themselves.
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