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The Election Doomsday Scenario

Why conservatives shouldn't count before hatching time.

Let's posit that conservatives have every reason for optimism in the coming elections. The Tea Parties are enthusiastic and powerful. Middle America is fed up with big government. The left is dispirited. The polls looks great. It therefore would take a real wet blanket to warn that the momentum could fizzle and the triumph be less than grand.

Sorry, but this blanket is wet indeed.

Before we go any farther, please understand: This is not a prediction; it's a warning. It isn't meant to kill optimism, but only to temper it. Vince Lombardi's Packers won not because they were confident of victory, but because they were prepared for anything their opponents might throw at them. Churchill offered "sunlit uplands" only after the blood, toil, tears and sweat. As the campaign season enters its home stretch, conservatives need steel to go with their energy, and need to recognize their vulnerabilities that must be shored up.

The reality is that a lot can happen in the last 26 days of a campaign. In Louisiana in 1987, Congressman Buddy Roemer went from fifth place to first in a five-way race for governor. In 1976 in just a few weeks more, Gerald Ford made up almost all of a 32-point poll deficit. In just one week in 1980, Ronald Reagan went from a dead heat to a landslide victory. In 2000, an estimated 3-4 million Evangelical voters stayed home after the Bush drunk driving story broke just four days before the election -- almost costing Bush the campaign. And so on.

With those examples in mind, and remembering that the public remains badly soured on Republicans in a way that just didn't exist in the Newt Gingrich "Contract with America" year of 1994, here are some of the things conservatives must guard against:

Overconfidence itself. Campaigns easily can peak too soon. Campaign workers and candidates alike can allow exhaustion and good polls subconsciously to lead them to coast, while late attacks against them do more damage than expected. Unless a campaign prepares for a well-planned but highly energetic finishing kick, it might find itself finished with a kick to the curb.

An October Surprise. Yeah, yeah, you might say this is such a trope or so trite, so much a typical ploy from losing campaigns, that voters discount anything that comes too late. Well, tell that to those 4 million Evangelical voters in 2000. Tell that to all the pollsters who find, year in and year out, that large percentages of voters make up their minds in the final few days.

This year's surprise could be a doozy. Watch Barack Obama send some drones, or maybe a few guided missiles, to bomb facilities in Iran that help support Mr. Ahmadinejad's nuke plants. Watch him talk tough. Watch the network anchors fall all over themselves praising his wisdom and toughness. Watch the top newspapers run front-page "news" stories citing "independent" analysts who all agree, beyond a shadow of a doubt, that Obama's action successfully averted Armageddon. And watch John McCain or Lindsey Graham rush to the microphones to applaud Obama for taking "their" advice.

Get-out-the-vote (GOTV) advantages for the left . Like it or not, the Obama team showed a superb ability in 2008 to turn out its vote. And the unions and trial lawyers, just as freed up by the Citizens United campaign finance case as are all those supposedly evil corporations, will be awash in untraceable money that will find its way to the "streets" -- where only local enforcement, if it's honest, can stop its misuse, because the federal Department of Justice will not, repeat will not, prosecute anybody on the left for buying votes from the prisons and graveyards.

Meanwhile, there is no obvious evidence that the Republican party committees are anywhere near as well focused on GOTV as was the Rove-Gillespie-Mehlman team in 2004, with its micro-targeting and its deliberate piggybacking on state referenda and its whole, meticulously designed GOTV roll-out. Say what you will about the Rove team on other fronts, but its GOTV efforts in 2004 were brilliant -- and, at least at the RNC, which is where funding and organization of such "party-building" activities usually originates, the Republicans seem curiously delinquent this year.

Conservatives can take hope, however, in assurances received Tuesday night that Tea Party groups and the like, independently, seem to be picking up the GOTV slack. Even in 2004, the Rove efforts were bolstered tremendously by the phenomenal outside efforts of cultural-conservative groups who organized themselves to pass referenda against homosexual marriage. The question this time is whether outside groups can do just as well when there is no apparent major overlap from a Republican party effort.

Major electoral abuses. This is the biggest concern of all, with a couple of dozen House or Senate races expected to be nail-biters. Unless Republicans win each election by at least half a percentage point, or even three-quarters of a point, among real, actual, live, legal voters, they should expect to lose in the final "official" tally. Why? Because the left is good at stealing elections. Heck, even dead goldfish have been known to vote. Specifically, a dead goldfish named Princess. Yes, literally.

And now the aforementioned Justice Department, especially its Voting Rights Section, is as corrupt as anything this country has seen since John Mitchell carried Dick Nixon's water. Dead people and felons remain on the voter rolls. Some of them actually vote from their graveyards. Too many military personnel are disenfranchised. Minority voters are protected but white voters aren't. People vote in the name of Alzheimer's patients. Illegal aliens vote -- and, even after being busted for it, are still offered citizenship.

No conservative who goes to bed on Election Night with a tiny lead should rest safe. John Thune learned that against Tim Johnson in South Dakota in 2002. Dino Rossi actually was certified as the winner of Washington state's gubernatorial race in 2004 before having it snatched away. Norm Coleman was upended by Al Franken in Minnesota in 2008. And in Indiana's "Bloody Eighth" district in 1984, Democrats swiped a seat for incumbent Frank McCloskey even after the official count showed Republican Rick McIntyre had won by hundreds of votes.

In short, conservatives can't just win; they need to win each race beyond a steal-able margin. Otherwise, Eric Holder's brigades will find a way to snatch elections away the way armed goons snatched Elian Gonzalez from his Miami relatives, at Holder's orders, in the dark of night.

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About the Author

Quin Hillyer is a senior editor of The American Spectator and a senior fellow at the Center for Individual Freedom.

Letter to the Editor View all comments (170) | Leave a comment

Tim*| 10.7.10 @ 6:29AM

ATTENTION ALL VOTERS :
The FEC has just announced that all Republicans are to vote on Tuesday , November 2nd ,2010. All Democrats are to vote on Wednesday , November 3rd ,2010 .

There Quin my man , that should do it .

Bob Schmidt| 10.7.10 @ 1:37PM

You got it wrong. Dem grassroots are heavy on early voting while we sleep.

Dems vote (repeatedly) throughout October. Republicans wait til the last day possible to vote. Many wait til the last minute possible in the evening of the last day to vote.

Tim*| 10.7.10 @ 2:00PM

Just Try To Go Along With The Joke , Schmidtie .

You Must Be Fun Riot At Parties .

Booger| 10.7.10 @ 2:27PM

What joke?

Tim*| 10.7.10 @ 2:46PM

You Booger !

Tim*| 10.7.10 @ 3:18PM

Just goofin ' on ya Booger , I smile at your point .

Alan Brooks| 10.7.10 @ 8:27PM

ATTENTION ALL VOTERS :
The FEC has just announced that all Republicans are to vote on Tuesday , November 2nd ,2010. "All Democrats are to vote on Wednesday , November 3rd ,2010 .
There Quin my man , that should do it ."

Even Trig Palin will never write something as retarded as this.

Tim*| 10.8.10 @ 12:05AM

Frustrated ObamaBoy Brooks is reduced to pickin' on Sarah Palin's Down Syndrome Child .

NovaMan| 10.9.10 @ 1:12AM

Communists will go to hell when they die.

gary| 10.9.10 @ 3:34AM

that means this administration will have a very hot future

Cylar| 10.8.10 @ 6:34AM

Why does every conservative website have to have at least one annoying left-wing troll hanging around? It's like the fly that insists on buzzing around your picnic. You shoo it away and swat at it, and yet it returns again and again.

KT Borland| 10.10.10 @ 10:38PM

Cylar,I know EXACTLY about what you are talking about, feel,think about FLYS! YOUR RIGHT! I guess it's called Politics!!!! I think of them as SLIME!

SeattleBruce| 10.8.10 @ 6:29PM

"Even Trig Palin will never write something as retarded as this."

