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Egypt’s Hard Slog Toward Democracy

It lacks the needed capitalist underpinning, to say the least.

What Egyptians call “the Revolution” lasted just 18 days. It began on Jan. 25 and ended on Feb. 11, 2011, when the strongman who had ruled Egypt for 30 years caved in to the apparent will of the people (expressed in the massive demonstrations in Tahrir Square) and resigned from office.

All Egypt — it then seemed — erupted in joy. One leading pizza store celebrated with the offer of “democratic pizza” — meaning, you could choose your own topping.

The revolution’s cheerleaders in the western news media were equally euphoric.

In picking seven student activists from Tahrir Square to adorn its Feb. 28, 2011 cover, Time hailed the arrival of “The Generation Changing the World.” Smiling and casually attired, the four men and three women shown on the cover were the kind of 18-to-24 year-olds you would expect to see in an Apple store in Cairo — or Palo Alto. There were no beards or burqas. One of the activists was wearing a baseball cap turned backward.

Marching as confidently as ever in the wrong direction, Time predicted a quick and painless transition to democracy and renewed economic vigor. “These young people have done more in a few weeks than their parents did in 30 years,” a political-science professor at Cairo University was quoted as saying. “They are the Internet Generation… the Facebook Generation… or just call them the Miracle Generation.”

In its own voice, Time proclaimed:

According to the old narrative, the only outlet for youthful dissent lay in Islamic extremism and violence. A much cited 2003 Brookings Institution report on Arab youths warned that they were being raised in an environment of religious radicalism and anti-Americanism. “These values,” the reported argued, “thus become the formative elements of a new and dispossessed generation, auguring badly for the future.”

The auguries were wrong. In reality, Arab youths were a big part of the silent, moderate majority. In virtually every Arab country, more than half the population is less than 30 years old. And like young people everywhere, most of them prefer the freedom that comes with democracy to the straitjacket of political autocracy or rule by religious conservatives. A survey of youths in nine Arab states released in 2010 by the p.r. firm Asda’a Burson-Marsteller showed that they ranked democracy as a greater priority than good civic infrastructure, access to the best education or even fair wages.

In fact, “the auguries” have been pretty much on target. It was Time that was wildly off the mark in its belief that the combination of youth and technology was about to triumph over the long-entrenched forces of military autocracy and Islamic fundamentalism.

Egypt’s just-announced presidential election has created an uneasy alliance between the Muslim Brotherhood, which has captured the presidency, and Egypt’s secular-minded military, which formed the backbone of Hosni Mubarak’s rule and which continues to wield enormous power.

Even minus Mubarak and his family, Egypt has not strayed far the pre-revolutionary status quo. Having dissolved an elected parliament and effectively declared martial law for the indefinite future, the military runs foreign policy, commands the police and intelligence, and is closely aligned with the judiciary and the other arms of government. As the Wall Street Journal noted in its front-page story on June 25:

The Brotherhood’s long power struggle with the military is far from over. The military has pledged to hand over power to Mr. [Mohammed] Morsi by the end of the month. But Mr. Morsi will assume a presidency crippled by military-imposed constitutional changes that have stripped the office of most of its powers.

Despite their successes in last November’s parliamentary election and in the June’s presidential elections, the leaders of the Muslim Brotherhood seem to be fully aware that they have not received a strong mandate to change anything — least of all to join Iran in transforming society through the establishment of a theocratic state. The Brotherhood has a strong and highly energized base, but it still lacks broad appeal – it won just 25% of the vote in the first round of the presidential election. It boosted that to 51.7% in the runoff only because many voters were forced to choose between poison — either accepting a holdover from the hated Mubarak regime… or voting for a representative from a group that has long favored the imposition of Sharia law.

If anyone has been left out in the cold in today’s Egypt, it is the Internet/Facebook generation, not the Brotherhood or the military.

For a vivid and revealing account of how three of the revolutionaries from Tahrir Square have fared in post-revolutionary Egypt, I would urge the reader to view the hour-long BBC 2 documentary — “Children of the Revolution” — found on YouTube.

Page: 1 2  

About the Author

Andrew B. Wilson, a frequent contributor to The American Spectator, writes from St. Louis.

Letter to the Editor View all comments (37) |

Brooksifier | 6.27.12 @ 6:42AM

Guys,
worry about Mexico's slog towards democracy, not Egypt's.

