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Scott Brown’s Balancing Act

It’s not easy being Brown in a blue state.

(Page 2 of 2)

Brown’s office has been tireless at constituent services, even retaining some of Kennedy’s staffers who helped with immigration issues. (That kind of work frankly had more to do with Kennedy’s political durability than his liberal voting record.) He is a dogged door-knocker and practitioner of retail politics. Brown’s press releases emphasize the local (remember Tip O’Neill’s adage?) and the non-ideological.

Elizabeth Warren is none of those things. She is a defender of the “99 percent.” A Harvard professor who advised President Obama on financial regulation, she was a liberal favorite to become the first person to run the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Obama declined because he didn’t think he could get her confirmed and ended up having to ram through Richard Cordray in a disputed recess appointment. (Brown, ironically, was a rare Republican who voted for the CFPB’s creation and Cordray’s confirmation.)

Warren is running against Wall Street and economic inequality. That’s not exactly a losing message in Massachusetts. But like Coakley, she’s an imperfect populist. Warren supported the $700 billion bank bailout, which she oversaw for the Obama administration. She’s also willing to take campaign donations from bailout recipients, though she claims such contributions flow purely from those who “want reform.” She told the Boston Herald, “There are people on Wall Street who actually believe we need better rules, fairer rules.” The Washington Examiner’s Tim Carney had a somewhat different take: “The way you prove you want reform? You give money to Warren.”

BROWN AND WARREN arrived at an agreement to discourage third party ads that take a side in the Massachusetts Senate race. Brown has twice had to make donations to a charity of Warren’s choice because business groups have ostensibly violated the pledge. He most recently cut a check for $34,545 because of a series of commercials by the American Petroleum Institute. But the agreement could end up being marginally to Brown’s benefit, because at this point more outside groups may be inclined to support Warren (the biggest out-of-state conservative group helping Brown was the Karl Rove-aligned American Crossroads).

An exchange Brown and Warren had over the pledge also highlights a potential pitfall for the Democrat. “I am pleased to uphold my end of the bargain with Professor Warren,” Brown said in a statement. “With this action, we have taken a step toward strengthening the People’s Pledge by expanding it to cover issue ads. I am determined to keep third-party groups out of Massachusetts and I am encouraged that issue ads are now covered and by the commitment that both candidates have shown to honoring the People’s Pledge.”

Contrast this with Warren’s statement: “It is appropriate that on the day Scott Brown votes to give billions in tax dollars to big oil, the richest most profitable companies on the planet, he’s writing a check because big oil spent tens of thousands of dollars advertising on his behalf. Big oil and energy already have given him nearly $200,000. But we are glad he has decided to pay up and the pledge is intact.”

One of Martha Coakley’s problems was that she appeared relentlessly negative, while Brown remained positive and upbeat. It’s more acceptable for a challenger to criticize an incumbent’s record, and unlike the special election, the Brown-Warren contest will happen while other political mudslinging is going on. But Warren at least runs a risk of falling into the trap Brown set for Coakley. Writes Bernstein, “Tellingly, Brown has not unleashed his bankroll to attack Warren—to define her negatively, before she has a chance to solidify a positive impression.”

Although Warren’s strong poll and fundraising numbers cleared the field of major primary competitors, her glide path to the Democratic nomination is also attributable to her party’s major elected officials taking a pass on the race. Boston Mayor Thomas Menino has openly signaled that he thinks Brown will win and that Warren must prove she is “saleable.” In a late March interview, he even declined to express support for Warren. “I’m not with anybody at this time,” Menino told a Boston television station. “At this time, I’m not involved in the campaign.”

BROWN IS A RARE Massachusetts Republican who has never lost an election. Warren is a Democrat who has never won one. But this won’t be a cakewalk. Brown has little margin for error. Warren’s party affiliation gives her a much higher floor. Remember that Coakley ran a much worse campaign in a more difficult climate without high turnout from Democratic blocs, and she still received 47.1 percent of the vote. Brown ran in a Tea Party year with an element of surprise and got 51.9 percent.

