Attacks Club for Growth on political cannibalism, vows hardball
campaign.
Arlen Specter is ready to rumble.
On Tuesday, one day before former Republican Congressman Pat
Toomey formally declared his intention to challenge Specter in a
2010 replay of their fierce primary struggle six years earlier,
Specter came out swinging.
In an exclusive interview with The American Spectator,
Specter, looking fit at 79 from his famous early morning squash
matches, stood patiently in a Harrisburg drizzle launching one
verbal attack after another at Toomey and the Club for Growth, a
conservative political action committee that Toomey has served as
president since his defeat by Specter. Toomey resigned his
leadership post several days ago and announced his candidacy
Wednesday morning, April 15th. The five-term Senator
made it clear he was more than eager for round two of what was an
unexpectedly close primary in 2004, an election in which the
tenacious Specter rolled to victory with an unexpectedly close
17,000 vote margin.
"I've been sitting back for the last six years taking insistent
criticism from him," Specter said of Toomey. "The campaign is
underway and I intend to fire back. It's hardball. Hard
hardball."
Without missing a beat, speaking without notes, Specter zeroed in
specifically on Toomey and the Club, charging the latter with
"cannibalistic tactics" that had lost the GOP control of the US
Senate in 2006.
"Toomey represents the Club for Growth which has engaged in
cannibalistic tactics. When they fought [now defeated GOP Senator
Lincoln] Chafee in the Rhode Island primary, spent all his money,
beat him in the general, that cost us control of the Senate. In
the Senate…we would have controlled the Senate had we retained
Chafee's seat in 2007 and 2008."
The 2006 election shifting control of the Senate from Republicans
to Democrats cost Specter his long-sought and briefly attained
goal to serve as chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee. In
that position Specter helped confirm then-President George W.
Bush's nominations of John Roberts as Chief Justice of the
Supreme Court and Samuel Alito as Associate Justice. Yet in
Specter's eyes there was still plenty of work to do on judicial
nominations in the Bush presidency, work he was unable to
accomplish after yielding the chairman's gavel to Vermont
Democrat Patrick Leahy. Specter's own unhappiness at the results
he attributed to the Club and Toomey was plain, making it clear
he would be reminding conservative voters unhappy with his vote
for the Obama stimulus package of his work getting Bush judges on
the bench.
"Bush left 13 circuit judges on the table and I think about 24
district judges on the table who could have been confirmed had we
had Republican control and I had been the chairman [of the Senate
Judiciary Committee]," he said.
Even as Specter was speaking, his re-election campaign was
flooding the air with a television commercial tying Toomey to the
current economic crisis. It zings Toomey for selling "risky
derivatives and swaps" in his earlier career as a Wall Street
"trader." The ad, featuring Specter himself as opposed to just
the usual candidate-required voice-over at the close saying he
approved of the contents, goes on to say, "it's derivatives and
swaps that have now plunged us into this financial mess." The
commercial says the former Allentown Congressman wants to
"gamble" with Pennsylvanians' Social Security accounts by putting
them in the stock market, a particularly potent charge in a state
that has a high proportion of senior citizens. It also charges
Toomey with fighting for less oversight of regulation on Wall
Street while serving in Congress. The ad ends by using a word
that has become explosive in recent weeks. After all of these
alleged Toomey misdeeds, the commercial asks if he should be
given Specter's Senate seat as a "bonus."
As if the point were missed, while Specter was calmly discussing
playing "hard hardball" his campaign had released a letter from
Specter to Toomey accusing him of deliberately editing his
biography on the Club for Growth website to remove previous
references to his Wall Street connections. Notably, the missive
was signed by Specter himself instead of a campaign aide. The
letter said:
A recent check of the Club for Growth's website shows that
your official bio has been altered to delete any reference to
the many years you spent selling risky derivatives for the Wall
Street firm Morgan, Grenfell Finance.
Your original online bio (http://www.clubforgrowth.org/toomey.php)
stated that you "developed and managed a $21 billion
derivatives trading operation for Morgan Grenfell Finance Inc.
in New York, supervising sales and trading operations in New
York, London and Tokyo."
Yet your new online bio (http://clubforgrowth.com/pat-bio.php)
omits any mention of your work as a derivatives trader, merely
noting that your "first career was in investment banking from
1984 through 1991," with Morgan Grenfell Finance, Inc.
In the 1999 Derivatives Magazine article about your finance
career, entitled "Patrick Toomey: From Wall Street to Capitol
Hill," you boast of joining Morgan Grenfell to start a "serious
derivatives operation."
Could you please explain the discrepancy about this basic fact
of your professional career?
