By Thirsty McWormwood on 5.7.09 @ 6:06AM
How Specter should handle his not-so-senior moment.
Let's be frank senator, you've painted yourself into a pretty
tight corner. Never the most popular fellow in the World’s
Greatest Deliberative Body, you have at least always had
everyone’s grudging respect as a tough, smart guy. We may not
like Snarlin' Arlen, they['d say, but we’d much rather have him
as an ally than a foe.
But in the space of a single week, you have squandered that
respect. First, you alienated the Republicans by defecting to the
Democrats and then you managed to annoy the Democrats enough to
have them vote to strip you of your seniority -- the preservation
of which was the very reason you switched parties in the first
place.
Now you are the 79 year-old rookie senator on every committee the
Democrats will consent to let you sit in on. Without that
seniority, it is hard to see what you have to offer the voters of
Pennsylvania to stay in office. It's not like anybody in the
Senate is rushing to do you favors right now.
You needed it too. The labor unions are certain to back a
Democratic primary challenge because you've come out against card
check. Enough other lefty groups are upset at you for one reason
or another -- not to mention your Johnny-come-lately-to-party
status – that you are certain to have a real fight on your hands.
Yes, you were double-crossed by Senate Majority Leader Harry
Reid. He promised to preserve your seniority and then let the
caucus vote against it. But it should have occurred to you that
after you switched parties Reid would have the upper hand. You
had already played your trump card by then and had no leverage
left.
That was the fate of Vermont party-switcher Jim Jeffords. After
he turned to the Democrats and the hoopla died down, he realized
that he wasn’t any better off than before. No, actually, he was
worse off. As a Republican he could use the threat of defection
to wring concessions from the GOP. As a Democrat he had no such
pull. What was he going to do, switch back? He ended his Senate
career a bitter man, not even bothering to run for re-election.
Ah, but you didn't ask him, did you?
So now what do you do? Stay with the Democrats? It is hard to see
why you'd want to do that. As the vote Tuesday made perfectly
clear, they are not going to go to bat for you. I put your hopes
of actually winning your state’s 2010 Democratic nomination as
slim to none.
You cannot switch back either. That would turn this whole
situation into a farce and destroy your remaining credibility.
And the Republicans are so ticked off at you they may tell you to
take a hike anyway.
Here's my suggestion: Retire. Announce that you are not running
for re-election after all.
Yeah, it will smart. Now matter how you spin it, it will taken as
a surrender. Pundits will write snarky things about you. Your
critics will high five each other. And so on.
But so what? That will pass after a news cycle or two. It’s
about time you stepped down anyway. You’re going to be 80 next
year and you’re a cancer survivor to boot. You’ve earned a rest.
When the history books are written they’ll say Specter served 30
years and then stepped down. There’s no shame in that. Or would
you rather end your long career with a loss like Ted Stevens
or Bill Roth?
Besides, think of the fun you can have with the rest of your
term. Between now and the end of 2010, you’ll be beholden to no
one. Nobody could threaten you. You won’t have to second guess
your votes, worrying how they will affect fundraising or boost
Pat Toomey’s numbers. You can let it rip at every press
conference.
Are you ticked off at Reid for his double cross? Then think of
the sheer pleasure you can have in watching him come groveling to
you every single time he needs that 60th vote for
cloture. Play your cards right and you might even be able to get
him to give his press conferences in a pink tutu.
(By the way, you could do the same thing with Minority Leader
Mitch McConnell, who will need you as much Reid will during
cloture votes.)
So that's my suggestion. You have made a mess of things and the
best thing you can do now is to cut your losses. But you still
have one last chance to be a big shot in the Senate, however
briefly. Take it.
topics:
Republican Party, Democratic Party, Pennsylvania Democrats