Barack Obama's poll numbers reflect the triumph of hope over experience.
The way Americans responded to Barack Obama's first 100 days in office is either admirable in its optimism or worrisome in its irrationality. The latest Pew Research Center poll reported that 61 percent of those surveyed approved of Obama's job performance and even more -- 66 percent -- believe Obama's policies will improve economic conditions. Likewise, nearly the same number believes his policies will reduce the deficit long-term.
Looking at the numbers, it's hard to see why. Leave aside the various faux pas at home and abroad: the unplayable DVDs for British Prime Minister Gordon Brown, the mistranslated "reset" button in Russia, the difficulties in putting together a tax-compliant Cabinet, and an amazingly high percentage of Vice President Joe Biden's utterances. The economic statistics don't look much different than they did under former President Bush, when everyone was clamoring for change.
The unemployment rate has reached 11 percent in California and 8.5 percent nationally, both recent highs. Obama's budget actually increases the annual budget deficit beyond what he inherited to Bush and adds $9.3 trillion in cumulative deficits by $9.3 trillion, as estimated by the Democratic-run Congressional Budget Office. The markets' responses to the Obama administration's economic pronouncements have been shaky at best. And it is still far from certain that hundreds of billions being spent on stimulus and bailouts have worked.
Obama has only been in the White House a few months, but he is the one who set high expectations high. Yet he doesn't seem to face much pressure to deliver. "Change is coming," he said on the campaign trail amidst applause. "The time for change is now." Now that he is in office, the happy crowds believe change has come.
This kind of camaraderie explains why another recent Pew Research Center survey discovered there's a 61-point gap between Republicans and Democrats about the way Obama's doing his job, 88 percent to 27 percent and why "Barack Obama has the most polarized early job approval ratings of any president in the past four decades." Still, analysis of past presidents' polling results 100 days in reveal the same exuberance: Both Bush and Clinton were still flying pretty high that first spring.
In his most recent column, Dick Morris describes this honeymoon phase between country and President, husband and wife. "It would be a disaster for her life if she decides that she really doesn't like her husband.…It will be a while before she walks out the door or even comes to terms with her own doubts, but it is probably inevitable that she will."
But long-suffering wives are reluctant to walk away. Americans may lack the ability to see beyond what his actions have wrought and cling to him because of nothing more than the good feelings he evokes. If that's the case, it could be a long four years of puzzling polling. We'll see if the feeling of hope trumps the desire for real change.
Iaidoka| 5.1.09 @ 6:55AM
And he certainly is high on believin' that we're in love with him. (with apologies to BJ Thomas).
BTW, thanks for reminding me of a great song.
Rightist| 5.1.09 @ 8:18AM
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics the unemployment rate in March (the latest month for which data is available) is 8.5%, not the 11% asserted in the article.
Otherwise, thanks for the article.
Nicole Russell| 5.1.09 @ 8:27AM
Rightist, you are correct: 8.5 is the correct number. I believe it is only California that is up to 11%. Thanks for pointing that out.
Todd| 5.1.09 @ 11:06AM
The author does state that the national unemployment rate is 8.5%. If that poll is correct and 66% of people actually think Obama's policies will improve the economy, it just goes to show how terribly our public education system has failed and that the daily brainwashing of the MSM is working on a large segment of the population. The question is how much longer the charade will continue before the truth becomes known to the majority of how destructive the policies of this radical leftist is.
PKintheRockies| 5.1.09 @ 11:53AM
Thank you for your article, Nicole! It's interesting that, from a politician who touted "unity" and working across the aisle on the campaign trail, we now have a president who has greatly polarized this nation (as demonstrated by the recent dis/approval ratings). Is that why "right wing extremism" is on the rise? :) I suppose, to many, Obama can do no evil.
Mattled| 5.1.09 @ 12:28PM
I remember very well Ben Affleck and Bill Clinton during the 2004 Dem convention attacking Bush's tax cuts saying they didn't need them.
Clinton said he had received 1 million dollars that he didn't ask for. Why didn't they give it back?
Why didn't Warren Buffet give the money back if he felt that he wasn't taxed enough, but his secretary paid more (percentage-wise)?
Today you will read how people are FINALLY happy about taxes being raised, yes theirs too.
