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Political Hay
Immigration Breakdown
Barack Obama has made amnesty an issue again, and Mitt Romney responds uncertainly.
During the Republican primaries, the exit polls showed little interest in illegal immigration. In the key swing state of Ohio, only 5 percent of GOP voters considered it the most important issue. In Florida, it was just 3 percent. The exact same percentage held in such conservative bastions as South Carolina, Mississippi, and Alabama. The border state of Arizona was a rare exception, where at 14 percent illegal immigration was a higher priority for primary voters than abortion.
The economy, jobs, and the deficit all trumped immigration. Moreover, the economic downturn, coupled with tough new laws in several states, had reduced the flow of illegal immigrants into the United States. A recent study by the Pew Hispanic Center suggests that net migration from Mexico has fallen to zero — and perhaps less.
Yet in a fairly transparent attempt to jumpstart Hispanic voter turnout in the November election, President Barack Obama has brought illegal immigration back to the forefront. Citing prosecutorial discretion, Obama’s Department of Homeland Security announced that illegal immigrants under age 30 who met certain conditions would not be eligible for deportation.
Far from setting enforcement priorities, however, this was simply an administrative decision to implement the DREAM Act — which Congress rather pointedly failed to pass. Instead of the DREAM Act, Obama had issued the DREAM edict.
Obama had thrown down the gauntlet. Now it was up to Mitt Romney to determine how to respond. Romney took a hard line against illegal immigration in the primaries, opposing comprehensive amnesties and smaller ones like the DREAM Act. Kris Kobach, the Kansas secretary of state who helped write Arizona’s infamous SB 1070, was a (then formal) adviser. Romney talked about illegal immigrants self-deporting and seemed to embrace the attrition through enforcement strategy behind laws like SB 1070.
In border-conscious Arizona, Romney won a large plurality of Republicans who cared most about illegal immigration. According to exit polls, he won 44 percent of their vote to Newt Gingrich’s 26 percent and Rick Santorum’s 16 percent. At the same time, Romney carried the state’s Latino primary voters with 38 percent of the vote to Santorum’s 24 percent and Gingrich’s 19 percent.
The same held true in Florida, where Gingrich tried to use illegal immigration as a wedge issue against Romney. But Romney ended up beating Gingrich 54 percent to 29 percent among Florida Hispanics. Romney beat Gingrich 57 percent to 31 percent among Cuban-Americans and 52 percent to 23 percent among non-Cuban Hispanics.
But the Romney camp is clearly worried that what worked among Hispanic Republicans could fail among the broader Latino electorate. Kobach has been downgraded to informal adviser. Romney now pairs his talk of curtailing illegal immigration with plans for increasing legal immigration. And the candidate’s tone on the issue has lightened somewhat since he clinched the Republican presidential nomination.
Consider Romney’s approach to Obama’s immigration gambit, which could do as much to turn out the conservative base as Hispanics. The former Massachusetts governor has been very coy about the substance of the policy. Romney has preferred to focus on Obama ignoring Congress — and, more tellingly, short-circuiting a long-term legislative solution.
In a speech to a group of Latino elected and appointed officials last week, Romney pledged to “replace and supersede” Obama’s approach with a bipartisan answer of his own. He embraced Marco Rubio, the Florida Republican senator who was going to offer his own version of the DREAM Act. And he repeatedly faulted Obama for failing to keep his promises to Hispanics by seriously pushing for legislation when Democrats controlled both houses of Congress.
Romney’s last point is irrefutably true. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid floated an immigration bill in the spring of 2010, suspiciously timed to embarrass John McCain as he was locked in a competitive primary fight. Obama advocated the enactment of the DREAM Act during the lame-duck session of Congress at the end of that year, after the midterm elections. Neither constituted a serious push.
But this doesn’t sound like the criticism of someone who rejects “comprehensive immigration reform” out of hand. Romney proposes no broad-based amnesty, so far suggesting only that some young illegal immigrants could be legalized through military service. He supports e-verify and the border fence, and is still generally to the right of McCain and George W. Bush on illegal immigration.
Nevertheless, Romney could end up being a net immigration booster. His call for more skilled legal immigration plus facilitated family reunification could, depending on the specifics, outweigh the reduction in illegal immigration. The talk of long-term legislative solutions has to trouble restrictionists who remember prominent Republicans, including a sitting president of the United States, backing amnesty in 2006-07.
Obama could have unwittingly revived the immigration issue in the fall campaign, perhaps to his detriment. There is a reason the pro-amnesty elite has been rebuffed no matter which party controls Congress. Whether this causes Romney’s own position on immigration to evolve, however, is something that bears watching.
About the Author
W. James Antle, III, author of the new book Devouring Freedom: Can Big Government Ever Be Stopped?, is editor of the Daily Caller News Foundation and a senior editor of The American Spectator. You can follow him on Twitter @jimantle.
Letter to the Editor View all comments (54) | Leave a comment
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Aristocat| 6.25.12 @ 6:25AM
Republicans can't out-pander the Democrats on immigration...Romney needs to remember what happened when Bush and McCain tried to pass amnesty....The citizens rose up and crushed them.
TLP| 6.25.12 @ 8:24AM
This Cat has got it right. You're never gonna beat this guy, playing His Game. Besides, this is a much bigger Straw Dog, than I think a lot of people realize.
They say that Colorado is in play for our Race Baiting Leader. They also say that Wisconsin is in play.
They say that New Mexico is in play. But then, so is Michigan.
They say that Utah and Wyoming are in play. I hear that Pennsylvaniamis in play.
Let this man, who was going to bring us together, run around tearing us apart. Let him keep Dividing us by Race, Gender, Colour, Religion, and Income. Give up a Run, to get The Out. Give up some yardage, in place of the Big Play.
Unemployment is the Great Equalizer. Unless you live in the Black Community, and prefer being an Obediant Dog, in exchange for Food and Water in your Dish, you want a Job. YOU wanna fend for yourself. YOU wanna provide for your family. YOU want to decide what's best for You, and Yours. Not Nancy Pelosi. Not Harry Reid. And not that POS in the White House, who's never Done a day's work in his life.
These desires Unite Us, as a People.
Leave the Gimmicks, to The Trickster.
That's, apparently, all he's got.
Brooksifier | 6.25.12 @ 1:18PM
You'll just have to accept that your white descendants will have less; no matter what anyone says, it is a zero sum game.
JD| 6.25.12 @ 3:11PM
Zero sum? Ladies and gentlemen, the summary of Democratic stupidity!
Brooksifier | 6.25.12 @ 5:39PM
He can't afford to alienate Latin voters, so he says what everyone wants to hear:
we must not let them in this country, but we must let them in. In other words,
"I, Mitt Romney cannot get elected by advocating stricter border laws, so I will talk out of both sides of my mouth."
Boar Hunter| 6.25.12 @ 6:35PM
I think it is far better than the hole Obama talks out of.
Sorry I meant to say lies out of because everything he says is a lie.
Brooksifier | 6.25.12 @ 8:11PM
You've got company: Jimmuh thinks Carter is a bad guy:
http://news.yahoo.com/jimmy-ca.....itics.html
Brooksifier | 6.25.12 @ 8:12PM
I meant Jimmuh Cawtah thinks OBAMA is a bad guy-
gee that was a close one!
btims86| 6.25.12 @ 6:34AM
The sad fact is, despite what some rigged polls say, the majority of Americans I believe want enforcement of border and immigration laws against illegal aliens and also want reduced legal immigration, for the majority of native born Americans feel they are losing their own country. Too much of anything, even a good thing, is not necessarily a good thing.
But the Beltway Elites want more, more, more immigration - to create a new electorate, beholden to more govt. social spending.
Jack in Wi| 6.25.12 @ 6:51AM
What does Romney stand for, except more of the same? Tell me where he and Obama differ in any meaningful way? The elites and the bankers have 2 pals. The American people have zero choice. If either guy wins we lose. Romney is a bumbler and so is Obama. Both are slaves to their handlers and consultants. They have no answers because, they don't know what the problems are.
TLP| 6.25.12 @ 8:35AM
So, why don't you board the next Flotilla Boat, heading for Palestine?
Go live with your Kid Killing buddies.
You could go to Egypt. You might even get a job checking all of the women for Virginty.
You could dig tunnels, or be in charge of Rock Collecting, just in case you find out that some of these girls, aren't as Virginy as they Claim to be. Or, if somebody's 14 year old Daughter, decides that she doesn't want to be Traded to the 70 year old Pig Slop Salesman, in exchange for 2 of his Pigs, and a bucket of Slop. There might even be some more RAPES of Reporters, you can get in on.
When in Tahir Square........
Right, Jack?
I just don't like to hear you so sad.
"ZIONISM is RACISM!"
How's that?
Better?
Good.
loulou| 6.25.12 @ 10:59AM
Good work putting Jacksh*t in his place!
Maybe now he'll go the way of his pal Clint and just disappear.
Alan| 6.25.12 @ 11:32AM
Uh oh! The Paulbot Faux Tea Party Bund Nitwit has Left The Building And His Mothers Basement!
Brooksifier | 6.25.12 @ 5:43PM
A decade after Abu Graib, playing the anti-semite card against Jack doesn't work.
Alan| 6.25.12 @ 10:08AM
The ramblings of a homeless paulbot, brings a tear to my eye. BTW, thats bankster, not banker, get your paulbot terminology correct.
Jack in Wi| 6.25.12 @ 5:20PM
So after all after all the usual BS, name calling, and lies, from the usual suspects, tell me where Romney differs from Obama? He is just more of the same, more wars and more bankruptcy, with more immigrants both legal and illegal flooding the country.
Alan| 6.25.12 @ 7:07PM
The ramblings of a homeless paulbot, brings a tear to my eye.
Oldefarte| 6.25.12 @ 2:49PM
People like you are obviously closet Democrats, and are the very reason why the current POTUS was elected in 2008. After ya boy is packin it in in LJ, you still are beating the drums of discontent with the Republican. Only complete morons are unable to distinguish between the Democrat and the Republican in this race. You may wish to contemplate the fact of today's economic storm clouds overhead, because if this POTUS is re-elected, not only will same come ashore but they will completely and totally wipe this country off the face of the map. Understand this: There is no choice in November.....it's either survival or destruction, so get your heads out of your rears and face the truth!!!!!!!!!!!
Jack in Wi| 6.25.12 @ 5:27PM
Old crazy man I have voted the Republican ticket for President for 12 straight times. I dislike Obama and everything he stands for. Give me a reason to vote for Romney. He is worse on wars and spending then even Obama. All his program stands for is wars, tax cuts for his rich pals, and cuts for the poor and elderly in the middle of the worst depression since the 30's. The only reason I can think of to vote for Romney is the Surpreme Court. That maybe enough if he fires all that neocon trash he has hanging around his campaign and gets some sane realists as advisors.
Al Adab| 6.25.12 @ 5:40PM
Of course Romney disappoints, he is a republican, not a Conservative. Republicans oppose the Conservative Movement and will always fail it. Would a Romney administration delay the inevitable? Perhaps, but the end will come just the same for such an administration will not reverse course only modify it.
Von Mises Jr| 6.25.12 @ 6:59AM
The first decision is always who gets to make the decision. We call autocrats dictators since they make all the decisions on everything. So there is no "Rule of Law," but only the "Rule of Man."
That being said, should not seniors be fearful that like Obama's diktat on the Dream Act, Sebelius and the One proscribe no cancer operations for anyone over 65 unless you are granted a waiver due to privileged status of being a big bundler or donor, or you have a close relative in the White House or Congress?
How about college graduates? Perhaps you only get your loan waived if you are black, illegal or gay. So if you are not of these favored groups, then you will pay for the others tuition through increased taxes.
Do people not grasp that once you create a dictatorial regime with arbitrary and capricious powers that you may not like the next big decision made for your future?
JP| 6.25.12 @ 7:05AM
This is a fight between Congress and the President. Mitt is playing it smart. An ambush for Mitt awaits. What Obama and his crew is hoping for is a mis-step or mis-spoken phrase concerning immigration. Once that happens, the issue isn't Obama's unconstitutional power grab, but Mitt's hatred of Hispanics. After 4 years the Obama playbook is obvious to anyone who pays attention.
MelvinNC| 6.25.12 @ 7:10AM
If there was every a reason not to vote this November, it was Romney's flaccid response to Obama's executive edict.
Romney cannot run effectively against Obama when their philosophies are somewhat similar at least in the area of Immigration that is.
Both the left and the Establishment Elitist Republicans espouse the United Nations plan on immgration.
UN migration chief Peter Southerland calls on EU to force member states to be multicultural as he says Britain's quota not legal. A article from the Daily Mail Online pretty much says it all as far as the end game of the Democrats and Establishment Republicans.
The key phrase is, "To Force," member states to comply with UN sanctioned immigration quotas.
And with Obama's executive edict, we are being forced.
TLP| 6.25.12 @ 8:43AM
Then, by all means, stay home. Don't vote.
Then you won't have to sit home, every night, wracking your brain, wondering if Romney will put an end to this Sovereignty Usurption Grab, by the U.N.
You can sleep soundly, knowing that people like YOU, were what put The Muslim over the top, whereby, you no longer have to "WORRY" about it, because it will have become A DONE DEAL.
So, what's it gonna be?
The Red Pill?
Or, the Blue one?
Or, are you hanging yourself, even as we speak?
MelvinNC| 6.25.12 @ 9:49AM
If you notice I began my opinion with, "If," that doesn't mean that I am not going to vote. Besides your little innuendo of, "People like you."
I guess maybe I should take that as a compliment, because today on another blog, I was labeled a racist hate filled member of the Tea Party.
Then again Mitt Romney isn't worth a flying fornication, and the Republican Establishment damn wells knows it. Every four years or so we are going to go through this wishy washy bullshit.
That is why I advocate a Pogrom against the Establishment Globalist Republicans after the election.
TLP| 6.25.12 @ 10:36AM
Maybe you SHOULD take "People like you" as a compliment.
I'm thinking that Someone like You, ain't exactly swimming in them, so, go on. Fish for all the Compliments you can catch.
I know you're not so Stupid, as to take your ball and go home, just because you didn't get the guy you wanted.
NEITHER DID I!
But, I sure the Hell ain't sitting on my hands, until Prince Charming comes along, either. That's what the Old Bag, up in Canada's got planned. (Although, I'm a wee bit puzzled as to how Old Prune Face is allowed to write "Rubber Chicken" in Our Election, when she lives in Canada. Eh?)
You want 4 more years?
You just stick to your guns.
You'll get'em.
We'll all get'em.
And, please, stop with the semantics. "IF"
Quit your bellyaching and focus on the job at hand.
Defeating the Muslim, and flushing the toilet, that he's made of The People's House.
Oldefarte| 6.25.12 @ 2:58PM
TLP is entirely correct and you had better contemplate his warning, for IMO is is far too subtle. If this POTUS is re-elected, there will be no USA within the following three years. It's not a question of does Romney believe this or not, will he do this or that, etc. Whatever he does as the the next POTUS will be far far more rational and viable to this country than the alternative Democrat. Try and understand this if possible: these administration is attempting to destroy this country by various means and will succeed in doing so if allowed four more years. There is no choice, there is no option, there is no ifs, ands, and buts. If you want this country to perish, then as TLP indicates, be STUPID AND STAY HOME AND NOT VOTE AND THEN WATCH YOUR COUNTRY BECOME ELIMINATED!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Oldefarte| 6.25.12 @ 3:15PM
If you stay home, THIS is waht you'll effectively be voting FOR:
'.....Democrats said the decision shows President Barack Obama was right to challenge the law's constitutionality and praised him for deferring the deportation of some young illegal immigrants. But they also said the decisions could encourage discrimination."I am greatly concerned that the provision putting American citizens in danger of being detained by police unless they carry their immigration papers at all times will lead to a system of racial profiling," said Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, a Democrat from swing-state Nevada...................'
TLP| 6.25.12 @ 4:33PM
It's far worse than that, O.F.
What's to stop Pharaoh from deciding that he will no longer Enforce the Laws pertaining to Bank Robbery, Kidnapping, Counterfeiting, Drug Smuggling, Rape, Treason, Espionage, and Murder?
That would mean that NOBODY can enforce them.
Where's Lee Harvey Oswald, when you need him?
Oldefarte| 6.25.12 @ 5:00PM
Yep, and as old Harry-Ars from Nevada proclaims, enforcement of same would become discrimination, disenfranchisement, gentrification, racism, sexism, homophobic, un-American, un-Muslim and everything in between, no doubt!!!!!!!!
Pecos Pete| 6.25.12 @ 7:17AM
Let the surrogates argue and fight the immigration issue. Romney should focus on the economy. Are you better off today than you were 4 years ago?
TLP| 6.25.12 @ 8:44AM
Give that man a Nat Sherman Cigar.
He gets it.
PolishKnight| 6.25.12 @ 1:28PM
And this is similar to what Obama has done when it comes to controversial issues (such as gay marriage). The question is whether Romney is just playing possum and fooling the mainstream media or is he fooling us?
TLP| 6.25.12 @ 2:28PM
Blue Pill.
Red Pill.
Stay at home.
Pick.
Anthony| 6.25.12 @ 9:35AM
The Obozo Administration's official policy on Voter I.D. is that they will not enforce laws that will prohibit ILLEGAL aliens from voting.
Holder calls the prohibition of ILLEGALS from voting, racism.
I call Obozo and Holder CRIMINALS.
C. Vernon Crisler | 6.25.12 @ 11:53AM
All of you Republican whores who supported Romney for the nomination have no right to complain that your nominee is moving left now. Stay tuned for more disappointment of that sort. We warned you about this but you wouldn't listen. Bozos.
TLP| 6.25.12 @ 2:30PM
So, you're plan is, WHAT, exactly?
Al Adab| 6.25.12 @ 4:21PM
Apres moi le deluge.
Drunken Sailor| 6.25.12 @ 4:31PM
Guillotines are expensive. Can we just sharpen our axes?
Al Adab| 6.25.12 @ 5:34PM
D/S:
LOL Have a great evening.
David| 6.25.12 @ 12:47PM
To the Rubio lovers (I like him too, just let him get a record at the federal level first) I heard him on the Arizona law yesterday. He said that the law is fine for Arizona with its problems, BUT he would NOT want to see that law as a model for the remainder of the nation. He said: "For example, I would not want to see that law passed in Florida".
So folks, Rubio may not be the conservative everyone thinks he is. I wish he would have provided details as to why he thinks the law is good for AZ, but not for other states.
Derek Leaberry| 6.25.12 @ 12:49PM
If elected, look for Romney to cobble together Reid, McCain, Graham, Rubio, Pelosi, Flake and other backstabbers. McCain has already said as much. The Democrats want to elect a new electorate. But why are the Republicans helping them? It would almost seem that the Republicans have a death wish.
Red Phillips | 6.25.12 @ 2:23PM
Republican who support more legal immigration and a "path to citizenship" for illegals either have a death wish or they can't do simple math. The demographic change they are inviting spells the end of the GOP as a serious player at the national level.
Who Knows?| 6.25.12 @ 1:24PM
Is it true that Rubio said what the Supreme Court affirmed for Arizona wouldn’t work for Florida?
As I understand it, the SCOTUS said it is legal for the police to check the immigration status of a criminal suspect.
Does Rubio really think Florida cops shouldn’t be able to do this?
We DON’T need no stinkin’ papers!
David| 6.25.12 @ 2:26PM
Rubio did not say the AZ law "wouldn't work in FLorida". He said he did not want the AZ law to be a model for the rest of the nation. Then added: "For example, I would not want the see the AZ law passed in FL".
Why? Why Not Senator Rubio? Makes no sense to me. If AZ can enforce federal immigration laws because the fed won't do it, then why can't FL or any other state do the same?
cicero| 6.25.12 @ 2:11PM
As the old maxim goes, when you find your enemy beating himself over the head with a hammer, don't get in the way. Romney doesn't have to get into this argument at this time. We are still months away from the real fight. At this moment, Obama keeps making headlines all by himself, and none of them are good. For Romney to jump in would be to take ths spotlight off of O's debacles.
Romney's job will be to win the election on behalf of the Republican Party, then administer the country on behalf of the American people. Whether he will be a good president can only be judged in retrospect. However, we already have the retrospection to judge that Obama has been a terrible president. We can't afford to give him another 4 years just to see if he will be any better in a second term.
We have a choice only between the two candidates who are running. Call it the lesser of two evils, or whatever you want, but that is the fact of the matter. In the history of this country, only one candidate was obviously qualified, and better than any other option, and he had no oposition - Washington. He is not on the ballot.
C. Vernon Crisler | 6.25.12 @ 3:12PM
Right, Obama is losing this election all by himself. However, I don't think conservatives should get their hopes up about Romney, even if he wins, which is likely. He will move toward Ford rather than Reagan, and four years from now, Republicans will have to defend him in a hopeless cause against some new, record-less Democrat challenger.
Derek Leaberry| 6.25.12 @ 4:06PM
Very well said. Sad but true.
David| 6.25.12 @ 2:28PM
Rubio did not say the AZ law "wouldn't work in FLorida". He said he did not want the AZ law to be a model for the rest of the nation. Then added: "For example, I would not want the see the AZ law passed in FL".
Why? Why Not Senator Rubio? Makes no sense to me. If AZ can enforce federal immigration laws because the fed won't do it, then why can't FL or any other state do the same?
Oldefarte| 6.25.12 @ 3:05PM
This SCOTUS verdict is not a complete victory, but it's a partial one at least. It can be enhanced within the future legislatively. The optimum solution is to defeat the current administration and as many Democrats as possible in November and beyond who are now controlling our federal government. If the federal government was properly managed/administered, the federal law would sufficiently deal with this illegal immigration issue. The only reason states have legislated their own laws is because the federal government refused to do its enforcement job. Elect conservative Republicans to federal office and the problem will be solvable!!!!!!!!
C. Vernon Crisler | 6.25.12 @ 3:13PM
Dittos...
TLP| 6.25.12 @ 4:38PM
When you throw in the fact that the Bull Dyke, at Homeland Security - Chaz Bono Napolitano - has just stated that she WILL NOT RESPOND to any calls from Arizona.
So, checking their papers, means nothing.
HEIL OBAMA!
ARBEIT MACHT FREI!
SIC SEMPER TYRANNUS!
ReaganConservative4ever| 6.26.12 @ 12:39AM
Romney is basically a man with no plan. For someone who wants to be President, he has a severe lack of direction, vision, and concrete plans, as the United States of America, Domestically and Internationally, is not the State of Mass.., nor is it the State of impromptu policy.
And this is the candidate everyone, (the Republican voters in the Primary) wants to lead the nation out of the Obama catastrophic economic, political, and social disaster, not to mention the international carnage that has reeked upon our closest Allies in the world, especially and particularly Israel.
Ron Ackenberry| 6.27.12 @ 4:22AM
I agree the immigration issue is a "gambit" for both parties.
It's unseemly pandering and, yes, President Obama gamed first. The gambit worked to reduce Mr. Romney towards familiar mumbling incoherence. Thus, a point or so goes to Obama.
Time to get the Etch-a-Sketch out.