Really? Crawl under the rock again!

Alan Brooks| 10.9.10 @ 12:02AM

All the same, it is true!

Oldefarte| 10.9.10 @ 12:27PM

Trig has more brain cells than Alan does!!!!!

Alan Brooks| 10.8.10 @ 12:21AM

"In 2000, an estimated 3-4 million Evangelical voters stayed home after the Bush drunk driving story broke just four days before the election -- almost costing Bush the campaign. And so on."

I'm starting to like evangelicals. And didn't wife Laura kill her old boyfriend in a car accident?
Hillary wouldn't have gotten away with something similar.
Only Kennedys and Bushes can get away with such.

John| 10.8.10 @ 12:33AM

The skinny negro proposes hand to hand combat. When the fun starts I'm coming for you. If you have family they will be spared.

gary | 10.9.10 @ 3:36AM

John, what does that even mean?

Alan Brooks| 10.9.10 @ 10:22PM

"The skinny negro proposes hand to hand combat. When the fun starts I'm coming for you. If you have family they will be spared."

Blacks are right about people like you,
you are crypto- anti-black, or as you wrote, quote negro unquote.

Jeanette| 10.8.10 @ 4:58AM

Whaddaya mean, Hillary couldn't have got away with something like that. You forget about Vince Foster? And Hillary was First Lady at the time.

Oldefarte| 10.9.10 @ 12:33PM

Yea, moron, while W and wife were doing same, they were also WORKING AND PAYING TAXES that financially supported EL CHOSEN ONE'S and MUCHELE MY BELLE'S ''''''''''''FREE PUBLIC SCHOOL EDUCATION [AND PROVIDED THE FINANCIAL SUPPORT FOR THOSE SO-CALLED STUDENT LOANS THAT OUR FIRST WELFARE COUPLE RECEIVED]. It's a shame that Chosen and Much lifetime achievements were that of welfare recipients, Chicago street merchants, and socialist agitators!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Alan Brooks| 10.9.10 @ 10:25PM

But Obama is preferable to Bush's drift and cluelessness.

Ed Edwards| 10.12.10 @ 3:48PM

I hate to say it but the die is cast. It really makes no difference who gets in anymore. We are rolling inexorably to WW3... a global currency...a global government...and the destruction of America as a nation. We are on False flag attack away from a bank holiday and marshal law like Argentina. I doubt we will have an election this year.

Booger| 10.7.10 @ 6:33AM

From the desk of D. Mephistopheles, Attorney-at-Law:

Dear President Obama,

I am pleased to be able to report to you that my higher-ups within the firm are quite pleased with your progress to date. Your enthusiasm for carrying out your contractual obligations to this firm have indeed been exemplary. If only all of the souls who contracted with us were so zealous in performing their sides of the contracts! Still, there is a small matter we need to discuss regarding the fulfillment of your obligations.

If you will look at section b, subsection ll, line 43, of your contract I believe you will see the point in question. It is not simply enough that you serve us yourself (although, once again, your enthusiasm is truly remarkable); you are obligated to bring the rest of the nation along with you as well. We trust you understand that failure in this regard would be a breach on your part, and would free this firm from some of its obligations (such as Presidency for Life) to yourself.

Please remember, you were offered this contract specifically as a result of your being able to convince lower management that you were a great communicator, as skilled as the thrice-cursed R. Reagan who so long thwarted our goals. You assured our lowest offices that just as the abominable R. Reagan so ably led your nation towards the other side, so you could lead it towards us. Let me be frank. You have received all that you were promised, and now we want what is due us. And some within the firm grow restless, even nervous.

Yes, yes, I know you have done our work. I know that you have secured many initiatives which will deprive your citizenry of their "freedom" (why your race clings so bitterly to such notions is beyond me); that you have secured a national medical plan which will advance our beautiful Culture of Death, taking the unborn, the sickly, the weak and the elderly from your midst (why do you insist on keeping them around, anyway) and inuring your populace to the banality of Our Presence among you. Yes, in all of this you have done our will without fail. But that is not enough.

The other side, in its thrice-cursed "compassion" for your kind, has managed, through measures that were indeed barbaric, to prohibit our firm from taking full possession of your nation and its citizens unless they submit to such possession of their own "free will". Which is where you, Mr. President, come in to play. You MUST convince them to stay loyal to you, and hence to our aims and goals. These mid-term elections of yours are crucial to those goals. If too many of our mutual colleagues are removed from power and replaced by those thrice-cursed servants of the other side, much of our great work might be undone. This, of course, would result in a breach of contract upon your part, regardless of your personal service to us. Hence I must insist that you do all within your considerable power, given to you by us for our purposes, to see that those loyal to our side prevail in the upcoming election. Please remember what is at stake for you personally in this matter. I am sure you are well aware of the reputation this firm has established towards those who breach their contracts with us.

Now, enough with such unpleasant matters. A certain Mr. S. Alinsky sends his regards from our lower offices, and assures us you are on the right track. So, keep your pride up and your thoughts down, and all should turn out just as we desire.

Your friend and supporter,

D. Mephistopheles, Attorney-at-Law

Ken (Old Texican)| 10.7.10 @ 8:27AM

Booger,

I sincerely hope you are saving these letters in your documents file....and on carbonite as well.

A compendium of these letters...with dates written
will make a splendid book one day.
I would be happy to publish it.

Al Adab| 10.7.10 @ 11:30AM

Ken, Booger:

I too have enjoyed these daily satires. Do keep them and hopefully publish someday when we can look back on the error of 2008 and learn a great lesson from our history.

Randy Jordan| 10.7.10 @ 10:20AM

Booger,

I'm glad you obtained a copy of this. I highly suspected something sinister was going on!

David C| 10.7.10 @ 10:58AM

I really hate how you attorneys use an initial for your first name, and the ESQ. (dignity?) makes me sick.

You call yourself an attorney? I do not like the pressure you put on our young magnificent, intelligent, (and a really great guy too) president. He has had a tough enough time without worrying about mid-term losses. His sermon where he spoke about “water receding and such” gave me the chills.

A touch of his robe can heal the unclean and yet you demand so much from him. You sir should be disrobed, I mean disbarred. Our savior is truly a divine revelation and he has done so much for us all. May he reign a thousand years.

A head wound would seal the deal.

Amy Sterling| 10.8.10 @ 12:04AM

I was going to chastise you until you got to the end. Quite right, David. He should be executed for his heresy. Or "lethally injected."

David C| 10.8.10 @ 11:04AM

Thanks...

But just to clarify, the head wound is in reference (to many who believe) that there is a biblical sign in Revelation and the Old Testament that the antichrist would survive a head wound.

Booger had Obama making a deal with the devil and for those looking for a sign surviving a fatal head wound would be the last straw, and for Booger a final clause in this unholy contract.

thanks again

KT Borland| 10.10.10 @ 11:02PM

David C I surly hope your post was tongue-in-cheek!

idalily| 10.7.10 @ 3:07PM

+1000. Sir Winston Churchill, were he alive today, would be jealous of your wit.

David C| 10.7.10 @ 5:20PM

Thanks for your kind words and thank you Booger for your genius.

Churchill would be amazed at Obama even without the bust insult. Without itemizing all the Obamasults on Israel, I wonder aloud:

Where was the clamor and uproar to give the Palestinians their "rightful" homeland between 1948 and 1967 before Israel's 6 day military exercise?

Obama is playing chess on the side of the Islamic world. Israel thinks several moves ahead of her enemies and has conceded a worthless pawn (why not talk and wait to strike Iran?). America finally is awake and is desperate to regain power from this imposter.

Booger jests but there is more than a kernel of truth in his post. Abraham had two sons and even after all this time they still do not… (nor will they ever) see, eye to eye.

Cylar| 10.8.10 @ 6:33AM

Reminds me of The Screwtape Letters by CS Lewis.

Ed Edwards| 10.12.10 @ 3:51PM

Screwtape is going to be the next chief of staff.