I'd like to have the opportunity to say no thanks.
IF these folks on the left had the opportunity to give the money back to the Fed's then I should have the same opportunity to say, thanks, I'll keep it.
I can understand how people were upset in 2000 with the election of Bush. What they can't explain is how it affected their lives other than hating the guy.
They claimed that he "trampled" the Constitution, but can never give an example. He listened to their phone conversations--but not one person ever stepped forward to say they were wiretapped.
They complained about---tax cuts. Are you freaking kidding me?
This so-called president hates the Constitution, has openly said it, wants to take your rights away for real-----witness the coordinated attack on a private citizen, and wants to confiscate our hard-earned dollars to give to someone else. Then openly mocks people who question his policies (tea parties).
I'd say it's apples and oranges 2000 vs. 2008.
The left has no leg to stand on when it comes to how their lives will change during a presidency.
They prospered under Bush and will suffer under Obama----all the time claiming how great it is.
S af Ugglas| 5.1.09 @ 1:52PM
I have difficulties in understanding why journalists are spilling so much ink and time on
"Posterman" instead of concentrating on all the crooks cirkling around him?
Joe| 5.1.09 @ 1:54PM
Correct me if I am wrong. But wasn't the unemployment in July around 6.5% before Obama, Pres. Bush, Congress and Treas Sec Paulsen open there big mouths (mostly liberals, Obama) and ran the economy in the ground. That's why I like the bumper sticker, "Obama lied and the economy died".
ds80| 5.1.09 @ 2:54PM
I like it; it's quite catchy:
The Obama Presidency: The Triumph of Hope Over Experience.
(or: "Look What We Can Do With An Empty Suit")
Plus, what a BONUS: it's guaranteed to make every last one of his sycophants seethe.
Now, I have a question for the first Mama: how does her $540 sneakers help my children?
Michael Tomlinson| 5.1.09 @ 3:46PM
Conservatives are often their own worst enemies.
In 2005 during a period of unprecedented prosperity, low unemployment, low taxes, and military success in Iraq the movement imploded and undercut the national realignment to the right that W and Rove were working to create.
It's bad enough that many conservatives helped hand Congress over to Democrats with their hysteria in 2006 and the White House to BO in 2008, but now those same crybabies are wringing their hands over typical poll numbers for a President in his first 100 days.
Big deal Obama has a 60% approval rating so has every other modern President in their first 100 days. Quit whining and worrying. History is about to repeat itself.
In 1976 Jimmy Carter replaced unpopular Gerald Ford with an impressive electoral victory and a solid Democrat Congress with a filibuster proof Senate. Four years later that earlier Democrat messiah (obviously conservatives have forgotten Carter's minions equating him with Jesus Christ) was a bad memory. Carter who kissed the butts of tyrants, spent like a drunken Sailor and bailed out Chrysler at the behest of the UAW was crushed by a resurgent Republican party led by a pragmatic conservative who governed from the center and made too many bad deals with Democrats -- like raising taxes and blanket amnesty for illegal aliens.
High unemployment, rampant inflation and double digit interest rates destroyed Carter's false message of hope as they will BO's "audacious hope for change."
BO's policies are leading to unprecedented highs in unemployment that will only be made worse by his actions. Inflation is a forgone conclusion based on his massive deficit spending and a declining GDP. Taxes are going up on everyone and utility bills will skyrocket as American's standard of living declines.
For all the BS about hope and change what Obama actually offers America is everything that's screwing up Mass, Maryland, New Jersey, Ohio, North Carolina, Michigan and New York (all solid Democrat states).
The only thing that can save BO is a conservative movement still drinking Democrat kool-aid and trying to punish Republicans, because the world isn't "flat." Stop lamenting typical poll numbers and swallowing MSM BS. Just keep saying NO to BO and wait for reality to swamp "audacious hope."
stmichrick| 5.2.09 @ 9:49PM
It's hard to follow a virus fest like dfsdcfzx just spewed forth, other than to say:
Forget about historical precedent; it's all about His style; let him shuffle onto Ellen DeGeneres show, or if Him and the missus appear on Dancing With the Stars, and he is re-elected, hands down.
We're doomed. Rome is burning.
I have one question I'd like to ask him: How does an ever expanding deficit, debt and government involvement translate into prosperity?
