The name of one man attending this week’s Nuclear Summit in
Washington was “mud” only four years ago. Today he is the
president of his country.
He is Viktor Yanukovich, elected president of Ukraine in
February. Four years ago he and Viktor Yushchenko were contesting
for the presidency, the first “open” campaign after decades of
strongman rule in that former Soviet republic.
Yanukovich comes from the eastern part of Ukraine with a
heavy concentration of pro-Russian voters. Yushchenko was
supported primarily by Western Ukrainians who favored closer ties
with the West, perhaps even membership in NATO.
At one point, Yushchenko was the victim of a mysterious
poisoning which partially disfigured his face. Russian operatives
were widely blamed. Although Yanukovich was not involved, there
was considerable speculation — certainly in the Western press —
that he was somehow in cahoots with the Russians to win the
election. The outcome was contested, amid charges of ballot
irregularities. Yushchenko finally was declared the winner, after
thousands of young Ukrainians occupied Kiev’s central square for
days, vowing not to leave until Yushchenko was declared the
victor. At the moment he was very popular, including with many
members of the Ukrainian diaspora in the United States who were
pleased that is married to an American.
The pro-democracy atmosphere was heady, but Yushchenko and
his prime minister, Yulia Tymoshenko were at swords points from
the beginning. The economy began to slide,
inflation soared. The Russians stopped shipping natural gas
to Ukraine over a price dispute. From spring 2008 to early 2009
the country’s gross domestic product fell by 20 percent.
By the time of this year’s election, Yanukovich had become
a more polished speaker and candidate. He was facing Tymoshenko.
He won a clear victory. Yushchenko ran a distant fourth. Since
then, Yanukovich has moved quickly to consolidate his control of
the government. He appointed an ally as prime minister and
assembled a coalition of individual members who, along with his
own party’s contingent, give him a parliamentary majority.
Investors like the turn of events. The Kiev stock market
has gone up 30 percent since Yanukovich became president. The
Russian natural gas price contretemps has been settled for now.
Yanukovich has submitted a prudent budget and has renewed an
International Monetary Fund program that had been stalled for
months and had caused much economic anxiety.
At the same time he has made sure that Ukraine maintains
friendly relations with the European Union while also keeping
Moscow closely informed of his moves to stabilize his country’s
economy.
So, a man who was seen as a pariah just four years ago,
comes to Washington as the Man of the Hour. The frosting on his
particular cake is a scheduled private meeting at the White House
with President Obama.
(Mr. Hannaford is a member of the Committee on the
Present Danger.)