Brian Mc| 10.7.10 @ 7:01AM

Get rid of "Absentee Ballots" for all. Only those serving in the defense of our country deserve them, the rest get off your ass and get to the polls if it means that much to you. There, problem not quite yet solved, but a big step in the right direction. Second, keep the uninformed from the ballot box with a simple question at the door: "Name your two Senators currently serving at the federal level". Or...
Name the sheriff
What are the three branches of government?
Who is the mayor?
Who is the governor?
Can you name your congressman?
What district is this?

The list would rotate and a rep from each party must hear the response before entry. No more 'death' votes.

coal carrier| 10.7.10 @ 7:41AM

If this were done in the last election, Obama would have gotten, maybe, 20% of the vote.

Siegfried X| 10.7.10 @ 8:37AM

Every election they make it easier to vote. This time there will be "rovering vote-mobiles" at shopping malls.

Anyone has a month to ask for an absentee ballot and vote by mail, or drive to any "early voting" location. If someone won't bother to make even that small effort, then they almost certainly know nothing about the candidates when they vote at the super market.

JeffW| 10.7.10 @ 2:42PM

Siegfried,
It is worse than you think. Don't know if other states have this but in Illinois you can actually apply for and get "Permanent Absentee" voter status. Explains a lot about this damn state.

Ed | 10.12.10 @ 3:52PM

28,000 dead Chicagoans voted for Kennedy in 1968!

Dan Hirsch| 10.7.10 @ 9:55AM

In Illinois, you also have to be able to name the prison where the last two governors are housed...

Jeremiah| 10.7.10 @ 5:23PM

Ha! Did you know that in Illinois you are more likely to go to prison if you are a former governor than if you are the leader of a murderous street gang? That, perhaps, is why Obama skipped running for gov on his way to the White House.

Sarah| 10.7.10 @ 10:24AM

Yeah, but here's the problem with eliminating absentee ballots. Both my husband and myself are going to be on travel 3000 miles away from home on Nov. 2. It's work related - and it's for our warfighter, although we don't serve directly in the defense of the country. What are we supposed to do? Tell our bosses that "Nope! Can't go! Gotta stay at home to vote!" They'd laugh in our faces. So this year, for the first time, ever, we absentee ballot. I actually finished sealing the form up just before reading this article, and your comment.

Ceejay 43| 10.7.10 @ 11:00AM

It used to be that in order to vote absentee, you had to sign an affadavit that you were too ill to come to the voting precinct or would be out of the district at the time of the election. That would have covered your situation.

Al Adab| 10.7.10 @ 11:31AM

In Illinois one must name the cemetery in which the voters reside.

RCV| 10.7.10 @ 12:02PM

In Florida, you'd have to name the five Republicans on the US Supreme Court - they're the only votes that count.

Tim*| 10.7.10 @ 1:31PM

Uh Oh ! LawBoy wants to count chads again .

idalily| 10.7.10 @ 3:16PM

Could you please provide a link to the party affiliation of the SCOTUS justices? I must have missed that in my internet surfing.

Bill Hussein O'Stalin| 10.7.10 @ 7:28AM

Part of the Hillyer scenario, the October surprise, assumes that the majority of the public is too stupid to see through October surprises.

Although a great deal are gullible, I think the days of the ruling class stunts are over.

Siegfried X| 10.7.10 @ 7:39AM

The problem is that the establishment Republicans, RINOs, are always "good losers" when Democrats defeat them. Even though Murkowski and Crist will fight conservatives tooth and nail, when a RINO loses to a Democrat the RINO rolls over and happily says "Bipartisan". RINOs and Democrats are on the same team, so that type of Republican isn't sad when Democrats win.

bob alou| 10.7.10 @ 9:22AM

Yeah, I mean who would ever believe that Minnesota would elect a clown like Franken. Oh, wait.....

Siegfried X| 10.7.10 @ 7:32AM

Good article. Yes Obama fights this way and his team often quotes the "Chicago Way" from the Untouchables movie:

"You wanna know how to get Capone? They pull a knife, you pull a gun. He sends one of yours to the hospital, you send one of his to the morgue. *That's* the *Chicago* way! "

So yes, there have been October surprises, lots of them, and I expect many more. This is an administration which has already shown that it will do anything to win. That includes ignoring and disobeying the laws, like illegal immigration and pollution laws.

East Texas Rancher| 10.7.10 @ 7:39AM

Voter fraud ought to be the most serious issue for all conservatives in November. The left is in control of voter machines and one should never doubt that Dems will do anything to stay in control.
The Republican Party has ignored most election fraud in the last 20 years and has failed all of us in preserving the ballot box from being stolen. The Dems are famous for stealing elections. They do it all the time. I fear this November the wonks who developed electronic voting will have programmed the boxes to cast two against every Republican vote. The Dems seem not to be too concerned over losing at this point, which really makes me suspicious.

I grew up in Blanco County, home of LBJ. My father, a wise man, always said that LBJ knew how he voted before he left the election booth. Today's voting hasn't improved much on that. Let's pray that the Dems stay home in mass and that the Republican Party will actually challenge places where demonstrable fraud takes place. Otherwise, next election I might have my cattle signed up to vote!

gearjammer| 10.7.10 @ 2:21PM

You are on the money. The republicans always ignored these scandals. They tried with Landrieu once and it did not go well-so they quit. Even people is Washington with 100 per cent ACU ratings. I'll take fighter against these outrages every time. This is a state matter. We are gonna have Govenors, but need AG's, and other state offices. The Tea Party and other insurgents have an off year election coming in 2011 for such seats. First, win in November, enjoy a little r&r but find good people to fill these positions, as well as legislatures. It is pretty much a 365 day, 24/7 proposition to take America back. Good people are the key-the more Joe Millers the better I say. And, they do not grow on trees but gotta find a way. A vet with brains and the right values is one place to look. Female vets would be great area to recruit. Vets have fought against impossible obstacles to prevail against the enemey and their allies this past decade. They won't fall apart when the big bad media gives them crap. It is a new time-a new breed of American has come forth and quite frankly under most people's radar. They are also Hispanic and Black,e etc. But, start with November.

blackknights1802| 10.7.10 @ 7:48AM

When you are in the fourth quarter and the score is tied, don’t run to the middle of the field after a routine tackle and dance around beating you chest. A lot can happen in the next 15 minutes.

idalily| 10.7.10 @ 3:29PM

Or, as my daddy always says, "The fish is NOT caught until the bones are in the trash can."

VOTE, and if the elections in your district are close, you'll have to be vigilant. Don't let a Dem steal an election in your district without a fight. And that holds true even if you live in Chicago. Don't slink silently away. If you suspect voter fraud in your district, FIGHT IT.

Bob S| 10.7.10 @ 3:56PM

Exactly. In this game we have to play the FULL 60 minutes.

Louis Jenkins| 10.7.10 @ 8:22AM

Well, as I said yesterday on this board, do not sleep or slumber. We have much work to do. This election finds us standing in the doorway to oblivion, or to a better country. The choice is ours. The consequences are dire.

JimH| 10.7.10 @ 8:23AM

Has someone been reading The Screwtape Letters?

Ken (Old Texican)| 10.7.10 @ 8:37AM

Quin,
I am certainly not doing an endzone dance.

You of course know the ole' hanging focuses the mind cliche.
I got so focused, I actually crunched out a novel in 60 days. Hopefully it will be released this week as an E-Book. I have changed the title to "TEXAS SAID NO!" I will furnish you a link when it comes out.

uncle curmudgeon| 10.7.10 @ 8:41AM

The price of Liberty is ETERNAL vigilance. The Dems are murderers of the inocent, and thieves. Never forget. See y'all at the polls on November Second. Bring a friend.

Steve A| 10.7.10 @ 8:45AM

Ken, I sincerely wish you success on your novel & I am also sincerely tired of your self promotion. Give it a rest. Maybe tone it down to every other post or something.

