By John Berlau on 6.25.09 @ 6:06AM
Conservatives should still be yelling stop. A response to
National Review.
My organization, the Competitive Enterprise Institute, has
frequently been
accused of being "in denial" regarding important issues. It's
a charge we most often wear as a badge of honor, because
most often, our accusers are too quick to jettison important
facts and/or principles that we feel must shape the public policy
debate.
The latest accusation of "denial" is on a different issue --
bailouts and government takeovers -- and targeted at a different
CEI scholar -- me. The accuser is also different from usual:
National Review. But like the other "denier" charges
leveled against us through the years, the NR
broadside scuttles principles that should be at the forefront
of the policy discussion. These are the principles of property
rights, private ownership, and the rule of law that all
libertarians and conservatives -- and especially NR --
should hold dear.
On Tuesday, I had
criticized here an unsigned NR
editorial supporting President Obama's call for a "resolution
authority" that would give the government broad powers to seize
nonbank firms deemed a threat to "financial stability." I wrote
that "conservatives' only choice in responding to Obama's
'resolution regime' to follow National Review's onetime
motto of 'standing athwart" and 'yelling stop,'" even if
NR was on board Obama's train pushing for these expanded
powers.
NR staff reporter Stephen Spruiell responded to my piece
one day later. Spruiell states kindly that he "like[s"] and
"agree[s] with me [90] percent of the time," and I should say
this respect is reciprocal, as Spruiell has written some
perceptive
pieces on housing policy. But he then asserts that I seem "to
be in denial about the degree to which government guarantees have
mad the market profoundly less sensitive to credit risk." He also
charges that I fail "to address the magazine's argument, which is
that the creation of a well-designed [emphasis in
Spruiell's piece] resolution authority might be the best way to
counteract the moral hazard created by the bailouts."
Actually, that was not really the magazine's argument in the
original unsigned editorial. Then, the editorialists
unambiguously praised the Obama plan, concluding that "the
administration's approach gets at least one big thing right."
This statement implied strongly that Obama's initiative on this
matter was well designed. It's all to the good if
NR is now backing away from its original stance, and is
giving the actual details of the plan more scrutiny, but Spruiell
and the other editors should admit this change in position.
And the Obama proposal definitely deserves more scrutiny. As I
noted previously in the Spectator, the administration's
white paper puts no limits on the type of firm the government
could seize. On page 19, the paper defines a "Tier I financial
holding company" that would be subject to seizure as "any firm
whose combination of size, leverage, and interconnectedness could
pose a threat to financial stability if it failed."
This is eminent domain on steroids. It would be the arbitrary
decision of politicians as to what businesses pose a "threat to
financial stability." Already, parties scrutinizing the Obama
proposals are circulating such as, "How widespread must the
potential threat be to be considered a Tier 1 FHC [subject to
seizure]? Is it sufficient to pose a threat only to a
region of the country?"
Spruiell writes that I "should acknowledge" that "too big to
fail" and "moral hazard" "is a problem." But I and my colleagues
already have said this since the bailouts were first proposed.
Unlike NR, I opposed the first rounds of bailouts here
in the Spectator
in September, and I proposed suspending mark-to-market accounting
as an alternative (which was
partially done in April and has coincided with a slight but
significant recovery in the banking sector that the billions in
bailouts never achieved previously).
What Spruiell and the other NR editors need to
acknowledge is what should be the fairly obvious point that broad
government power to nationalize industries is a separate and
distinct "problem," no matter how much money it could conceivably
save taxpayers. I actually don't think the resolution authority
will save taxpayers any money; in fact it will end up costing
them, given the additional billions the government has put into
Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and American International Group since
it took ownership in these entities. (The NR editorial
made much of the distinction between conservatorship, which the
Bush administration practiced in taking over Fannie and Freddie,
and receivership, in which the government actually sells of an
entity's assets to the private sector. The Obama white paper,
however, makes this a moot point on page 77, when it explicitly
gives the Treasury Department the choice "to establish
conservatorship or receivership. [emphasis added].")
But even if the nationalization authority could save taxpayers $1
billion or even $1 trillion dollars, it is still a terrible idea.
One destructive act cannot be fixed by another act that is
equally if not more destructive. A doctor could remove the pain
of an ingrown toenail by simply amputating the foot, but this
would cause much more long-term problems. And if we give to the
Obama administration or any administration this power to seize
firms where, unlike with banks, there is no nexus to an insurance
program the government provides, it will be the equivalent of
cutting off a "foot" or even a limb of the American free
enterprise system. Why should we think nationalization should
work out here better than any place else where it has been tried?
Indeed, the nationalization of AIG, which came two days after the
bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers, now appears to be a bigger factor
in the meltdown than the Lehman bankruptcy was. As Cato Institute
economist Alan Reynolds wrote
in NR: "Financial stock prices fell dramatically as soon
as it became known that the loan to AIG … would be tied to
expropriation of 80 percent of equity. Share prices [collapsed]
for financial firms that seemed vulnerable to that sort of
government help."
Finally, contrary to Spruiell's assertions, my suggestions of
revisions to the bankruptcy code for financial firms is neither
"backing away" nor a "third way" from my opposition to both
nationalization and bailouts. It's what Congress has always done
in light of new circumstances among businesses and is explicitly
empowered to do by the Constitution's providing for it to write
"uniform
laws on the subject of bankruptcy."
The differences between judicial bankruptcies and "resolutions"
organized by the president, such as Chrysler and General Motors,
are manifold. The bankruptcy court does not carry ownership
stakes in the bankrupt entities, just as the courts do not now
own retailers Eddie Bauer and Circuit City and other firms in
traditional bankruptcy. Decisions are made by federal judges who,
while not perfect, do not have to worry about pleasing
constituencies for re-election.
As for Spruiell's concern that "enhancing the bankruptcy code
won't do much good if market players remain convinced that
government will always save large firms from bankruptcy,"
conservatives just have to mobilize the public to tell their
congressmen "no more bailouts" at tea parties and other events.
Indeed, "bailout fatigue" may have stopped planned "rescues" of
commercial real estate firms, who are discovering that
traditional bankruptcy still works. As I wrote
here, the orderly April bankruptcy of General Growth
Properties, the second largest mall owner in the country, shows
that traditional bankruptcy proceedings even for large firms
still work out better for taxpayers and the economy than bailouts
do.
topics:
Conservatism, Bailout