Pingback| 5.3.09 @ 7:30AM
Hooked on a Feeling links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Robert Rosencrans| 5.3.09 @ 6:30PM
If a person is hungry, and someone feeds that person, then the person is no longer hungry and will come back for more. The same is true of fear and politics, not that it hasn't been tried before.
The talk of the second coming of the Great Depression, reinforced by the stenographers in the press, has some portions of the American public rattled and frightened. Forget the fact that it isn't true, but it leads to the rational question, who will save the populace?
The answer to that question appears obvious for many in the American public. It's the man who controls the printing press, not in the fashion of the great journalists, but Obama vis a vis Geithner and the U.S. Treasury.
The collective citizenry does not understand that Obama is borrowing tomorrow's prosperity from your kids and grand kids to make you feel all warm and fuzzy today.
Unfortunately, there is a generation and a half out there whose brains have been turned into secular humanistic mush by the public schools and all they understand is that if they have a cell phone in one hand and an Ipod in the other and a credit card in their back pocket, that is satisfaction.
The negative after effects of illegal immigration, government borrowing which has risen to 25% of GDP and which will surely go higher, corrupt government officials and verbal sleight of hands by clever politicians which hide the true intent of their political game plans, are all beyond the ken of half the population.
They look forward to free health care and free housing provided by a benevolent government. They fail to make the connection that when they receive those services they become government serfs, condemned to handouts provided by faceless bureaucrats, who soon begin to wonder why they are working.
A new electorate is emerging which ironically is the antithesis of those immortal words, " . . . . ask not what your country can do for you, ask what you can do for your country."
Entire classes of the citizenry have been duped into drinking the Kool Aid and with the passage of the Obama budget, 51% now pay no taxes.
The future is clear. Just at the time the country needs the investor class the most, Barack Obama has taken it upon himself to condemn the investor class for being greedy while the real grab at greed and unbridled power is being conducted by Barack Obama himself.
All this is going on while 97% of the American press falls down before him, apparently lacking the intelligence or the skills necessary to warn the public of what is to come, or perhaps the illustrious members of the press do not care.
But what of those who are intelligent, who have the brains and financial savvy to understand the implication of what is happening? In short, who is looking out for the public's interests?
Apparently, no one. While Obama attacks the business class, the inner circle in D.C. and a few high flying billionaires are robbing the Treasury to enrich themselves, or make themselves look good.
The first example of this is Senator Diane Feinstein. Here is a clip from an article that describes the scam:
"Sen. Dianne Feinstein introduced legislation to route $25 billion in taxpayer money to a government agency that had just awarded her husband's real estate firm a lucrative contract to sell foreclosed properties at compensation rates higher than the industry norms.
Mrs. Feinstein's intervention on behalf of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. was unusual: the California Democrat isn't a member of the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs with jurisdiction over FDIC; and the agency is supposed to operate from money it raises from bank-paid insurance payments - not direct federal dollars.
Documents reviewed by The Washington Times show Mrs. Feinstein first offered Oct. 30 to help the FDIC secure money for its effort to stem the rise of home foreclosures. Her letter was sent just days before the agency determined that CB Richard Ellis Group (CBRE) - the commercial real estate firm that her husband Richard Blum heads as board chairman - had won the competitive bidding for a contract to sell foreclosed properties that FDIC had inherited from failed banks. "
I'm sure she's not the only politician looting the U.S. Treasury. There are other examples but let's look at an example from the private sector.
Warren Buffet, one of the world's richest men, is fond of being heralded as a knowledgeable investor and never tires of telling how the Obama administration is doing the right thing. And it is, for Warren Buffet.
One of the biggest beneficiaries of the the bail outs has been Warren Buffet and his holding company, Berkshire Hathaway.
While the public steams ahead, seemingly oblivious to the coming after effects of out of control government spending, all sectors stand by with their hands out, from the average Joe on the street, to corrupt politicians, to billionaires who know better.
It can only end badly.
http://www.sacbee.com/investigations/story/1756261.html
A Bee examination of regulatory records shows that Buffett, the world's second-wealthiest person, also quietly has become a top beneficiary of the banking bailout he so vigorously advocated.