Ken (Old Texican)| 10.7.10 @ 10:59AM

Hi Steve.
Lots and lots and lots of conversationalists here have joined TEAM America.
(TEAM...Together Everyone achieves More)

The articles there are timeless.
Conversely, the novel is not. It begins one week after the elections in November.
I have an enormous fan-base and hope to sell a LOT of copies.
You know the old saying: If something is free, it ain't worth much.
That saying, and the fact that I am a hopeless capitalist, forces me to restrain myself from putting it "out there" for free, even though my patriot self would enjoy doing so.
I tell you what. If you have ten dollars...and buy the book...you can come on here and tell me the book sucked...as often as you want. How's that for fair?
In the mean time...go enjoy Alan's posts and use your scroll button on mine. heh.

Steve A| 10.7.10 @ 11:13AM

Fair enough. All forgiven as you made me laugh!

Eric Rasmusen| 10.7.10 @ 8:46AM

The first comment has a serious flaw. After the election, the courts will rule that only votes cast on November 3 count, and the media will cheer that as a courageous and wise decision, faithful to the spirit of the Constitution.

Doctor Right| 10.7.10 @ 8:57AM

I agree...We should NOT be over-confident.

But this is not a movement based on one man. It is based on a set of core principles and beliefs. Any "October Surprise" that takes down 1-2 candidates will NOT damage the movement.

Yes, the GOP leadership could screw-up a nocturnal emission...We all know that. But this movement is not really being led by that cast of clowns, it's being led by "We, the people", and we've had enough!

And I'm not really worried about the "Get Out 'Da Vote" nonsense, either. Again, yes, it might affect a few races here and there...But I don't think it's going to stop the Anti-Obama, anti-statist sentiment that's threatening the Democrats.

The stars certainly seem aligned for the Republicans:

Obama's favorable ratings now hover at about 40%. That's NOT good for a President in his first mid-terms.

Most sensible Dems are running away from Obama and asking him to stay out of their districts.

Those Dems that are not in danger of losing their seats are either a) in utterly safe seats, or b) those that voted against "Obamacare" and "porkulus". In other words, they're philosophically aligned with Republicans.

The Dem-led Congress has an approval rating of 9%. 9%!!!!

Normally safe Dems like Barney Frank are actually having to fight for re-election. Russ Feingold in Wisconsin is toast, and Barbara Boxer may actually lose to Carly Fiorina. And Harry Reid is now behind Sharon Angle in Nevada.

Middle-class whites have turned their backs on the Dems. Many of these are folks who voted FOR Obama in 2008.

If anyone should be dispirited, it should be Democrats, and I truly believe that they are. The good Doctor spends time "trolling" the ir websites (heh-heh-heh!), and they are desperately grasping at any straw ("Karl Rove's firm broke the law" says leftwing 'Watchdog' group...) to prop-up the base.

So of course...Let's NOT be over-confident. We still need to get to the polls and vote, that's true.

But personally, a freakin' Tsunami could NOT keep me from voting on 11/02, and I'm not alone.

So I ain't worried.

Steve A| 10.7.10 @ 9:11AM

DR, You summarized things perfectly. The point that they miss is that this wave of conservatism is not a trend. It differs from past shifts in that it has a foundation firmly rooted in principle & is not tied to a single charismatic leader. We do not have a Reagan to lead the way but this tidal wave will still roll over the progressive movement. The momentum here is unlike anything seen in recent history.

Siegfried X| 10.7.10 @ 9:28AM

The left-wing said the same thing just before President Bush was reelected in 2004. They hated him so much and they all believed the same left-wing stuff, that they assumed that the whole country must agree with them. They assumed that everyone must be Marxists and hate Bush like they did.

But they were surprised on election day. Absolutely shocked. Everyone in the choir sings the same tune, but that doesn't mean that the audience will like it.

Doctor Right| 10.7.10 @ 9:44AM

I see your point, but I don't buy the analogy.

The "movement" that the Left parroted in 2004 never really existed. Suere, the hard-lefties hated Bush, and thought the Iraq War was an illegal oil-grab, blah-blah-blah, but the American people NEVER really bought into that nonsense until 2008...And even then, they STILL had to lie about their intentions.

And that's the REAL story: The Left, despite their propaganda, is ALWAYS against the American people. The Left likes to claim a populist appeal, but most Americans absolutely reject their message when they see it for what it is - Socialism.

On the flip-side, the common-sense approach of Conservatism DOES have mass appeal whee the American people do take the time to examine it. Unfortunately, they rarely do unless there's a crisis that compels them to pay attention.

Well, we are in the midst of that crisis now, and the American people ARE listening...And that's why the movement is chugging along.

Siegfried X| 10.7.10 @ 9:56AM

"most Americans absolutely reject their message when they see it for what it is - Socialism."

Unfortunately lots of Americans are happy to get a government check in the mail. They don't know or care what "statism", "socialism", and "libertarianism" means. They know when the economy stinks or not, and they are generally afraid of all kinds of change.

The Democrats claimed that winning the presidency and 60% of congress last election PROVED that the American people were Marxists. They were wrong, but I also don't think narrow wins in one or both houses of Congress will prove that we are all libertarians now.

Siegfried X| 10.7.10 @ 10:07AM

The other, more serious problem is that the Republican establishment doesn't believe in conservatism. They killed it 12 years ago and are all War Democrat, Democrat Light RINOs now.

The only people who can believe in conservatism are those of us old to remember the 1994 Gingrich congress and the 1980 Reagan era.

Many Republicans in congress don't even know what real conservatism is. Most of the rest gave it up in the late 90's. The rest are bullied by the MSM and afraid to fight the Democrats. They think all the conservatives will be dead in 20 years anyway, so it is better to just cave in.

Besides Democrat Light legislation, all Republican politicians have done for the last 15 years is spin and tactics, never standing for anything, but instead playing off whatever the Democrats did yesterday.

Most conservative voters are awake now, after being asleep for a decade. All that time they served the RINO establishment by "holding their noses" and voting for RINOs, elections after elections. That's why I have no confidence in the Tea Parties. All it would take, I'm afraid, is for the Republican leadership to find some tough guy RINO like McCain or Giuliani. Conservatives will flock to support the tough guy RINO, and the Tea Parties will be dead. This is not what I hope, but what I fear.

There is only a small chance of reviving conservativism. It is like a nearly dead language which only some old-timers remember.

john tidwell| 10.7.10 @ 2:00PM

I for one did not vote for McCain and wouldn't vote for Giuliani. I am an enthusiastic tea party supporting conservative with libertarian leanings. I will not vote for a RINO.

albert constantine jr.| 10.7.10 @ 2:32PM

"It is like a nearly dead language which only some old-timers remember."
Sic Semper Sesquipedalians

George S| 10.7.10 @ 9:54AM

What makes you so sure that Team Obama even wants Democrats to control both Houses? Obama got all he could with a House super majority and a 60-seat Senate. If he can't have that again, what good does a minimal majority do him? Nothing... it just gives him more grief. But a Republican Congress is the perfect foil to Obama, one that may help get him reelected. Remember: all the downside to health care and financial reform will start on the Republican Congress watch. The winner of the battle for blame will be on top in 2012.

Dan Hirsch| 10.7.10 @ 10:12AM

George,

You make an excellent point. My hope is that the newly-involved Tea Partiers don't stand down after a successful election. Reagan got a lot done with the silent backing of Nixon's "Silent majority" most of whom just vote. Now we have to be noisy and demand Constitutional laws only. To clean up the last 100 years of mess we need to take fully thirty years to clean out the communists in the judiciary and the executive branches. "Communists?" Yep, you betcha!

The Progressives have been the tools of the CPUSA's founding in the mid-twenties. Nowadays, liberals can no longer get re-elected as "Liberals" or as "Democrats" so they call themselves "Progressives." Listen to Hillary, she uses the term freely.

