Burma’s agony continues. On Sunday the military dictatorship
held a rigged election to cloak itself in civilian garb. The people
of Burma will continue to suffer under one of the worst governments
on earth.
Gen. Ne Win seized power in 1962. Nearly a half century
later the country is ruled by a junta headed by Gen. Than Shwe. The
military’s crimes are many. It has imposed a corrupt and brutal
dictatorship; conducted a genocidal war against dissident ethnic
groups; suppressed civil and political liberties; kept the country
desperately poor; and enriched well-connected allies at public
expense. The government even impeded international assistance after
devastating Cyclone Nargis in 2008.
The regime has repeatedly attempted to rebrand itself. For
instance, the junta once called itself the State Law and Order
Restoration Council, SLORC, but shifted to the State Peace and
Development Council. Alas, the only peace the SPDC believes in is
of the grave and the only development it supports is of junta
members’ bank accounts. The generals occasionally ousted and
imprisoned each other.
In 1990 the junta foolishly held an election. Like the
Nicaraguan Sandinistas and Polish Communists, who also called free
ballots, the Burmese military overestimated its popular support.
The Burmese people decisively rejected the regime, overwhelmingly
voting for Nobel Laureate Aung San Suu Kyi and the National League
for Democracy. So the generals voided the result, suppressed the
NLD, and quarantined Suu Kyi, subjecting her to house arrest for 15
of the last 21 years.
There has been no mellowing over the years. In 2003 the
regime promised a “roadmap to discipline-flourishing democracy,”
which emphasized discipline over democracy. The SPDC ruthlessly
suppressed protests led by Buddhist monks in 2007. The following
year the junta stuffed ballot boxes in a referendum on its
authoritarian constitution, drafted without popular input. The
generals routinely harassed Suu Kyi and sentenced many of her
supporters to long prison terms. The regime reached ceasefire
agreements with a number of rebellious ethnic groups, but since
then has begun demanding that the forces disarm, a nonstarter for
people who have suffered from unlimited military barbarity for
decades.
The junta’s latest strategy is another election, for a
two-house national parliament and 14 state and regional assemblies.
However, this ballot was rigged from the start to prevent any
chance of the opposition triumphing. First, there was no
independent election commission and no foreign observers were
allowed. No electioneering, let along criticism of the government
was permitted. The media is largely controlled by the government;
even nominally private publications are censored. So are sermons by
monks. The cost of registering to run alone exceeded the per capita
GDP. Elaine Pearson, deputy Asia director for Human Rights Watch,
complained: the vote was “being conducted in a climate of fear,
intimidation, and resignation.”
Second, some 2000 imprisoned democracy activists,
including Suu Kyi and many other NLD members, were deemed
ineligible to run. Political parties were required to expel members
with “criminal” records, including for political offenses, to
contest the ballot.
Thus, the NLD, the nation’s only legitimate governing
force, refused to participate. The generals then dissolved the
party (along with nine others). NLD activists responded by urging a
boycott. The regime threatened to jail them while promising
development projects to neighborhoods where residents marked their
ballots ahead of time. The government also barred people from
participating in many eastern ethnic areas, while in others
rebellious groups refused to participate.
Third, the regime turned military apparatchiks into
civilian candidates. Through the misnamed United Solidarity and
Development Party the generals fielded candidates to contest all
1,163 offices at stake. The equally misnamed National Unity Party,
representing Ne Win, the original dictator who was ousted in 1988,
put up 999 candidates. Richard Horsey, a former UN official,
contended that victories by some of the latter would demonstrate
that the military is not monolithic, but the NUP no more represents
the Burmese people does than the USDP. Both military factions are
paranoid, xenophobic, and despotic.
In contrast, the National Democratic Force, a rump group
of former NLD-activists, only contested 163 seats. A number of
other small parties, including several ethnic-based organizations,
ran a few candidates. A number of independents also stood for
office. Still, Burma’s foreign minister, Nyan Win, claimed: “Such a
large participation made it crystal clear that the elections become
virtually inclusive.”
Fourth, parties were required to affirm support for the
2008 constitution imposed by the SPDC. That document reserves
one-fourth of the lower house and one-third of the upper house to
the military, allows the “civilian” president to turn power over to
the military, creates a National Defense and Security Council, and
permits the military-controlled Union Election Commission to
dismiss legislators for “misbehavior.”
Authority will not be transferred. The generals will
remain in charge. The Burmese people are not fooled. Ashin
Issariya, a founding member of the All Burma Monks Alliance,
observed: “It will be the same faces and the same system that we
have been living with for decades. The name ‘elections’ does not
change anything for us.” Long-time NLD activist Win Tin said the
election “will just help the military get what they want — to rule
for a century or more.” Dot Lay Mu of the Karen National Union
warned: the generals are using the poll to “consolidate and
prolong” their control.
The junta’s objective is another image makeover. Today the
SPDC is widely reviled around the world and subject to U.S. and
European sanctions. The generals hope to gain greater international
acceptance.
The international response to the junta has been divided.
The U.S. and Europe have campaigned against the regime, but Burma’s
neighbors have refused to join in. China supports the generals
irrespective of how many people they kill. India is economically
active in Burma and, along with Malaysia and Singapore, trains SPDC
military officers. Other countries, including Thailand, have
refused to do more than apply limited pressure, valuing Burma’s
natural resources more than Burmese human rights.
Now Asian governments are lauding the poll while Western
governments are unsure how to respond. Some analysts argue that
even a flawed election presages possible political
liberalization.
Sai Wansai| 11.8.10 @ 6:55AM
The Obama administration should come out distinctly with a new approach, which does not deviate from the tripartite solution of finding accommodation through dialogue between the National League for Democracy, non-Burman ethnic groups and the Burmese junta.
While the tripartite dialogue approach is convincing, the junta refuses to participate and even rejects the idea. Its logic is to set up its own game rule - such like the recent sham election - and monopolize political decision-making power. As such, there could be no dialogue and the dialogue process would never get started.
One way to do it is to change the balance of power, so that dialogue option could become attractive or at least a necessity for its own group survival.
To reach such a stage, Osama could empower the democratic elements and as well, the non-Burman ethnic groups through empowering civil societies, practically helping ethnic resistance armies to protect their population from human rights abuses, which are going on daily, and help build up sanctuaries along the Thai, India and China borders as humanitarian intervention. This would also be in line with the doctrine of “Responsibility to Protect”, which Obama also endorsed in July 2009.
I am sure, if such bold steps are taken by the Obama administration, the junta's power base will fall like a house of cards, in no time. Obama only needs to have a political will to do it.
Ryan| 11.8.10 @ 8:21AM
Ooooh...things are about to get fun. We'll probably see some Burmese authoritarian apologists (likely government-paid trolls who view message boards, like most third world regimes seem to have) later today...
OneOut| 11.8.10 @ 8:22AM
You might just be on to something.
Community organizing is what he does best.
Doctor Right| 11.8.10 @ 11:24AM
The Teleprompter-of-the-United-States (TOTUS) is heavily engaged in developing a workable solution to the situation in Burma.
As soon as real, working solution is approved, TOTUS will draft a speech for his sock-puppet "Barry" to deliver to the U.N.
Roy| 11.9.10 @ 12:58AM
This really could have done without the first 2 1/2 pages about how terrible the Burmese regime was, and just skipped to the part where we don't do anything about it.
Of course our previous efforts have "failed", just as our previous efforts to bring democracy to Eastern Europe had "failed" before 1989.
My theory of the mini-Cold War between us and China is that we win and they lose.