“I won’t play that game.” That was President Barack Obama a few
weeks ago, referring to the previous round of negotiations over
raising the nation’s debt limit.
He has already begun his campaign to sell the public on the
notion that raising the debt limit is vital to the nation’s
economic recovery and failure to do so will be a calamity. His Amen
Chorus of Democrat politicians will echo this again and again in
the weeks ahead, dutifully reported by the “mainstream” media, as
if Obama’s assertions were irrefutable facts. They aren’t.
Every day, the U.S. Government takes in about 60 percent of the
funds it needs to pay its bills. It borrows the rest, either from
outside investors, such as the Chinese, or by printing money, all
of which must be paid back.
What does failure to raise the debt limit mean? First, it means
the government cannot borrow any more money. This does not mean it
will “default” on its current debt, as Obama & Company will
imply. There will be enough cash on hand to service the current
debt. The government will also be able, for a time, to pay most of
its bills to run itself; however, without new infusions of cash it
will begin to be unable to run everything. It will be forced to cut
back on non-essentials.
There is a better way to decide which spending can be dispensed
with and it can be done not hastily, but deliberately and in
advance. This is where the Republican majority in the House of
Representatives can finally use leverage with Obama. It should
develop a budget bill that spells out specific cuts to be made,
from very big issues such as Medicare and Medicaid, to less big
ones such as cutting duplicative programs spanning several
departments. The result should go forward to the Senate. It would
be constructed so that for every dollar the debt ceiling is raised,
one dollar of spending cuts would be enacted. The one would be tied
to the other. Thus, if the Senate amended the bill to eliminate
some of the cuts, the House would reduce the debt ceiling by an
amount equal to the value of the cuts the Senate had eliminated. In
short, no spending cuts, no debt limit increase.
Obama will be betting that his usual full-time campaign mode
will persuade the nation (in addition to fawning reporters) that he
can save us all, if only those nasty Republicans can be shamed into
giving him what he wants. What he wants of course is not only an
open-ended debt limit raise but no limits on spending of any kind.
How will it be paid for in future? As he has shown us, he thinks
higher taxes are the way to go.
Raising taxes on “millionaires” is one thing; raising them on
the average workers is another. On January 1 the payroll tax cut of
the last two years ended. It was not part of the deal passed by
Congress and signed by Obama last week. Thus, every American worker
and his/her family is seeing an immediate paycheck reduction. When
people get less for the same amount of work, they aren’t happy.
When things go well generally, presidents tend to get the credit;
when they don’t, they get the blame. Let’s see if Obama’s new
campaign litany falls on willing ears or deaf ones.