Last weekend in DC they, the socialists, the unionists, the progressives, AND the Communist Party of the USA all came out with their signs proclaiming themselves. None complained or disavowed the CPUSA - none said, 'they're not with us.' They have dropped their masks because they know the MSM and this DOJ and this FBI and this CIA won't lift a finger to deal with them, or the Black Panthers.

Just because the USSR fell does not mean the communists are defeated. Just because Joe McCarthy got run out of town does not mean he was wrong.

Algier Hiss was convicted.

The Communists are nothing, if not patient.

Stay on point, true Americans. Eternal means forever...

Nolite me conculcare!

Steve A| 10.7.10 @ 10:46AM

When the GOP gets control of Congress here shortly, they need to simply pass legislation that reduces spending & lowers taxes, let Obama veto it over & over again & see what happens. Do not waver from these 2 issues & they are golden in 2012.

Joe Oliva| 10.7.10 @ 6:26PM

Exactly correct Steve. The dumbo GOP must not fall back into its old ways of going along to get along.

Propose strong conservative legislation, back it up with facts, publicize it, and let Obama veto it. The worst that could happen is nothing gets done until 2012 when we put a true conservative in the White House!

Ken (Old Texican)| 10.7.10 @ 11:10AM

Dan,
I just read an article this morning about John Bolton possibly throwing his hat in the ring.

Wow...think about a Bolton/Palin ticket....either one on top of it.
I'm getting excited by the talented brilliant folks quietly testing the water.
I pray earnestly that the Rs can get the House at least.
Once that is done, and we make their lives miserable if they disappoint us, then we tea-party folks need to start agitating for genuine conservatives for President.

Big Bob| 10.7.10 @ 11:29AM

That would present two people who would end up overwhelming the media. They would be in a league of their own, and way too smart. I'd vote for them in a heart beat....

Len (Older Texican)| 10.7.10 @ 11:42AM

Ken - Are you insane or just as clueless as Sarah, John and the rest of their demented ilk?

Ken (Old Texican)| 10.7.10 @ 12:12PM

Hi Len,
I would enjoy crossing swords with you..."intellectually"

Who is "John" in your vocabulary above?

Sarah blew "Bite-me" away in their debate.

I genuinely love this lady, and I have always respected Bolton for telling the truth the best he understands it.

Every give-a darn-mom in the country will vote for Sarah. Uh, dimsh-t, THAT IS A LOT OF VOTES!

Every man who has ever been over seas will vote for Bolton. That's a LOT of votes.

Then there are simply rational people who have gone "oops" on hope and change.

Read the tea-leaves, stupid.

Len (Older Texican)| 10.7.10 @ 12:36PM

Ken, my friend, you really ought not to use the word "intellectually", even in quotes. You haven't a clue what it means.

But, then again, your dementia puts you in the same class as Bolton, Palin and their ilk. Which is something you can be proud of!

George True| 10.7.10 @ 1:00PM

So it appears we have a new leftist troll who has been assigned to TAS. Welcome, Len. But you will have to do a lot better than the standard unsupported talking points and ad hominem attacks to impress anybody here.

WJ| 10.7.10 @ 1:58PM

So, when someone points out that a Bolton/Palin ticket would not get even 15 percent of the vote they are a leftist troll? More like they are rational, sane human being.

Those two moronic fruit loops combined have a lower IQ than our current failure of a president and he is pretty dumb.

You should quit reading the NRO or Weekly Standard or other psuedo conservative publications that give you a false impression of American politics.

big bob| 10.7.10 @ 1:27PM

Now there is some incredibly reasoned rhetoric. "you haven't a clue"....."your dementia" associates you with "Bolton, Palin and their ilk"..... Oh my!! Now I'm convinced. When I taught at the U. of Illinois back in the 80's i caught heck for demanding that my freshman support their claims in their writing(s) of a thesis. (Make a claim, and support your thesis). You probably never meant to leave out all the support, so I will continue to watch this column to see when you post your support for your novel and creative claims. I will not hold my breath, however.

Al Adab| 10.7.10 @ 1:32PM

Wow, the Len and Ken show. Poor Len, to be an older Texican puts him way over the hill. Maybe he was born with a silver foot in his mouth.

Len (Older Texican)| 10.7.10 @ 1:39PM

Big Bob, perhaps you didn't notice that Ken didn't provide any support for his rant either. My reply matched his style.

Len (Older Texican)| 10.7.10 @ 1:40PM

Al Adab - Yes, I was born with a silver foot in my mouth. Just like George HW Bush.

Al Adab| 10.7.10 @ 1:57PM

There you go again, confusing Republicans with Conservatives. No fan of Bush here.

Doctor Right| 10.7.10 @ 3:17PM

Not that Ken needs my help, Lennie, but you're not fit to carry his jock-strap.

Get lost, you miserable left-wing crank.

Len (Older Texican)| 10.7.10 @ 3:55PM

You get lost, you miserable right-wing crank.

And take your "nocturnal emissions" with you. (see 10.7.10 @ 8:57AM). Nobody is interested in what you do with your crank (except maybe your wife, if you are capable of having one).

Cylar| 10.8.10 @ 6:42AM

No, YOU get lost, the way Doctor said. The last thing a conservative discussion board needs is another fly buzzing around trying to annoy and irritate people who are here to thoughtfully discuss the articles. You contribute nothing to that. Out with you.

Oldefarte| 10.9.10 @ 12:39PM

Gee wiz, Bolton, Palin and their ilk have actually accompolished something in life, which is no doubt more than morons like you have done. You are obviously one of Eric's political hacks operating out of his D of J office to counter-argue conservative opinions and put forth Barry's socialistic propaganda!!!!!!

WJ| 10.7.10 @ 2:03PM

I served overseas. USMC 0341 in fact. I wouldn't vote for lunatic John Bolton.

Sarah "cute little wink" Palin actually lost that debate to her eternal shame. Any well informed politician would have been able to put Biden away.

albert constantine jr.| 10.7.10 @ 2:40PM

In between humping the mortar rounds and base plate, perhaps weapons platoon was giving classes on scoring debates. Anyone can subjectively decide whether Palin or Biden won or lost the 2008 debate, but I will add this. Those of us in Delaware are still laughing at Biden's reference to talking to the people at Katie's Restaurant, as it closed more than 20 years prior to the debate. Likewise, given the VPOTUS' confusion over Article 1 & 2 of the Constitution, the student's at Widener Law School who took his Constitutional Law class likely qualified for tuition refunds (wink, wink doncha know).

Cylar| 10.8.10 @ 6:44AM

Considering the way Palin refused to knuckle under to Gwen "I have an Obama book to promote" Ifill's loaded questions - instead taking her message directly to the American people - I am at a bit of a loss to explain how she was "defeated" by Gaffe Machine and his tired, been-there-done-that left-wing shtick.

I've got no patience for Palin bashers. Move along, troll.

SeattleBruce| 10.8.10 @ 6:33PM

What's your point? Who do you support? Or do you just tear down?

Oldefarte| 10.9.10 @ 12:41PM

Except for you, since you obviously do not KNOW YOUR ARS FROM A HOLE IN THE GROUND concerning political matters!!!!!!!

rational| 10.7.10 @ 11:36AM

Quin - You have revealed your hyper-partisan blindness with this remark:

"the left is good at stealing elections"

In fact, the left is not very good at stealing elections. It is the right which is expert in this department. The evidence is very strong that both the 2000 and 2004 elections were won by GWB only with the aid of a considerable amount of election fraud of the most transparent kind.

contra| 10.7.10 @ 11:53AM

Oh, come on, rational, as everyone knows, Bush won the elections fair and square. And no wonder, considering what kind of flakey candidates Gore and Kerry were.

dc| 10.7.10 @ 12:02PM

Troll-boy: do you report directly to AG Holder, or just to one of his underlings in DOJ?
Unlike Quin, who provided at least two solid examples of certified Republican wins subsequently stolen by coordinated leftist action (the Demon party and its lapdog judges), you provide nothing beyond absurd assertions. Even Algore the Inconvenient ended up admitting that he had no case in Florida in 2000 (the only case among those mentioned where leftist courts did NOT manage to overturn a validly certified Republican victory). 2004? Seriously? GWB's margin of victory was what over Monsieur le Kerry? Maybe you think Missouri, Kentucky, and Wyoming, just to name three states with Dem governors that put their electoral votes in the Bushie column, actually voted for Kerry? You're a buffoon and an embarrassment--but I know you're beneath the latter.

