Is the Keystone State doing what it did in 1980 — and is it alone?
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The Pennsylvania Poll, published by the liberal Philadelphia Inquirer, records an Obama drop and a Romney gain from September, with an Obama September lead of 50%-42 cut by two points to 49%-43%.
And heaven knows what the internal polls of the Obama and Romney campaigns are showing.
But clearly, they are showing Pennsylvania in play. Romney has that “intensity factor” going for him here. The Republican base is energized. Team Obama is surely disturbed by the very same factor in reverse — the “no-intensity factor” if you will.
No one suggests the black vote will go for Romney. But could a portion of that black vote — jobless and disillusioned — pivot and just not vote? Yes. No one is suggesting the alliance between labor and Democrats is over. But are coal miners in Western and Northeastern Pennsylvania going to flock to Obama? Not a prayer they won’t pivot away. All those angry Catholics in Northeastern Pennsylvania who turned on their Democrats in Congress in 2010 for voting for Obamacare? Are they going to run to the polls and vote for Obama? Who since then has managed to antagonize the entire hierarchy of the American Catholic Church with his HHS rules mandating the Church to provide services on abortion and contraception the Church fundamentally opposes? Hardly. Another pivot point.
These individually are Reagan Pivot points. And doubtless they and others are stirring out there in states like Michigan and Minnesota, not to mention Florida, Virginia and — yes — Ohio.
In 1980, unseen and overlooked by pollsters and liberal journalists alike, there were enough of these pivot points to cause the entire state of Pennsylvania to do a Reagan Pivot. Making Pennsylvania part of a stampede and turning what the New York Times called a “tight, seesaw contest” into a 44-state Reagan landslide.
Is Pennsylvania doing a Reagan Pivot yet again? Are there enough of these individual pivot points forcing the issue for the entire state to pivot as it did in 1980?
There is about $5.5 million in television ads that are suddenly flooding this state for Mitt Romney. With a $650,000 defense from Obama’s campaign.
So what do you think?
Obviously, both sides see Pennsylvania pivoting away from Obama.
Can Mitt Romney win Pennsylvania?
To borrow a phrase: Yes he can.
And Chicago knows it.
A man of faith in a godless age is hitting Americans where it hurts.
Mr. and Mrs. American Spectator Reader, let P.J. O’Rourke talk sense to your kids.
In Britain, defending your property can get you life.
It won’t take long for conservatives to scratch this presidential wannabe off their 2008 scorecard.
Was the President done in by the economy, or by the politics of the economy?