By William Tucker on 3.10.10 @ 6:09AM
Do we really want to rein in medical costs?
Having failed to excite the majority of American about covering
30 million of their fellow citizens at the expense of
jeopardizing their own medical care, the Obama Administration has
settled on an even more implausible reform argument -- extending
these benefits will lower medical
costs.
The amen chorus in the press has seconded this claim.
"Dramatic figures in the [recently released Center
for Medicare and Medicaid Services] report show that health care
accounted for 17.3% of the U.S. economy in 2009,"
writes Kate Pickert in Time. "The increase in health
spending, from $2.34 trillion in 2008 to $2.47 trillion in 2009,
was the largest one-year jump since 1960. CMS predicts total U.S.
health spending in 2019 will be $4.5 trillion. This will bolster
the Democratic argument that dramatic health reform is an urgent
need that must happen quickly."
The New York Times paints
a similar picture of a system spiraling out of control:
If nothing is done, the number of uninsured people -- 46
million in 2008 -- is sure to spike upward as rising medical
costs and soaring premiums make policies less affordable and
employers continue to drop coverage to save money.
The Congressional Budget Office projects 54 million
uninsured people in 2019; the actuary for the federal
government's Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services
projects 57 million.
All this raises an embarrassing question. If more and more
people are losing coverage, why do costs keep going up? The
Times' answer is that by postponing treatment, uninsured
people end up requiring more expensive care. Or alternately, if
they are treated anyway, hospitals will slip the bill to other
patients. But none of this adds up. There is widespread agreement
that preventive treatment is just as expensive if not more so as
emergency treatment. After all, isn't it all that preventive
medicine to guard against lawsuits that is driving up costs? It
is indeed unfortunate when people don't get proper medical care,
but you can't argue that they aren't getting proper care
and not providing that care is more
expensive.
Likewise, even if hospitals are shifting costs, isn't that
what the Democrats are trying to do as well? You can argue that
cost-shifting should be done in a more above-board manner, but
you can hardly argue that this will bring
down the costs of medicine.
So maybe we should start with a more basic question.
"What's so bad about Americans spending more and more money on
healthcare?" Wouldn't it be just as easy to argue the opposite?
Americans are spending more on healthcare --
therefore they are living longer and
healthier lives. It seems quite true. Given the choice, isn't it
possible that Americans prefer spending
money on medical treatment than on vacations, third cars, home
entertainment systems or some other big-ticket item? What is more
valuable than a person's health? And if so, won't "bending the
cost curve down" simply mean taking away medical care that people
would otherwise want?
The topography of the healthcare "crisis" is all too
familiar. It is one of those periodic fervors that seem to occur
during every Democratic administration. Recall the "Energy
Crisis" of the Carter Administration, when Congress managed to
parlay a one-time Arab Oil Embargo (which lasted only three
months) into a decade-long oil shortage. Then the greedy oil
companies were the problem and government intervention the
solution. Instead of allowing oil companies to produce oil, we
had Department of Energy bureaucrats drawing up Five Year Plans
to wean the nation from fossil fuels. It was not until President
Reagan threw out price controls his first week in office that the
"oil shortage" solved itself.
Today it is the "greedy insurance companies" that must be
slain by heroic politicians. Only yesterday Senator Dianne
Feinstein told
the New York Times, "We are the only industrialized
nation that relies heavily on a for-profit medical insurance
industry to provide basic health care. I believe, fundamentally,
that all medical insurance should be not-for-profit."
Yet only 6 percent of Americans buy health insurance
directly from those insurance companies. Some smaller businesses
also buy policies for their employees but together this
constitutes less than 15 percent of the market. The largest bloc
of Americans -- about 40 percent -- have health
benefits, not
insurance. This means their employer
self-ensures under the federal ERISA program, which allows
employers to offer their employees health coverage free of state
and federal taxes and cumbersome state mandates. The insurance
industry's profits rank 88th out of the 100 largest industries.
Insurance companies are not the problem. They are only the
scapegoats.
So what is the problem? Well, it can be summed up very
simply. Too many people in the system are spending
other people's money. What makes healthcare
different is that the industry is
already dominated by so many federal
programs plus large corporations operating under exemptions
provided by federal regulation that no one has any
incentive to save money. Everything is covered by
third parties. As long as everyone is spending other people's
money, the system will continue to spiral out of control.
You can see this everywhere. Union members with "Cadillac"
ERISA plans offering first-dollar, no-deductible coverage are
notorious for using the system up to the maximum. Why shouldn't
they, since it is all "free"? As anyone with health insurance
knows, as long as a procedure is "covered," there is little
reason to worry about costs.
What is less often observed is that doctors, hospitals and
other providers are playing the same game. Particularly with
Medicaid and Medicare, they routinely pad bills with all kinds of
unnecessary provisions. An elderly relative of mine recently
looked at her hospital bill and found $2000 in services she had
never received. When she complained to the hospital, she was told
to keep quiet, Medicare would cover everything. When my elderly
father lay dying in the hospital four years ago, he spent the
last day of his life being visited by a bevy of specialists who
arrived completely unbidden, offering physical therapy,
rehabilitative treatment, and other services he obviously wasn't
going to need, all to pad the Medicare bill (which came to
$12,000 for three days). When I visited my own doctor recently
for one condition and then mentioned a second complaint, he told
me to make a second appointment so he could bill the insurance
company for both treatments.
The medical economy is replete with this kind of
gamesmanship, all at the expense of third parties. In fact, the
whole problem is this: Healthcare is already a
"welfare-state-within-a-welfare-state," with almost
all direct exchange between doctors and patients completely
eliminated. The problem with such systems, as Margaret
Thatcher put it memorably, is that eventually you run out of
other people's money.
Will Obamacare solve any of this? Not a chance. The only
practical solution is to restore some personal responsibility to
the system. Health Savings Accounts (HSAs) are one obvious
answer. Governor Mitch Daniels of Indiana recently
recounted in the Wall Street Journal how his state
has reduced medical benefits $8 million annually by giving state
employees $2,750 each year to pay their own medical expenses and
then covering the rest through catastrophic insurance. Seventy
percent of state employees have chosen the system.
What makes healthcare a "problem" is that it already
suffers from too much cost-shifting through government
intervention. Obamacare will only make things worse. Any
incentive to control spending will disappear completely, to be
replaced by ham-handed government efforts to "bend down the cost
curve." There's a simple word for this -- government-run health
care.