Texas Mom 2010| 10.7.10 @ 12:39PM

If all the military votes where counted regardless of whether or not they arrived on time, the election would not have been close. The left consistently works to disenfranchise military ballots and it really chaps my hide that they whine that 'Bush stole the election.' Grow up.

Texas Mom 2010| 10.7.10 @ 12:42PM

Not to mention areas where libs have more registered voters than residents.. Or Harris county here where some homes have 24 voters. The libs are the cheats... No contest.

Al Adab| 10.7.10 @ 1:34PM

More sugar for you momma. :) X

dw| 10.7.10 @ 1:32PM

If you notice elections are only stolen when democrats lose. It is all part of the Alinsky tactics, especially when in comes to lying and cheating.

Al Adab| 10.7.10 @ 1:37PM

Yeah. Al Franken won fair and square. Just keep counting until the results are "correct". That was the Gore plan in '00. But you keep working on that angle. Mass just recently obligated their electoral vote to be cast for the winner of the national popular vote. They will love it when their Domocrat majority means votes for the GOP candidate.

Len (Older Texican)| 10.7.10 @ 1:43PM

Al Adab - What? You think Al Franken counted the votes? Sorry, but they were counted by the state election commission.

And what the heck is a Moslem doing on this American web site.

Al Adab| 10.7.10 @ 1:59PM

Kinda racist of you Len. Can't I be a patriotic American citizen?

Len (Older Texican)| 10.7.10 @ 2:32PM

Not racist at all. Islam is not a race, it's a religion.

So why shouldn't we Americans be gravely suspicious of Moslems? They took out the WTC, didn't they? They keep talking about world domination, don't they? And most of all, they hate our freedoms and want to replace our free society with one which is under Sharia law.

Al Adab| 10.7.10 @ 2:40PM

OK I'll grant you that. You are not racist, just a religious bigot. BTW, wasn't it Cheny who organized the WTC attack? 33% of Democrats think so.
Inchallah.

Len (Older Texican)| 10.7.10 @ 2:46PM

Not a religious bigot at all. Bigots make stuff up. I have simply pointed out some facts which are well-known to all.

As for 33% of Dems believing that Cheney did it, well (a) anybody can invent numbers and (b) who cares what Dimmycrats think anyway?

Al Adab| 10.7.10 @ 3:43PM

Bigots don't make stuff up, they simply slant or interpret the facts to match their preconceived ideas.
So, what are we left with Len? Leaves you in a rather philosophically inconsistent position it seems.

dc| 10.7.10 @ 2:03PM

Gee Len, while it's none of your effing business whether "Al Adab" is a "Moslem," "Muslim," believes in Islam or in the tooth fairy, at minimum what he's not is a supporter of a treasonous Islamic fascist (our current president). You are, which makes you a bit out of place if indeed you reside in Texas--which I doubt. My guess is that someone in our Islamist president's administration has paid you (quite well, I'm sure) to monitor conservative blog sites and try to extract personal information from the posters, so the IRS or some other federal goon squad can find them and make their lives more of a living hell than their boss has already made it. I could be wrong but I doubt it.
If and when Texas secedes from the befouled what-used-to-be United States of America, you'll be lucky to escape Texas with all of your limbs and without multiple gunshot wounds, likely in your ass.
Now, to the stolen Minnesota Senate election--a casual Google search (beyond you, I'm sure) would reveal what happened, which is that ACORN "found" hundreds of votes in two counties where they dominated the polling places. The State Election Commission was and is packed with Demoncrats, who counted these "found" votes and decided that Franken was the winner. The majority Demoncrat MN court system then upheld the Commission's decision. Organized theft that to their discredit, Norm Coleman's folks didn't oppose vehemently enough.
See if you can find a contrary set of facts from somewhere other than Mother Jones, Socialist Workers International, or the Nation magazine.

Al Adab| 10.7.10 @ 2:18PM

Thanks dc. It's kinda nice to have allies in the blogosphere.

throw caution to the winds| 10.7.10 @ 2:20PM

dc - You might want to be a little more careful next time. If "Len" is what you suggest he might be, you are going to be on a government watch list pretty soon.

Len (Older Texican)| 10.7.10 @ 2:26PM

dc - And it's none of your effing business that Obama is a Christian (not a Moslem as so many deluded right wingers believe). In case you have never heard of the US Constitution, here is part of Article VI:

"no religious Test shall ever be required as a Qualification to any Office or public Trust under the United States."

dc| 10.7.10 @ 3:22PM

Len, you Stalinist buffoon, you would have failed (sorry, probably did fail) the reading comprehension portions of the SAT. Nowhere did I say that being a Muslim, Buddhist, Zoroastrian or tooth fairy worshipper would per se disqualify someone from being president.
What disqualifies Dear Leader is his policies, his deep, abiding hatred for this country, his coddling of our enemies, his mockery of the Constitution (all of this, by the way, in his own words, speeches and deeds before and since assuming the office), etc. ad infinitum. I don't give a crap whether a guy is blue, black, purple with pink dots, or what the F he believes in, as long as he is precisely the opposite of everything this greasy lying bastard stands for.
There is nothing he would not lie about. I don't pretend to be able to prove that he's lying about being a Muslim. But his policies are ISLAMIST, which many will tell you, isn't necessarily Islamic. I know all of this reasoning stuff is way beyond you, but try to pull your head out of your ass and absorb something other than your own bullshit.

Len (Older Texican)| 10.7.10 @ 3:40PM

Good grief, dc, you've really got a heavy load of delusions to carry. How can you possibly know that O has a "deep, abiding hatred for this country"?

What enemies has he coddled? Last time I checked, the war in Afghanistan was still going strong. That's where the only active enemy we have is. I wasn't aware that we have been attacked, or threatened to be attacked by Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, or even Iraq or Iran.

What mockery of the Constitution are you talking about? I can't even begin to fathom that claim.

You claim that O is a "greasy lying bastard" and that "There is nothing he would not lie about". Well, perhaps you can provide sufficient evidence for this one.

In what respect are his policies Islamist (whatever the f--- that means)? Do you mean because he has tried to make peace with the Islamic world instead of precipitating yet more wars? OK, you can argue that you think that is a bad policy, and that a world-wide war with Islam would be a better policy; but it is way out of the realm of sanity to claim that attempting a diplomatic solution to a difficult foreign policy problem is treasonous.

Finally, you say "I know all of this reasoning stuff is way beyond you". I fail to detect any "reasoning stuff" in what you have said. But you do seem to have a rather serious bug up your a** about something. It's just not clear what it is.

Les Nesman| 10.7.10 @ 4:41PM

You must have been pretty ripped when W called the Constitution 'just a G-d piece of paper' while signing Patriot Acts I & II, Military Commissions Act, etc. I know I was.

Bob S| 10.7.10 @ 4:07PM

dc: Gunshot wounds in the ass is all right, but rock salt from a shotgun is MUCH more fun!

Oldefarte| 10.9.10 @ 12:43PM

What is a 'moslem'? Damn, what a MORON you are!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Independent| 10.7.10 @ 2:46PM

Rational, even the Miami Herald -- which was not a right-wing newspaper -- finally admitted that Bush actually did win the election.