Democracy begins at home-- and Mexico is now practically home.

Skippy| 6.27.12 @ 1:57PM

Mexico is a racist shithole with no chance of doing anything besides sending 25% of their population north and then collapsing under the weight of narcoterrorism and corruption.
Mexico sucks in every conceivable way and should be walled off from the USA.

Truth to Power| 6.27.12 @ 1:58PM

Who knows, if we can encourage democratic values in Egypt and Mexico, maybe we could encourage those values in California, Illinois and New York. Maybe we are aiming high.

Von Mises Jr| 6.27.12 @ 7:04AM

Obama and Hillary are allegedly demanding that the Egyptian Military concede power to Morsi, the new Muslim Brotherhood President. Speaks volumes.

Ken (Old Texican)| 6.27.12 @ 7:20AM

Democracy, and freedom cannot co-exist with ingrained Sharia culture and law. It will never happen.

TLP| 6.27.12 @ 8:18AM

How about that Girl in the picture? Nice. Pretty. Let's face it. She's Hot!

I wonder if we'll ever see her Face, again. I mean, other than on the Cover of Newsweek, without her Nose.

I wonder if she's ready for her Virginity Exam, or if she knows 4 Men who will testify for her, at her Rape Trial?

"Be careful what you wish for" eh, beautiful?

Will the young men, beside her, ever look Human, again? Or, are they looking at spending the rest of their lives looking like they're Not quite as Evolved as the rest of us, and with that "I'm out of my mind, and if I could just get on a Passenger Plane full of Infidels with a Grenade up my @ss" look in their eyes?

"The Koran is our Guide, and Sharia is our way" (or some such sh*t) and why does all of this look so FAMILIAR?

I hear that there's a sh*t load of Job Openings at our Embassy, in Cairo. This could be your big chance, JACK.

If you're in Jordan, right now, what are you thinking? What about, Saudi Arabia? You have witnessed ABU HUSSAIN throw an Ally to the Wolves, and Attack Khaddafi, all in the name of Sharia, while doing NOTHING, in Syria. And HAMAS is telling you that Obama is the Deliveror.

Am I the only one CONNECTING THE DOTS?

Who Knows?| 6.27.12 @ 10:58AM

You're beyond beyond insane.

TLP| 6.27.12 @ 4:54PM

Instead of playing the part of a 2 year old.

Why don't you tell everyone what It is, that I wrote, that has you so apoplectic?

And have that Idiot - RCV, do the same.

We're waiting.

TLP| 6.27.12 @ 5:05PM

And, bye the way.

You're beyond beyond beyond stupid.

Who Knows?

Obviously, it's not you.

RCV| 6.27.12 @ 11:20AM

The Dots you're connecting, TLP, only exist in your mind.

TLP| 6.27.12 @ 5:02PM

Yeah. I'm crazy.

This is nothing like Jimmy Carter and the Shah.

There's no way Egypt becomes Iran #2.

History NEVER repeats itself.

Why, oh why, can't I write with the Eloquence of an obvious Dipshit, like you?

c. j. acworth| 6.27.12 @ 8:23AM

Exactly. Little Miss Gigi the fiery revolutionary will be among the first to be publicly stoned to death.

TLP| 6.27.12 @ 9:11AM

Ya hear that, Jack?

And, what did I tell you, yesterday, if you were to choose to go over there and live with your Kid Killing Buddies?

I said you could find employment as the Local Village ROCK COLLECTOR, when you weren't too busy checking Virginities.

Now, ackworth has just backed me up.

It appears that he's found you a Customer, already.

Virtue| 6.27.12 @ 7:31AM

Free enterprise is conditioned on individual liberty, property rights and the rule of law...and the Anglo-American experience has been the soil in which this ethos has developed over several centuries. Doesn't happen overnight, and an islamic culture is poison to the endeavor.

TinaB| 6.27.12 @ 10:42AM

Interesting that you should use soil in your analogy. Christ also talked about soil. In a ratio of three to one the seed, or ethos of Christ, had no root or did not grow. If that ratio refers to mankind, Only one-fourth of those who hear about Freedom, Truth and all things right, decent and may I add holy, actually hear, and believe and then live this ethos out.