With the exception of the GOP landslide year of 1994, Republican statewide winners since 1990 have typically finished in the low 50s by carrying at least 65 percent of independents, 25 percent of Democrats, and 90 percent of Republicans. Brown will have to hit those numbers while Obama is on the ballot, in a state where recent Democratic presidential nominees have broken 60 percent. Massachusetts Republicans fielded an unusually competitive slate of candidates in the last election, but all of them, except for Brown and some people running for the legislature, lost.

So it’s no surprise that Scott Brown will be behind Romney in the race for the White House. Romney is the only candidate who might keep Obama below 60 percent in Massachusetts. But in his typical balancing act, Brown will stay way, way behind Romney.

Page:   12

About the Author

W. James Antle, III, author of the new book Devouring Freedom: Can Big Government Ever Be Stopped?, is editor of the Daily Caller News Foundation and a senior editor of The American Spectator. You can follow him on Twitter @jimantle.

Letter to the Editor View all comments (42) |

Erling| 5.1.12 @ 7:43AM

Nice try, but I'm not buying. It's not only his betrayal of centuries of English and American military custom to limit its membership to those who do not practice buggery, but I noticed a photo of Brown in uniform after making a VIP trip to Afghanistan that he wore a combat patch on his right sleeve. But did Brown deploy in support of Operation Enduring Freedom? No, he visited the combat zone in uniform for a couple of weeks; that, my friends appears to be a fraud.

Jack in Wi.| 5.1.12 @ 7:57AM

Another pretty boy, big government, liberal Republican about to bite the dust. Why vote for a bad immitation when you can get the real liberal on the Democrat side. If we are ever going to build a conservative small government party in liberal states we have to take on the liberals with true conservatives, like we did here in Wi. with Scott Walker. Most of these states are bankrupt and going deeper into the tank. Starting next week I am taking my considerable ability to make trouble over to the Milwaukee Journal webbsite and other state papers as well to join the war going on in this state. Win or lose Scott has done one hell of a job. Right now I think he is going to win.

I hate to disappoint all my old pals like Demented Dr. Wrong and the pychotic psychiatrist Dr Occam. But I am not going to be around here much, for awhile.

gearjammer| 5.1.12 @ 8:16AM

The northeast Republican is making a comeback-you'll just have to learn to live with it.

Clint| 5.1.12 @ 8:47AM

Republicans make up just 11 percent of registered voters in The Peoples Republic Of Massachusetts, with the largest group of voters choosing to remain unaffiliated.

gearjammer| 5.1.12 @ 12:11PM

They once were GOP. All these Indies. People out here-many-are horrified by one party nut job democrat rule. It may be too late. I blast them-tell them I told you so. So many are against GOP because of religion, etc-I tell the preacher man doesn't have his hand in your pocket, wake up. Still theyare in alot of cases simply brainwashed.

KennesawJack| 5.1.12 @ 12:25PM

You know, Jack, you are obviously an intelligent man but, at the same time, incredibly myopic. Think what it would mean if an incoming REPUBLICAN Senate had 60 Republicans. On the issues that are, literally, existential to our way of life, i.e. Obamacare, unelected Czars, runaway regulators, SUPREME COURT JUSTICES, Brown (and other moderate Republicans) will vote with the majority. If you're waiting for Massachusetts to elect a conservative to your liking, you have a long wait coming. Why cut your nose off to spite your face? Yours is a facile perspective and so incredibly shallow. It shows either a true lack of understanding of the situation in this country, or simply a suicidal approach to it.

gearjammer| 5.1.12 @ 8:14AM

Maybe his some in his unit deployed and he provided combat service support back home. Maybe that entitled him and others the patch. The military has many patches but you slander from a photo. The Globe which will do anything to destroy him is all over this guy and everything about him. If it is a fraud we'll know. He might win. My wife works in a
Boston hospital and it is unionized. Last time alot of her life long democrat friends actually strayed from party line-they liked Brown. They are not crazy about healthcare under Obama=raises are ancient history and more and more cuts occur. Not a peep from the union. After all these years, these women, who do great work, are starting to get it. Their 403b's are not so great either-some of them will vote for Brown again-if that happens he wins.

runnymeade| 5.2.12 @ 1:01AM

No, you can only wear the patch if you were there. And officers in particular are to be very circumspect. If you just showed up for three or four weeks even, sorry, no self-respecting officer is going to don the patch. It has to be a unit authorization, and you have to really have invested the time there to merit wearing the patch on your right side upper sleeve.