Cylar| 10.8.10 @ 6:46AM

Evidence like the Al Gore-sanctioned hand recounts not provided for in Florida election law? Good grief, are we STILL having this conversation ten years on? And from someone calling himself rational, no less?

This from the people who think that the right needs to "get over" Obama's election to POTUS.

SeattleBruce| 10.8.10 @ 6:34PM

What - I see you disagree with the SCOTUS. Oh well, you must be right. Laughable.

Bob Mack| 10.7.10 @ 11:38AM

Since the DNC is actively pursuing the pot head vote, thereby tacitly admitting that you have to be stoned to cast a ballot for a Democrat, can we expect to see hoards of cannabis-fumed gypsies in the throes of the roaring munchies heading for the polls dead set on returning their socialist drug dealers to the once august halls of Congress? Maybe, but they'll probably get there the day after the election.

gerald| 10.7.10 @ 2:40PM

I guess I'd rather have a pot head vote for my candidate then a drunk, what's the diff? Young voters know that this "drug" is no diff and probably better for you than the ills of alcohol. How many of our elected pols have had alcohol issues and how many pot issues....

james wilson| 10.7.10 @ 12:02PM

The reason overconfidence is no danger is because conservatives have no love for Republicans, and no illusions. This '10 election will provide the most down to business electorate we will ever see.

Oldefarte| 10.7.10 @ 12:52PM

To try and add to what Quin just said, everyone should consider that this November represents the BEGINNING, not the END of the PROCESS [as #1 Alabama's football coach states]. It cannot end with November, but must continue to each/every election thereafter, including national, state and local contests. It's all about weeding out the corruption in all phases of government and reducing the size of same [and accordingly reducing taxpayers' income funding needed to pay for the current monstrosity of government]. The American taxpayer-voters cannot look upon November as the be-all/end-all of this process, but only as the beginning of a long and hard struggle by them to eventually take back their country and to force any/all politicians of whatever political party to answer to those who pay their salaries and for their operations [government]. Government does sell a product or service, but instead receives its income from taxpayers, and our political leaders should [but currently are not] become answerable and beholden to same. WE THE PEOPLE!!!!!!!!!!!

Oldefarte| 10.7.10 @ 12:54PM

PS--correction: Government DOES NOT sell a product or service!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Len (Older Texican)| 10.7.10 @ 1:45PM

If you want the political leaders to be answerable to the people I suggest you start by throwing out John Boehner.

Oldefarte| 10.9.10 @ 12:25PM

Okay, moron, let me 'suggest to you' that I [and many of us here] will gladly give you Boehner's political ars as a tradeoff for those of Pilosi, Reid, Rangel, Schumer, Waters, Conyers, Durbin, Obama,etc [and as I said previously, that process will BEGIN on 11/2/10 and will continue and increase in intensity thereafter until all of these socialistic political rats are removed from the taxpayer-funded governmental payroll rolls]. As Clint said, GO AHEAD, MAKE MY DAY!!!!!!!!!!!!

Redstateboy| 10.7.10 @ 12:59PM

The reason Truman beat Dewey is Truman worked his Ass off, Dewey thought he was going to a Coronation and where do you think Truman got the name "Give em' Hell Harry" from - it was on THIS campaign. So the Lesson is... Work your Ass off and Give the Democrats Hell.. Slam em' for their Incompetence and Socialism.. should be easy to do.

Nutcracker| 10.7.10 @ 1:19PM

Booger :

Do you have a website where I could read all of your past posts ?

I think they are superb !!!

wodiej| 10.7.10 @ 2:28PM

let the games begin....well timed article. Democratic groups are already calling for investigations of multiple orgs who donate to the GOP. We had Allred and Brown trying to smear Whitman and may have succeeded in her losing to moonbeam brown. I am sure they have plenty more tricks up their sleeve. Meanwhile Obama and wifey poo are out spending tax dollars flying around the country to prop up their lame candidates.

gerald| 10.7.10 @ 2:36PM

where were you when Bush flew around the country on the taxpayers dime doing the same thing.?If you are really concerned about this type of activity then you should be in favor of very strict campaign finance laws....what about a publicly financed elections so everyone has a level playing field? are you?

gerald| 10.7.10 @ 2:28PM

The paranoia of the Right is hilarious, anyone who knows anything about psychology knows that when one is constantly saying that others are doing something wrong is probably doing something wrong themselves. the elections are being stolen?? Oh the poor white voter who is intimidated, what a farce! The Right can NEVER accept the election of a Dem, ever. You always say that an election was stolen when they win but when a Rep wins it's the will of the voter. I work at a voter precinct and I can tell you that it is IMPOSSIBLE for mickey mouse to vote because mickey mouse who have to have his name registered and have a legal address. They might try and register "mickey" but mickey can't vote. so please sapre us this dribble!

dc| 10.7.10 @ 3:27PM

What a ridiculous, baldfaced lie. Nobody who has voted in any election in the past decade has EVER been asked to prove who they are, and from personal experience in two different states (one very red, one very blue), the experience is exactly the same. Never asked for ID. Simply had a card that I could have had my 10 year old generate on the home computer, flashed it, some flunkie checks the rolls and off to push the voting buttons. If you did as you said and tried to verify Mickey Mouse's identity, you'd get sued by the ACLU (whom you probably work for, or siphon funds to from your federal or union bureaucrat desk anyway) before you woke up the next morning in your dope-addled haze. The conceit and condescension towards those who disagree with you oozes from your lies, unfortunately, we're not nearly as stupid as you think we are. Some of us get our news from places other than Katie Couric, the NYT, and People magazine. Peddle your bullshit elsewhere.

Al Adab| 10.7.10 @ 3:37PM

I believe my suspicions are confirmed, this gerald is in fact former President Gerald Ford. LOL

multiple identity| 10.7.10 @ 4:29PM

dc - May I offer you a hint here? Your experience is not everybody's. Where I vote, you have to sign your name in a book that contains your signature from the previous dozen elections. OK, I suppose someone who is good at forgery on-the-fly could beat this system. But are there enough such people to make any difference?

This is assuming you actually have had the experience of voting. Which I doubt.

You also might want to read a little more carefully before you start spluttering. Gerald didn't say anything about "verifying Mickey Mouse's identity". Besides, you don't really know what would happen it someone did try to verify Micky's identity, whether it was the ACLU or the Chamber of Commerce.

gerald| 10.7.10 @ 7:12PM

I live in Texas, you need a voter registration card, no photo id. your voter card is sent to your current mailing address, upon your arrival you need to show your card and sign your name, DC it sounds like you have some anger issues. I never called anyone names, if you feel you must say the things you did then there is no way anyone could possibly have a civil conversation with you. And for your information, if I were the type that read People mag I surely wouldn't be on this site. For your information I am Liberal and I cruise both the Right and Left websites. I feel it's important to know what both sides are saying so one can deduct who is speaking the truth....how many intellectual Left sites do you read?? Probably none because you are too scared to read ideas that differ from yours. FYI I have never seen ms Couric's news show, I do read NYT and every other major newspaper...I like to be informed even if I disagree with what is being said!

tonypal| 10.8.10 @ 12:20AM

Gerald, I think it's fantastic that a boy of your obviously youthful age has already mastered the computer. Most kids don't reach your level of proficiency until they're about 6 or 7, so well done. I hope your parents have had you tested for superior mental aptitude. How else to explain your ability to read every major newspaper in the country. That's an awful lot of reading, even for the smartest adult. For someone so young to be able to read through and comprehend dozens, if not hundreds, of daily newspapers is truly remarkable.