Just a thought.

jaytrain| 6.27.12 @ 8:20AM

Only the children who write for the MSM would have missed this . Every revolution , save our own , was seized by the radical element and to the same end, a dictatorship of the best organized . Better said " One man . one vote , one time "

Quartermaster| 6.27.12 @ 8:40AM

Our system is the product of 2500 years of evolution starting with the Greek city states, going through Rome, picking up the idea of rule of law from the Roman Republic, through the Protestant reformation. That process yielded a Republic that was killed during Lincoln's Imperial war of 1860-65. Since then we have had crony capitalism shoved down our throats, along with a welfare state, FedGov tyranny, and scoff law Police and courts.

These poor kids thin they want what we have. But what they had under Nasser, Sadat and Mubarak did not differ much from what we have. We've simply had a chimera of Democracy, but none of the imagined benefits.

Like it or not, tyranny is the normal state of mankind.

TLP| 6.27.12 @ 5:09PM

Ya know, you're not gonna gain any converts, referring to The Civil War as Lincoln's Imperial War.

You might wanna check that Stupid Sh*t at the door?

Bill84728| 6.27.12 @ 9:02AM

What the dilletantes of democracy fail to understand is that democracy doesn't automatically liberty and equality are going to become the order of the day. Liberty and equality are qualities that people who take responsibility for themselves will fight for; the rest will opt for some authority taking care of them and telling them what to do. Egyptian democracy has yet to display anything other than what German democracy did back in the early 1930s, to wit: permit people to vote for a totalitarian system. In this case, it's true that the Muslim Brotherhood is still weak, but once they've been elected into office, is there anything in place to keep them from doing what the Bolsheviks and the Nazis did in their times?

John786| 6.27.12 @ 9:46AM

Yes we are all doomed in the end. But still fun trying. The Egyptians have lived under autocratic rule for best part of 10 thousand years. Makes American history quite puny. Give them a chance its only been a few days. And the are allowed to make mistakes. And yes we are all doomed in the end.

Ken (Old Texican)| 6.27.12 @ 10:26AM

786 Mhammed
Heh, I'm not doomed. I shall live my life here trying to follow Jesus, then I shall spend eternity with Him and His in fellowship, and perhaps even building houses for the Christians that come there after me.
I'm so sad you live in a religion of doom and death.

Ken (Old Texican)| 6.27.12 @ 10:29AM

PS; 786 Muhmmed...those 72 virgins will only be virgins once. Then they will hate you for eternity.
Have fun, idiot.

Bill84728| 6.27.12 @ 10:43AM

Well, those who feel somehow betrayed will hate you; the rest will hold you up to ridicule.

John786| 6.27.12 @ 2:39PM

Ken ( the rapturing Texan);
As colourful as the 72 virgins seem the true bliss of heaven is a vision of God. And endless peace free from any negativity or need. Salvation the ultimate success lies only and only, and only in the worship of the One God: the definition of Al Islam. Anyway Ken, kenny , ken I hope you have a long and heathylife and may God guide you towards THE truth and away from negative thoughts regarding the final message to Humanity from God. Them you may have that meeting with Prophet Isa ( pbuh).

John786| 6.27.12 @ 2:39PM

Ken ( the rapturing Texan);
As colourful as the 72 virgins seem the true bliss of heaven is a vision of God. And endless peace free from any negativity or need. Salvation the ultimate success lies only and only, and only in the worship of the One God: the definition of Al Islam. Anyway Ken, kenny , ken I hope you have a long and heathylife and may God guide you towards THE truth and away from negative thoughts regarding the final message to Humanity from God. Them you may have that meeting with Prophet Isa ( pbuh).

Who Knows?| 6.27.12 @ 11:19AM

Remember that famous leftist’s book, “All I Ever Needed To Know I Learned In Kindergarten”?

Too many people never made it that far in school!

All anyone will ever need to know, until their death---including newborns---about the group of humans occupying the land inside the boundaries of what’s named Egypt, is that they are ALREADY brainwashed by Islam.

If every American had to sit down, turn off all their social media devices, and with full attention, be informed about the genital mutilation of 90% of the women of that tribe, that has ALREADY been done, maybe we’d have less blather about inconsequential crap. With all due respect, but using the name of Hayek in the same sentence with Egypt is beyond beyond beyond beyond insane.

My guess is that more and more awakening Americans will use both fear and the desire for good company to avoid stepping foot in that hellhole, and outgrow their urge to see the pyramids.

Islamists have ALREADY chosen their future.

Try and stop them!

