Summer’s coming — and so (probably) are higher gas prices.
There has already been a nationwide uptick of about 40 cents a
gallon over the past few months — and we’re still a few weeks away
from spring. It’s likely we’ll see over $4 a gallon gas
after spring arrives — and maybe more than that by high
summer. (In California, gas is already close to $5 a gallon.)
Even “cheap” $3 a gallon gas is about twice as expensive as it
was just a few years ago. We’ve just become used to it. But that
doesn’t mean we can afford it.
Diesel-powered cars could be our salvation — and a bunch of new
ones are going to be available within the next 6-12 months,
including diesel versions of the 2014 Jeep Grand Cherokee SUV and
Chevy Cruze and Mazda3 compact sedan/hatchback wagons. These will
go much farther on a gallon of fuel than their gas-engined
equivalents. The diesel Cruze and Mazda3, in particular, should be
capable of averaging close to 40 MPG — and (unlike most hybrids)
remain exceptionally fuel-efficient at highway speeds.
But, there’s a fly in the soup. Three flies,
actually.
First, there’s the higher initial cost of a diesel-engined car
vs. its gas-engined equivalent. The MSRPs of the ’14 diesel Grand
Cherokee, Cruze, and Mazda3 haven’t been revealed yet, but in the
past — and right now — a diesel typically costs about $2,500 more
“up front” than the same car with a gas engine. Sometimes,
considerably more than that. As an example, a 2013 VW New Beetle
diesel lists for $23,295. The standard New Beetle (with gas engine)
stickers for $19,795. While the diesel Beetle is much more
economical to operate (28 city, 41 highway vs. 22 city, 31 highway)
it’ll take at least a few years of driving to work off the diesel’s
$3,500 price premium. And that’s assuming you’re in a position to
do so. For many buyers, ponying up an extra $3,500 at buy-time (or
finance time) just isn’t doable — even if the car costs less to
operate.
Second, there’s the fuel issue. Though a gallon of diesel will
take you farther down the road than a gallon of gas (especially a
gallon of ethanol-adulterated “gas”) it also costs more to buy the
gallon of diesel — chiefly because of government “ultra low
sulfur” diesel fuel requirements. Diesel used to be
cheaper to buy than gas, in part because diesel used to
cost less to refine. Now, it costs more — because of the ULS
requirements, which have increased refining costs significantly.
These government-imposed costs are passed on to consumers.
At the time this article was written in early March 2013, diesel
was selling for just a few cents shy of $4 a gallon in the
Southeast — about 30-40 cents more per gallon than regular
unleaded. That’s no small thing when factored out over a period of
years. It could in fact be a large enough thing — if that 30-40
cent per gallon spread stays roughly constant during the years you
own the vehicle — that (combined with the higher up-front costs
you had to pay) you end up about the same (money wise) as you would
have had you bought the gas-engined version of the vehicle.
Which brings me to the third issue — which is related
to the second issue (ULS diesel fuel). To comply with
ultra-strict tailpipe emissions requirements (specifically, oxides
of nitrogen), many new diesel-powered cars have some form of urea
injection. The urea is not burned in the engine but sprayed into
the exhaust stream to chemically alter the exhaust before it leaves
the tailpipe. It is akin to catalytic converters in gas-engined
cars, but with a difference: The urea tank must be periodically
replenished. And the urea isn’t free.
So, how much does it cost?
Here’s one example: The urea tank in a current (2013) Mercedes
M-Class diesel holds about 8 gallons of “AdBlue” urea. This is
sufficient — according to Mercedes — for about 10,000 miles of
driving. The urea costs (at current prices) about $16 a
gallon.[*]
So, it costs about $130 extra every 10,000 miles to operate the
vehicle. Over 100,000 miles, that’s an additional $1,300 in
operating expenses.
It’s not a huge expense - in isolation. But when you
add that expense to the expense of the diesel vehicle itself (a new
Benz ML350 diesel stickers for $51,270 vs. $49, 770 for the
gas-engined equivalent version) then factor in the higher cost of
the diesel fuel, diesel loses a lot of its economic luster.
However, there are a few important things that must also be said
in defense of diesels — things that can greatly compensate for the
issues raised above.
First, diesels last. Because they (usually) have
extremely high-compression ratios (to ignite the fuel by pressure
and heat rather than spark, as in a gas engine) they are (again,
usually) built much stronger — tougher blocks, tougher internals.
Built right, treated right, a diesel engine should be capable of
at least 200k — without more than routine service. That’s
how you can make your money back — especially relative to a hybrid
car. While hybrids have proved to be very reliable and durable,
their gas engines — and electric batteries — aren’t made to go a
quarter-of-a-million miles. Diesel engines — historically — have
gone that far routinely. But remember: To make the math
work for you, you’re probably going to have to put a lot of miles
on the clock.
Second, diesels — modern diesels — perform. As in —
they accelerate. Quickly. Unlike most hybrids. Which
don’t. A modern diesel-powered car is fun to drive.
Few hybrids are.
And, lastly, in the event things really go sour — as
in a SHTF-type of scenario — it will be much more feasible to keep
a diesel-powered vehicle going, because (leaving aside the issue of
emissions) you’ll be able to use home-brewable biodiesel, even
perhaps waste vegetable oil. Gas, on the other hand, is a much more
refined fuel that requires the facilities of a
refinery.
___________
[*]
The cost quoted of adding urea assumes you buy — and add — the
urea yourself. If you pay the dealer to do it, the cost can be much
higher. Consumer Reports had a dealership refill a Benz
G-Class diesel and were presented with a bill for $317 for 7.5
gallons of Adblue.