KyMouse| 10.7.10 @ 2:48PM

Does anybody here know what the current Misery Index number is? As I recall, that calculation (unemployment rate + the previous 12 months' inflation rate, I believe) peaked at 21.9 in 1981, under Jimmy "The Dhimmi" Carter. Perhaps the Misery Index should start appearing in campaign commercials?

gerald| 10.7.10 @ 3:01PM

it peaked in 1981 under Jimmy....if my memory serves me, your Saint Reagan was elected in the fall 1980 and sworn in in 1981....I guess facts don't matter anymore

statistical fluke| 10.7.10 @ 3:27PM

It is 10.75. Here's a summary of recent history:

president max min
Carter 12.72 21.91
Reagan 19.33 7.70
Bush1 12.47 9.76
Clinton 10.56 5.74
Bush2 11.47 6.56
Obama 12.33 7.30

Palin2012| 10.7.10 @ 3:02PM

This election is only useful if we can slow the momentum of the Left's revolution. The real election is 2012. Look for the Dems to do to this incoming GOP contingent (whether majority or not) what Clinton did so successfully against Newt and his folks. It will be a withering campaign of distraction, denigration and marginalization.

The measure of America's true health will be the degree to which it throws off the bonds of this conspiratorial leftwing cadre and takes back full control of the government in 2012, with some who has the balls to really demolish and clear out the over-bureaucratization of D.C. that started shortly after Reagan and has continued more or less unabated to this day. People have no idea how good a trimmed-down efficient government could be because we haven't had anything close to that since before WWI.

gearjammer| 10.7.10 @ 8:59PM

2011 Matters ! We got going with wins with VA and NJ in 2009. Guvs, AG's, Treasurers, Sec of State-even dog catcher. Throw out dems anywhere and everywhere.Don't stop-Patton never stopped! After the holidays move out and win all we can in 2011.

Lee| 10.7.10 @ 5:06PM

A very good warning, but it ignores the obvious 800-lb gorilla in the room--the Left playing the race card: "Voting Republican is a vote against Obama, which is a vote for racism."

Quin Hillyer| 10.7.10 @ 5:53PM

TROLL INTRUSION WARNING!
A recent check of very questionable IP addresses revealed a damning similarity between "Len (Older Texican)" and the clown "vtwin"...
Do not feed this troll.

/vtwin| 10.7.10 @ 5:59PM

I can assure you I am not the same as vtwin, whoever he is.

Al Adab| 10.7.10 @ 6:34PM

Thank you. We'll keep alert for these Leftist pychopaths. I must admit though, it was fun today.

Mad Hatter| 10.7.10 @ 8:07PM

"vtwin", the arch-liberal mole,
Was hurt yesterday, none could console,
My heart bled for vt,
I made him baked ziti -
But ate it when Quin said, "Don't feed this troll."

Oldefarte| 10.9.10 @ 12:46PM

This doesn't surprise me [or most other either]. No doubt a Eric Pansy working out of D of J's offices in order to get out the HOPEY and CHANGEY messages!!!!!!!!!

Quin Hillyer| 10.7.10 @ 6:20PM

So, you don't know who vtwin is? Check the comments to this article
http://spectator.org/archives/.....diocletian

Quite pathetic indeed...

Mad Hatter| 10.7.10 @ 8:19PM

"vtwin", quite liberally preachy,
Said he'd stop comments; by me just peachy,
But he seemed to impinge,
On Quin's Rome history binge,
So, was he saying "Veni, vedi, veci?"

John II| 10.7.10 @ 11:00PM

Maddie's verse,
Though often satin,
Ground to worse
When trying Latin.

Caesar's boast was never,
Ever "Veni, vedi, veci."
But, grammatical and clever,
It was "Veni, vidi, vici!"

Quin| 10.8.10 @ 9:32AM

For what it's worth, whoever is posting comments as "Quin Hillyer" is not I, the author of this column. I don't mind the comments, but I wish this person wouldn't steal my name.
And yes, the site editors here will confirm that I am the real Quin, while the guy talking about vtwin is not.
Thanks.

Oldefarte| 10.9.10 @ 12:49PM

No doubt the same lunatics who are planning on STEALING everyone's bank account effective 1/1/11 by allowing the current Bush tax cuts to conveniently expire!!!!!!!!

/vtwin| 10.7.10 @ 6:27PM

You're right, what a pitiful loser! Incidentally I ride a Honda Hawk. It's a lot more reliable, and really funny to drive.

Mad Hatter| 10.7.10 @ 7:57PM

Said an Obama true devotee,
"Without lies, the I's drink no Tea.
Those with leaders parsonal,
Using their hate R-senal!
D-ceased? No, they all still will vote D!"

Mad Hatter| 10.7.10 @ 9:56PM

Those who think this is Long on the Hooey,
May learn in November it's more truey.
So if you do not wish,
To lose to Princess the Fish,
Recall: A True Man's eyes never get Dewy!

Evangelicals loved Bush| 10.7.10 @ 11:23PM

"In 2000, an estimated 3-4 million Evangelical voters stayed home after the Bush drunk driving story broke just four days before the election"

Estimated by whom? Mickey Mouse? This is all in your imagination. You know there is no way in hades that 3-4 million evangelicals stayed home over an old drunk driving incident. Independents, maybe. Evangelicals, no. Evangelicals simply did not and would not stay home over something like that. Bush was their man, they were against Gore, and they love human fallibility and redemption. They went to the polls and they punched that chad through for Bush. That is simply a historical fact.

Amy Sterling| 10.8.10 @ 12:09AM

I am an, unfortunately, still breathing natural-born citizen and registered Republican residing in Los Angeles County. I have lived in this county three times since 2000 (I was raised and spent most of my life in another county nearby - a "red" county). When I first lived here, I experienced difficulty registering, with my registration lost twice. When I moved here the second time, I failed to receive my sample ballots and was not actually on the rolls when I went to vote with a previously-registered friend. Most recently, I know for a stone fact I was registered, but had to go to 3 different polling places where I was finally able to vote (2008 election). I then filed for permanent mail-in-ballot status and I got mine 2 days ago. I went to fill it out and made a mistake right off the bat - it's set up so you almost automatically mark the "Green" candidate for governor if you actually wanted to vote for Meg Whitman. Not being a Florida senior voter, I saw what I'd done and called the - for once - helpful and courteous registrar. She insisted I could use my booklet instead of the ballot and just mail that back. I didn't even check to see if that was true, and asked by subterfuge how and where I could vote on Election day. Yes - place #3 from 2 years ago. My daughter who registered two months ago on her 18th birthday, hasn't got her sample ballot yet . . .

Yosemeti Sam| 10.8.10 @ 3:05AM

" The Election Doomsday Scenario ...."

Conversely - The Election Broomday Scenario!

Does one believe the electorate have the time
or inclination or 'versatility of convictions' to
be influenced by punditry or Democrat propaganda ad nauseam pre-elections - or rather they will rely on iron-clad GUT feelings from having experienced tangible HARM incurred from the near-junta-like-MO Democrat party
and its' fearless commandante; and INSTINCTIVELY reward them, without need for bugle calls, focus groups etc etc - with GRIM political recompense?

e. cowan| 10.8.10 @ 1:33PM

The senate race in Nevada is so close and Reid's campaign (and his RINO supporters) have been so vicious and deceptive, that if Sharron Angle does win - it will be a good size miracle.
I don't think anybody who wants her to win is over confident at all.

emo| 10.9.10 @ 5:06AM

Kind of a weak article with weak examples.

Eric Sutter| 10.11.10 @ 10:44AM

The only reason I hate Obama and the dems is because I've seen the future- They made George W a great president.

Tenn Slim| 10.12.10 @ 8:58AM

Google: Soros Secry of State Project for the real November Surprise.
end
Semper FI
We will Prevail

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Louis Vttion handbags| 12.9.10 @ 2:25AM

I have not had much interest in football in 20 years. I watched no NFL games this year. Only one thing interests me. The NFL needs to get rid of the field goal and the pat kick. All pat's should be run or pass. It is absurd to have a have fought game decided by a cheap kick. A four touchdown game should be settled by real pat's; 27-25 or something. A close game should be decided by a last minute touchdown. This would make for more exciting games as the teams would have to work on pat drills as well as two minute drills. No more foreign soccer players coming in to keeck a touchdown.

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