Whether it's the Tamil Tigers or the Taliban, each must be
reacted to on a case by case basis -- one reason Afghanistan is
so dicey.
Insurgency is a term used by a group in power to define a group
that is doing everything it can to be in power, at least in terms
of self-governance if not to be totally in charge. Both sides
learn quickly that any weakness displayed by the other side must
be exploited ruthlessly and to the maximum extent. It's a type of
warfare that by its very nature is "dirty" -- and definitely not
for those committed to high moral and legal principles.
Perhaps the purest example of recent insurgency is the Tamil
Eelam and their Liberation Tigers in Sri Lanka. Just this past
week the Tamil Tigers finally lost control of a small portion of
territory it had held for many years. The central government
announced that the 26-year insurgency had ended. Perhaps the
fighting has ceased, but the struggle for the rights of the
minority Tamils dominated by the majority Sinhalese will
certainly go on.
Sri Lanka and the rebellious Tamil Tigers represented a paradigm
of insurgency, but they certainly are not alone. The Eastern
Congo has had rebellions in different forms going on for 49
years. Even intervention by the United Nations on several
occasions hasn't been able to tamp down permanently the various
uprisings.
The FARC in Colombia after many years still operate with the aid
of drug trafficking. The Moros in the Philippines, interrupted by
several peace agreements, have been fighting central government
control in one form or another since the arrival of the Americans
in 1898. Insurgencies come in many different forms, some
religiously based, some ethnically based, some strictly
politically based. Counter-insurgency, therefore, must be equally
attuned to these often complex differences.
The Taliban are a wholly different order of insurgency in that
they exist in both Afghanistan and Pakistan. With its majority of
Pushtun members the Taliban is dominated by a tribe that
constitutes 40 percent of the population of Afghanistan and
approximately 75 percent of those inhabitants living on both
sides of the eastern and southern border with Pakistan.
Basically all these Pushtun are of the same religious orientation
-- if different in practice and sub-tribal affiliation. All
Pushtun share an independence of political spirit. Essentially,
therefore, the Afghan Pushtun tribal leaders can choose whether
they want to follow the Pushtun-led government in Kabul or the
Pushtun-led oligarchy of the Taliban.
One must step out of the traditional context of
counter-insurgency when dealing with the Taliban. There is no
military action of any sort that can be taken against the Taliban
that doesn't have a political ramification, either in the broad
context or simply local impact. Assaults in a given clan area
have ramifications in neighboring clan areas.
There is one school of thought that holds the essence of
counter-insurgent warfare is to brutally wipe out the rebellious
group in such a way as to deny the possibility of revival. This
takes a great deal of killing and subsequent control of the
insurgent base so as to deny resumption of the rebellion.
An alternative view holds that insurgencies never can be
countered with military force alone; that the ultimate key to
counter-insurgency is "winning the hearts and minds" of the
population through economic, political and social actions.
Combinations of all of the above have been tried with varying
results wherever insurgency has arisen. There is no strict
approach that can be applied to counter-insurgency. The lessons
of Malaya could be applied only in part in Vietnam. The lessons
of Vietnam could only be applied in part against the Philippine
Moros. In the same way the lessons of Iraq are only applicable in
part to Afghanistan. And nothing but annihilation seems to have
worked in Sri Lanka.
Insurgency thrives on this diversity of character. It is
simplistic to justify the replacement of the American commander
in Afghanistan by arguing he supported conventional tactics as
opposed to the new one who is devoted to special operations.
To counter any insurgency, Taliban included, it is necessary to
design a wholly unique strategy with supportive tactics. Next, a
military, political and economic commitment of an indefinite
period of time is required. For an outside force such as the
United States military or NATO to assume this open-ended
responsibility is clearly impractical.
The solution requires a working alliance between Islamabad and
Kabul with the West's material support in the background.
Changing field commanders may give the appearance of doing
something -- but unfortunately it's only a partial response, at
best.
Ultimately the threat to the United States and Europe is from the
international terrorist syndicate of al Qaeda and its foreign
allies. They must be America's principal objective. Targeting the
non-Pushtun al Qaeda as distinct from the Taliban is key to the
beginning of the destruction of Osama bin Laden's organization in
the region.
About the Author
George H. Wittman writes a weekly column on international affairs for The American Spectator online. He was the founding chairman of the National Institute for Public Policy.
It would always make sense to wipe out the entire insurgency if
this were possible. However guerillas are almost always mixed in
with the general population, so this would mean wiping out the
village to save it.
The problem with "hearts and minds" is that it sounds weak. In
real life it is about force. Without someone to defend the
population, the terrorist will control them by violence (terror),
so their only choices are support the insurgents or die. Iraq was
an example where villagers who helped the US troops were killed
by insurgents after the US forces withdrew.