It’s actually quite enlightening, in that in 2012 and beyond, lucky Americans, ALONE---thanks Mark Steyn---get to live on a globe with parcels of it replicating earlier human times. The ultimate Reality Shows!

See Egypt, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, et al as they choose to experience their own Islamic version of the Christian Dark Ages.

Who needs to go the Disneyland?

Bill84728| 6.27.12 @ 11:49AM

If most people turned off their social media devices, they wouldn't be getting any information about Egypt or Islam.

Dimitry_Aleksandrovich| 6.27.12 @ 1:10PM

All this democracy worship in the West has made the situation for Arab Christians in the Middle East from bad to worse. If I am a Coptic Christian in Egypt right now I would try to strike a deal with the Muslim Brotherhood where the brotherhood protects Christians from the Salafist/Wahhabists and the Christians vote for the Brotherhood in the next elections. That would probably be the best hope for the Coptics

TinaB| 6.27.12 @ 2:20PM

Dimitry, are you saying you believe the Muslim Brotherhood would protect the Coptic Christians and let you live in peace? Are you saying that you trust the MB? On what do you base this trust? I am asking this in an attempt to learn from you.

Dimitry_Aleksandrovich| 6.27.12 @ 7:55PM

I don't trust the MB, but if the Coptic Christian's do not find a Muslim ally in Egypt then the Salafist/Wahhabist's will continue to murder Coptic Christians, kidnap Christian women and force them into marriages with Muslims and burn Coptic Churches to the ground. The secularists in Egypt are too weak to protect the Copts and the military killed nearly 30 Christians in Cairo when they protested against the Salafist violence against their community in the wake of Mubarak being forced out. It's not a good situation at all and the Copts make up less than 10% of the nation's population. If they were to arm themselves and put up a resistance the chances are they would still be driven out of areas that they've lived in for centuries. The only realistic approach is they need a strong Muslim protector. In Syria the Christians have the Baathist Alawite led government of Assad as a protector there is no such a person in Egypt right now so I think the Christian's best bet is to cut a deal with the Muslim Brotherhood to protect them from the Salafists if it is possible.

Ken (Old Texican)| 6.27.12 @ 3:52PM

Does anyone here know where Coptic Christians could go as refugees?

I don't and I am embarrased. They are already in the end times persecutions.

MUSLIMS WORSHIP SATAN AND DEATH. IT IS NO MORE COMPLICATED THAN THAT.

Dimitry_Aleksandrovich| 6.27.12 @ 7:58PM

Possibly Ethiopia which is almost 50/50 Coptic Christian and Muslim. I disagree with you that Muslims worship Satan and Death. I believe Salafist/Wahhabist scumbags with Saudi Arabian oil sheik sponsors worship satan and death however most Muslims I know are honorable people who believe in and fear God and are very hospitable to travelers and raise their families in manners that Christians used to and should aspire to return to.

TLP| 6.27.12 @ 8:27PM

How about, here?

I, for one, would welcome them with open arms.

Y'all come down.

Ya hear.

Bill X| 6.27.12 @ 6:35PM

There will be no democracy in Egypt. Islamic fundamentalists are taking over. Most of the people want sharia law.

RJ| 6.27.12 @ 7:11PM

I often remember the words of an Iranian describing the 1979 Iranian Revolution as a mistake that they had to make, based on the hope that corrupt and brutal governments can be reformed by turning power over to "the holy men." For years, I have thought that Egypt, Saudi Arabia and other Middle Eastern nations will follow the same path. How many decades will it take for them to find their way to a free and prosperous society? As with Iran, it will probably, at best, take several decades. In the meantime the rest of the world should fully develop their own energy resources and be careful of immigration from these troubled states so as not to expand the troubles of the Middle East into Europe (which already seems to be a problem) and North America. I would love to visit Egypt again. Unfortunately, it will probably be unwise for the remainder of my lifetime.

Dimitry_Aleksandrovich| 6.27.12 @ 8:01PM

Interestingly enough the Islamic Republic of Iran allows its traditional Christian population (mostly Assyrians and Armenians) to practice their Christianity, keep their churches and even have their own schools. As opposed to Saudi Arabia where the religious police arrest Filipino migrant workers for celebrating mass in secret in a crowded apartment.

TinaB| 6.28.12 @ 4:58AM

Thank you, Dimitry. Very interesting. God bless you and your family.

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