Providing any service "back home" or outside the combat zone never qualifies.

By the way, if Brown wants to claim himself worthy of the Army, he needs to get a real haircut.

i.e. the guy's a fraud.

Look for him to be the next GOP guy in a big D.C. sex scandal.

Anthony| 5.1.12 @ 9:45AM

If Brown can't beat Madam Marxist (Sitting Bull) Warren, the phony leftist village idiot from Harvard Law, who makes Coakley seem like Churchill, then all is lost for Massaholea.
Apparently, Warren claims to be a descendent of Sitting Bull, but the only thing she has in common with Sitting Bull is the bull****. Warren's defense to the charge of her phony Indian ancestry is that it was "family lore". Ah yes, being a leftist is never having to apologize for being stupid.
Oh well, not even Big Poppy or Bobby Valentine can save Massachusetts...... too bad.

Bill| 5.1.12 @ 9:50AM

Yes, Sen. Brown is from a blue state, but he is elected by the Tea Partiers, and he should never abandon them. Jack kemp was from NY, but he was a solid conservative throught his political career.

Bo Darville| 5.1.12 @ 10:57AM

Ummm... If he were a Tea Partier first and Massachusetts Senator second, he'd lose his re-election by about 90 percentage points. Senators from Wyoming and Utah have a bit more leeway. Kemp was a US Rep from a Republican District in upstate NY. A little different thatn being a Senator from a Democrat state.

rightasrain| 5.1.12 @ 11:06AM

I don't begrudge Brown his northeast Republican, blue-state squishiness. I just hope the Tea Party wises up and uses its limited financial resources elsewhere.

Bill| 5.1.12 @ 12:05PM

NY has some rural terrains, but its all Blue.

Tim the Enchanter| 5.1.12 @ 3:54PM

NY is not as blue as it appears. And I lived in Kemp's district and was proud to vote for him.

Bill| 5.1.12 @ 6:00PM

Gerrymandering took a heavy toll on GOP powerhouse in NY. I read that The Dems have dismantled all the 7 current districts represented by GOP lawmakers, hoping to clinch all 27 congressional seats in 2012. Pretty scary.
NY, IL, an CA, GOP got no chance!

Nick| 5.1.12 @ 11:40AM

"That nigger lover President Clinton had the pen and vetoed so many good bills passed by the Gingrich-led Congress."
- Written by Billy the Bigot, in the Time for Newt to Do the Honorable Thing thread:
http://spectator.org/archives/.....ent_749403

"[Miami] is infested by millions of uneducated Cubans and Haitian whores."
- Written by Billy the Bigot, in the Rubio's Nuanced Neoconcervatism thread:
http://spectator.org/blog/2012.....ent_805157

You're a moron and a racist, Bigot Billy from Florida.
GO AWAY!

Bill| 5.1.12 @ 12:06PM

Nicky, the stupid racist whore pig.
Go away, Nicky the Bigot!
Nobody likes you, you racist psycho, Nicky the pervert. Go to Hell!

Nick| 5.1.12 @ 12:10PM

But, you're still a RACIST PIG.
Just leave, Billy the Bigot from Florida!

You, and all of your tranny friends, GO AWAY and listen to Laddy GagGag, will ya'?

Bill| 5.1.12 @ 1:24PM

You're a racist PIG WHORE.
Just leave, Nicky the neo-Nazi from Detroit.
Nicky the racist pig.

Nick| 5.1.12 @ 2:39PM

Go pick-up some tranny hookers and listen to Laddy GagGag, Billy the Bigot.
She's a man, baby!

Why aren't you posting as Johnny Jackboot today?
You swamp-sucking RACIST PIG!

Bill| 5.1.12 @ 2:57PM

Go to Hell, Nicky the neo-Nazi racist pig.
You hate Lady Gaga cause you ain't got no talent, still sucking your mom tits, Nicky the neo-Nazi.

Tim the Enchanter| 5.1.12 @ 3:55PM

Flame war time!

Bill Hussein O'Stalin| 5.1.12 @ 10:01AM

Apparently, Elizabeth Warren claimed Native American status in college law school directories. Now, she is claiming she can prove her Native America heritage but so far hasn't produced any evidence. Scott Brown should call on her to take a DNA test, not to prove she's a man, but to indicate if she's telling the truth on her Native American heritage.

It's a winner for Scott either way. If she's not a Native American Indian, then Scott can call her out on being a fraud. If she is an American Indian, then Scott can implicate her in the Custer massacre. Either way, I don't see how he can lose.

http://news.yahoo.com/native-a.....05205.html
The Democratic candidate is facing questions about her heritage following the revelation on Friday that she described herself as a Native American minority in professional law school directories during the 1980s and ’90s.

Boar Hunter| 5.1.12 @ 10:25AM

Just to update you, apparently a genealogist discovered that her great, great, great something or other listed Cherokee on their birth certificate so this blond haired blue eyed harridan is by extension 1/32 American Indian. It's a good thing she claimed it because no one would have ever known by looking at her.

As far as I'm concerned she's just another example of liberal hypocrisy.

rightasrain| 5.1.12 @ 10:56AM

Scott Brown has been a big disappointment. I hope he wins and if I lived in MA he'd get my vote, but unlike last time, he won't get a nickel from me.

randyinrocklin| 5.1.12 @ 11:09AM

I hope he loses, I contributed to his campaign the last time, but that's it. he's an ungrateful SOB, that did not appreciate who got him where he is today. he's nothing but a big RINO that we don't need.

Dagny Taggert| 5.1.12 @ 11:25AM

Well, randy, he's my senator, and like many elections, he may not be perfect for you, but consider the alternative.

By the way it's officially "Granny Warren" as annointed by our true local hero, Howie Carr. And Granny's listing as a Native American on the Harvard Law School staff was used in their defense of lacking diversity at one point.

Granny also claimed to be the "intellectual foundation" for the occupy losers. Now it's out that she earned $880,000 last year.

Phony Indian minority, phony 99%er.

She's a fraud, and doesn't have a chance. Brown may be a RINO, but no way a straight-laced conservative ever gets to sniff the senate seat.

Apologies to the rest of the country for our moonbat legislators, but Brown's the best we're going to do in this sad, one-party state.

gearjammer| 5.1.12 @ 12:15PM

You needed him to block Reid, Pelosi,Boxer and the gang-such an idiot.

Roscoe| 5.1.12 @ 11:10AM

The straw that broke the camel's back for this Floridian - ensuring that this time round, the Brown campaign won't get any more of my hard-earned - was his completely smutty, crass and unneccessary "joke" about Rick Santorum. That was the limit. I could maybe have gotten past all the rest of it, putting all the maneuvers down to political canniness (and necessity), as James Antle describes above. I could maybe have found another few bucks to contribute to his cause against Coakley. However Brown completely disappointed me that day. Any decent man wouldn't have said that.

Dan| 5.1.12 @ 11:48AM

Does the Republican brand suffer from trying to maintain a presence in blue states that are not open to a conservative message?

Are we paying a price in the Dakotas, in the Carolinas, in the Mountain West, for the watering down of our message, our theme, our agenda, when we try to maintain a presence in a very sick Northeast?

Sure, we all applauded when Brown won!

But winning the seat and trying to keep that seat are quite different.

If we just won those Senate seats from those states we reliably take in Presidential elections, we would be able to block most of the idiocy emerging from the Senate. If we were then able to build on that base, by picking up seats elsewhere, such as one in Pennsylvania, we would be able to get our legislation through.

Ask yourselves, why have we ever lost Senate races in the Dakotas, in the Carolinas, in Montana?

Shouldn't we ALWAYS have strong and staunch conservative representation form those states?

Shouldn't that be par for the course?

Dick Nome | 5.1.12 @ 12:58PM

Brown ran as a quasi-conservative then promptly morphed back to a RINO.

PolishKnight| 5.1.12 @ 4:17PM

Gentlemen, I was just thinking of something so wicked, and brilliant, that you all would just love it!

Indeed, the problem with the rust belt states being so liberal especially in senate seats is that the whole system is rigged for Democrat pork barrel spending: All of the pork, none of the guilt!

Consider taxachusettes: Tons of money coming in from the big dig, and defense contracts for those white collar welfare workers, and relatively few of the illegals migrate north up to there.

Well, we can change that.

Let's have along with crackdowns in Arizona, free bus tickets (or even one way plane tickets!) for illegals to Boston with a road map for all the (state funded) welfare goodies. If they love 'em so much, let them open up their homes (and wallets) Also, hand them brochures and DVD (spanish version) of the film "Bowling for Columbine" and other Michael Moore films outlining how great Canada's welfare state is.

Sound familiar? It's what Giuliani did in NYC and "encouraged" welfare recipients to move to Jersey and Northeast Pennsylvania...

Clint| 5.1.12 @ 4:56PM

" New Yorkers get more government aid per person from social programs than residents of any other state, a USA TODAY analysis finds.

The state's Medicaid program is the most expensive in the nation, driving the average cost of all government benefits in New York to $9,442 per person.

New York ranks 28th in Social Security payments per person and 9th in Medicare benefits. But the spending on Medicaid, the health program for the poor, is far above that in any other state. Only Washington, D.C., spends more."

albert constantine jr.| 5.1.12 @ 10:27PM

PK;

Don't forget to add Delaware to the list, as the mass of criminal offenders we've received in the last 15-20 years with "Place of Birth: New York" in their criminal history keep our prisons well-stocked.

David| 5.1.12 @ 12:05PM

Good comments, Dan.

gearjammer| 5.1.12 @ 12:18PM

Thousands in the Dakotas keeping track of Scott Brown-you got that right, tens of thousands. Yep, Brown goes Rino and then run to the democrats. Please become a political consultant-FOR OBAMA.

FWB| 5.1.12 @ 1:42PM

Doesn't that smoke hurt your Azz? Brown like every other politician can be recognized when he lies. And like every other politician we know he is lying because his lips are moving.

Bob Grant| 5.1.12 @ 7:46PM

Come on people. Put Brown in perspective for crikes sake!!

He replaced Ted Kennedy, one of, if not the most, despicable liberals in modern history. The state is heavily left-leaning so a Goldwater republican wouldn't have a chance. He's a RINO as political calculation because that's his only chance.

Having said that, I would make sure he remains a back benching senator WITH NO POWER as long as he remains senator.

Republican's can count on Brown 55-60 percent of the time to do the right thing. Under the circumstances, I'll take it.

Support the guy if you can.

POST American| 5.2.12 @ 4:20AM

---Great piece!

BTW ---CHECK OUT Joel Skousen's
May 1st interview on Alex Jones.

Informed speculation on the Globalist
setting up of the US for large, even
nuclear CON-flict with the
Russians and/or RED Chinese sprung off
-------a North Korean attack on the South.
ALLL to be used to finish off the American republic,
such as it now is, and bring in
capstone AUTHORITARIAN government
here and worldwide,--and OPEN implemenation
of their ever 'on the go' EUGENICS agenda.

--------------------------------------RIVETING!

AGAIN--for the hard of SEEING---

'KOREA, and NOT the long gone World Wars,
was (--and IS! the defining conflict of the 20th
century viz a viz the 21st."
-POST American

In this, the undeniable 11th hour of the
CFR--RED China handover and takedown
op ---the signs are ALREADY on the ground.

---------------HUAC/ Nuremberg 2012--------------

mmercier| 5.2.12 @ 5:00AM

Most here do not understand Massachusetts.

We are so far behind enemy lines, we have been left for dead.

No conservative here givesva crap for the rest of you all. We are as deadvto you, asvyou are to us.

mmercier| 5.2.12 @ 5:08AM

Forgot to add... we are hardcore bitches. The republic shall soon be modified by our action.

We started this game, and we will end it.

Remember where you heard it first.

From olde salem village, on the plains.

Goldwaterite| 5.7.12 @ 6:28PM

"Teddy Hereafter"
It seems that a couple of weeks ago, Lucifer himself was walking around Hell, observing all the suffering. He was on a mission to be sure everyone was enduring the maximum pain when he noticed a chubby old guy with white hair sweating and shoveling coal. The guy was obviously in great distress, but the Devil decided he just wasn't suffering sufficiently. So, he walked up to the perspiring old fellow and whispered in his ear, "Hey, Teddy, have I told you a Republican got your Senate seat?"

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