Really it is about giving the locals a choice, and forcing them
to make it, not winning their "hearts and minds".
Yeah, I'm sure the Taliban are quaking in their boots at the
prospect of fighting the TelePrompter in Chief. By GOD, he has so
inspired the troops to fight valiantly against all those "man
caused disasters" knowing that of course they'll be allowed to
use up their own health insurance (and bankrupt their families)
if they're wounded in combat. And of course, they'll risk their
lives trying to capture hate-filled headchoppers so that BarryO
can let 'em loose inside of America.
Just one question: how is that when President Bush oredered a
surge into Iraq, it was a "failed policy of the past", but when
Obama orders one for Afghanistan, it's called "cleaning up the
mess of the past eight years"?
stand strong until freedom dawns
Son Of Sam
http://www.geocities.com/samadamssos
melvin polatnick| 5.22.09 @ 12:17PM
There will be a time when there is peace in the world. It will be
a time when all anti-American forces lay down their arms. Until
then the wars will go on.
L. Ross| 5.22.09 @ 12:59PM
The big challenge here is all about islam. Muslims are the
products of a death cult; hey crave death and destruction, and
that is something which is difficult for the Western mind to
grasp. We need to come up with a way to defeat an enemy which
detests our culture and everything that we stand for. I for one
still support Ann Coulter's position.
"We need to invade their countries, kill their leaders, and
convert them to Christianity". Barring that, I'm afraid that we
simply need to kill them until they stop fighting.
Old Soldier| 5.22.09 @ 1:59PM
Sri Lanka's lesson is this - to defeat an Insurgency, the gloves
have to come off. The people of Sri Lanka - Sinhalese and Tamils
not associated with the Tigers - are the most patient, gentle
people I've ever met.
After decades of low level warfare and many acts of terrorism,
they finally had enough. The gloves came off and they started
fighting the Tamil Tigers the way we fought WWII. Civilian
casualties became acceptable as long as the Tigers were dying.
I hope and pray that the victory is lasting and reconciliation
between the Sinhalese and northern Tamils is possible. Sri Lanka
could be a valuable member of the Anglosphere.
Siegfried X| 5.22.09 @ 7:48AM
It would always make sense to wipe out the entire insurgency if this were possible. However guerillas are almost always mixed in with the general population, so this would mean wiping out the village to save it.
The problem with "hearts and minds" is that it sounds weak. In real life it is about force. Without someone to defend the population, the terrorist will control them by violence (terror), so their only choices are support the insurgents or die. Iraq was an example where villagers who helped the US troops were killed by insurgents after the US forces withdrew.
Really it is about giving the locals a choice, and forcing them to make it, not winning their "hearts and minds".
Son Of Sam| 5.22.09 @ 8:56AM
Yeah, I'm sure the Taliban are quaking in their boots at the prospect of fighting the TelePrompter in Chief. By GOD, he has so inspired the troops to fight valiantly against all those "man caused disasters" knowing that of course they'll be allowed to use up their own health insurance (and bankrupt their families) if they're wounded in combat. And of course, they'll risk their lives trying to capture hate-filled headchoppers so that BarryO can let 'em loose inside of America.
Just one question: how is that when President Bush oredered a surge into Iraq, it was a "failed policy of the past", but when Obama orders one for Afghanistan, it's called "cleaning up the mess of the past eight years"?
stand strong until freedom dawns
Son Of Sam
http://www.geocities.com/samadamssos
melvin polatnick| 5.22.09 @ 12:17PM
There will be a time when there is peace in the world. It will be a time when all anti-American forces lay down their arms. Until then the wars will go on.
L. Ross| 5.22.09 @ 12:59PM
The big challenge here is all about islam. Muslims are the products of a death cult; hey crave death and destruction, and that is something which is difficult for the Western mind to grasp. We need to come up with a way to defeat an enemy which detests our culture and everything that we stand for. I for one still support Ann Coulter's position.
"We need to invade their countries, kill their leaders, and convert them to Christianity". Barring that, I'm afraid that we simply need to kill them until they stop fighting.
Old Soldier| 5.22.09 @ 1:59PM
Sri Lanka's lesson is this - to defeat an Insurgency, the gloves have to come off. The people of Sri Lanka - Sinhalese and Tamils not associated with the Tigers - are the most patient, gentle people I've ever met.
After decades of low level warfare and many acts of terrorism, they finally had enough. The gloves came off and they started fighting the Tamil Tigers the way we fought WWII. Civilian casualties became acceptable as long as the Tigers were dying.
I hope and pray that the victory is lasting and reconciliation between the Sinhalese and northern Tamils is possible. Sri Lanka could be a valuable member of the Anglosphere.