Just 28 companies received more than 90 percent of the funds so far disbursed to financial firms by the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program, or TARP.
Buffett's holding company, Berkshire Hathaway Inc., did not directly receive any of that aid. But Berkshire is the largest shareholder of San Francisco-based Wells Fargo & Co., which got $25 billion – 91 percent of TARP funds invested in institutions headquartered in California.
Overall, Berkshire owns more than $13 billion of stock in the top recipients of TARP funds – including Goldman Sachs Group Inc., US Bancorp, American Express Co. and Bank of America Corp., all considered by analysts to be in deep trouble before the federal infusion. The more the bailout props up these financial companies, the more secure Berkshire's
salin| 1.26.10 @ 1:19AM
=>"This should be a movie for The Whole Family, for tens of millions aged 45 years old and younger, and millions aged 45 years old and younger."
Ooops. Make that millions aged 55 years old and younger.
If they make it as a cartoon (A.K.A. animated motion picture), then, hey, extend the age of the millions category to 65 years old and younger. . .
cheapest insurance
The majority of American adults (emotionally & intellectually speaking), are now dead, and dying off rapidly.
Acai Berry| 5.4.09 @ 5:20PM
Dem or Repubs...the economy still has to be fixed. What we are all facing here is the greatest threat to Amercia ever. Interestingly, it was not caused by terrorist. Just something to think about.
http://www.acaiberrysuccess.com
Home Decorating| 5.4.09 @ 5:23PM
Still drinking the Democrat kool-aid and trying to punish Republicans? Really? Think about what you are saying.
home decorating
emo| 5.4.09 @ 7:01PM
""it just goes to show how terribly our public education system has failed and that the daily brainwashing of the MSM is working on a large segment of the population""
This in a nut shell explains the 2008 election
Trackback| 5.12.09 @ 3:52AM
メル友 巨乳 近所/メル友 巨乳 近所, on 大阪のセフレ, links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Trackback| 5.14.09 @ 1:36PM
近所 メル友 巨乳, on 長野のセフレ, links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Trackback| 5.17.09 @ 1:55AM
巨乳 近所 人妻, on 千葉のセフレ, links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Trackback| 6.8.09 @ 6:46AM
無料 メル友 巨乳, on 三重のセフレ, links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Trackback| 6.14.09 @ 2:36AM
熟女 巨乳 近所, on 兵庫のセフレ, links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Trackback| 6.20.09 @ 9:41PM
近所 巨乳 人妻, on 鹿児島のセフレ, links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Trackback| 6.24.09 @ 12:06AM
近所 熟女 巨乳, on 福岡のセフレ, links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Trackback| 6.27.09 @ 6:52AM
近所 熟女 無料, on 岐阜のセフレ, links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Trackback| 7.15.09 @ 1:45PM
巨乳 人妻 無料, on 東京のセフレ, links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Trackback| 7.19.09 @ 9:28AM
近所 熟女 無料, on 栃木のセフレ, links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Trackback| 7.26.09 @ 4:14PM
近所 人妻 無料, on 熊本のセフレ, links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Trackback| 8.20.09 @ 11:36AM
近所 巨乳 熟女, on 宮城のセフレ, links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Trackback| 8.21.09 @ 10:02PM
人妻 近所 無料/人妻 近所 無料, on 広島のセフレ, links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Trackback| 8.28.09 @ 9:45PM
人妻 近所 無料, on 福島のセフレ, links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Trackback| 9.25.09 @ 3:39PM
近所 無料 熟女/近所 無料 熟女, on 岡山のセフレ, links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Trackback| 9.29.09 @ 1:42AM
無料 近所 人妻/無料 近所 人妻, on 愛知のセフレ, links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Trackback| 10.8.09 @ 9:34AM
人妻 近所 無料, on 東京のセフレ, links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Trackback| 10.10.09 @ 9:35AM
無料 人妻 近所, on 福島のセフレ, links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Trackback| 10.11.09 @ 7:55PM
巨乳 近所 人妻, on 大阪のセフレ, links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Trackback| 10.14.09 @ 8:51PM
熟女 巨乳 近所, on 群馬のセフレ, links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Trackback| 10.19.09 @ 10:43PM
無料 近所 熟女, on 千葉のセフレ, links to this page. Here’s an excerpt: