By Robert Stacy McCain on 10.28.09 @ 6:08AM
Hoffman gets a grassroots surge in Upstate New York.
What a difference two weeks can make. Toward the end of an
Oct. 14 conference call organized by David
Keene of the American Conservative Union, congressional
candidate Doug
Hoffman plaintively asked, "Does anybody know how to get
Glenn Beck interested in this?"
Monday afternoon, Hoffman was interviewed on
Beck's popular Fox News program, evidence of the surging momentum
the Conservative Party candidate has experienced in the three-way
special election campaign in update New York's 23rd
District.
In the past six days, Hoffman has been endorsed by former
House Majority Leader Dick Armey, former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin,
Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, Sen. Jim DeMint, Rep. Dana
Rohrabacher, former National Republican Congressional Campaign
chairmen John Linder and Tom Cole…
The complete list of Hoffman endorsers is a long one, and
seems to include nearly every Republican except Newt Gingrich and
Dede Scozzafava, the later of whom is Hoffman's opponent, and the
former her only prominent supporter. According to the two most
recent polls, the liberal Republican Scozzafava is now in third
place, while Hoffman has pulled ahead of Democrat Bill
Owens.
Both of those latest polls require a grain of salt because
they were commissioned by organizations (Club
for Growth and
Minuteman PAC) that support Hoffman. Polls or no polls,
however, there is a strong sense among observers that Hoffman may
be on the verge of one of the biggest political upsets of recent
years.
The amazing surge of support toward Hoffman is remarkable
in several ways. His grassroots campaign pits him against both
the Democratic and Republican national campaign machines in a
district which, as liberal media have repeatedly emphasized, went
52 percent for President Obama just a year ago. Hoffman's evident
success is even more amazing because the candidate himself gives
new meaning to the phrase "not a professional politician."
Not only has the bespectacled businessman never sought
public office before, but he is far from the ideal candidate in
an age where voters expect soundbites delivered by telegenic
smoothies. A certified public accountant, Hoffman's un-politician
style was clearly evident in the low-key way he gave his laconic
answers to Beck during Monday's interview.
"Well, I never thought I'd be in politics, but Glenn, quite
frankly, I was fed up," Hoffman said. "I was fed up with what was
happening to our country. I was fed up with the out-of-control
spending, taxes, government regulations on us and business, and I
thought somebody had to step up and do something about
it."
His delivery was not slick, but Hoffman's message has
clearly resonated with others who are "fed up," including Tea
Party activists like Dana Loesch, who created a special blog
called "Dump Dede" to
protest against the way GOP insiders handpicked Scozzafava as the
Republican nominee. Loesch's blog is part of a tide of online
activism on Hoffman's behalf that indicates how far the
conservative grassroots have come toward closing the "New Media"
gap with their liberal counterparts, whose Internet edge helped
power Democrat wins in the past two election cycles.
Chief among the online crusaders for the Hoffman campaign
has been Erick Erickson of Red
State. Long a mainstream figure among Republican bloggers,
Erickson has bucked the GOP establishment in recent months,
joining the protest against the National Republican
Senatorial Committee's early endorsement of Gov. Charlie Crist in
Florida's 2010 Senate primary.
Erickson's blog led a push for Hoffman that raised
grassroots conservative awareness of the election to replace
nine-term Republican Rep. John McHugh, recently confirmed as
Obama's Secretary of the Army. With a congressional campaign
compressed into five weeks -- New York Gov. David Paterson didn't
officially call for the Nov. 3 election until late September --
major national media paid little attention. (It wasn't until
Tuesday that the New York Times published
its first major front-page
article about the upstate contest.)
Less than a dozen conservative bloggers were on the Oct. 14
ACU
conference call, but within days, the Hoffman campaign had
suddenly "gone viral," as Internet gurus say. The fact that
Palin's endorsement was announced on her Facebook
page shows just how conservatives have adopted Web 2.0
technology -- and the staggering
$116,000 in PayPal contributions generated that day
demonstrates what a powerful tool online fundraising can
be.
After that Thursday haul, Team Hoffman stopped announcing
their fundraising totals -- a good indication that the campaign
has overcome the financial crisis that had previously hampered
its operation. Conservative volunteers answering the campaign's
call for "boots
on the ground" are reportedly streaming into the district to
help push Hoffman toward the finish line.
No one at Hoffman HQ is counting their chickens yet, of
course. The only televised debate to feature all three candidates
is scheduled for Thursday, and Hoffman this week has been hit by
TV attack ads from both the Democrats and Republicans.
Yet both the campaign staff and their grassroots supporters
sense they may be approaching a victory as stunning as the U.S.
hockey team's upset of the Soviets in the 1980 Lake Placid
Olympics for which Hoffman served as chief accountant. As the
clock ticked down toward an American victory, ABC's Al Michaels
excitedly shouted, "Do you believe in miracles?" before answering
his own question with an emphatic, "Yes!"
The clock now ticks down toward Election Day in upstate New
York, and the Hoffman campaign is hoping for a similarly
miraculous answer.