Rinos out the door in
2010 Specter
2012 Snowe
2014 Collins
michael tomlinson| 4.15.09 @ 6:43PM
If Specter were fighting BO (Barack Obama) with same zeal he
attacks Toomey he'd be a shoe-in for reelection.
stmichrick| 4.15.09 @ 6:50PM
I agree Thomas F.
When Sen. Spector worries that 'WE' would lose the Senate, who
does he mean by 'WE'?
As it stands, 'WE' means 'HIM' because his RINO stance puts him,
Snowe and Collins in the ultimate power broker positions; totally
unreliable as principled Republicans.
Having it both ways translates into a long Senate career for
Arlen, it seems. And the best argument I've seen for term limits
lately.
stmichrick| 4.15.09 @ 6:51PM
I agree Thomas F.
When Sen. Spector worries that 'WE' would lose the Senate, who
does he mean by 'WE'?
As it stands, 'WE' means 'HIM' because his RINO stance puts him,
Snowe and Collins in the ultimate power broker positions; totally
unreliable as Republicans.
Having it both ways translates into a long Senate career for
Arlen, it seems. And the best argument I've seen for term limits
lately.
Stan Redmond| 4.15.09 @ 6:52PM
Mr. Specter,
A liberal is a liberal. You vote with liberals and democrats you
don't need to be in ther republican party. The country is in a
mess in part because of "republicans" voting like liberals so
don't go crying when republicans lost power in 2006. Don't blame
it on Toomey. What good was republican power when you and many
others voted as liberals? I hope you lose.
MT| 4.15.09 @ 7:07PM
Specter sounds just like our liberal troll, Bob. Hmmmm.
lynnr| 4.15.09 @ 7:09PM
Toomey looks like a nice guy--hope he's got the b@lls to fight it
out with Specter.
Michael L. Hauschild| 4.15.09 @ 7:15PM
Someone tell the dunces, a.k.a. the RNC, when they look out the
window all those people with the pitchforks, rope and teabags are
not attending a spontaneous Arlan Specter rally.
stmichrick| 4.15.09 @ 7:29PM
Very insightful, MT.
What about (it), Bob?
I REALLY want to see these guys debate. If 'cannibalism' is the
most serious charge Specter's got, should be Toomey's to lose.
stmichrick| 4.15.09 @ 7:31PM
A little prophesy here:
Based on recent RINO behavior I've witnessed in Maryland; should
Toomey primary Specter, Arlen will endorse the Democrat candidate
in the general. His staff people will all go to work for the
Democrat as will.
lynnr| 4.15.09 @ 9:13PM
Wouldn't surprise me, St. M--at least it's finally honest.
Crappers.
PCP Smoker| 4.15.09 @ 10:23PM
You sat down with that f#$%^ rino and it NEVER occur to you to
ask why a "fiscal conservative" voted for Socialist Hussein's
trillion dollar stimulus? It never occurred to you to ask that
maybe it is guys like him and Chafee that LED to the defeat of
the GOP? Either you owe him something, he has something on your
children, or you are just a fool. Real men carry a pair.
Bram| 4.15.09 @ 10:24PM
Only check and Balnce against the Democrats? You voted for the
Spendulus package! Just like most Democrats.
It was the single worst political betrayal I've witnessed in my
lifetime. You are done Senator.
Anthony| 4.15.09 @ 10:33PM
Well we know one thing for sure; Specter will play hardball with
Toomey more than he ever did with Democrats. Hey Arlen; how about
all those Bush judicial nominees you vowed to get through the
Senate Judicary Committee? You're a RINO fraud and your days in
the senate are numbered. Start saying your goodbyes to your
leftist buddies, starting w ith Leahey.
Jarad| 4.15.09 @ 11:15PM
Cannibalistic? HAH! If you mean selling your supposed party down
the river with your pathetic "Well, I can't really stop it so I
might as well get on board" rhetoric is better than cannibalism,
well then call me a Purple People Eater.
Jeffrey Lord| 4.15.09 @ 11:26PM
PCP...
Specter is well on record as to why he voted for the
stimulus....thought it the right thing etc etc. He's said this
everywhere he goes. No news there. Promising "hard, hardball" as
Toomey jumps in was not said before...hence...news.
…the party’… ‘If he is the nominee, we lose the seat and you have ‘card check’ and tax increases and all of the big Obama spending programs’… DECLARES WAR ON TOOMEY… Lancaster conservatives: political environment better for Toomey this time… Comment Commandments: 1) No Personal Attacks. (Debating is encouraged, but be respectful). 2) No Sexual…
Paul Crowley| 4.16.09 @ 7:06AM
=>“Yet in Specter's eyes there was still plenty of work to do
on judicial nominations in the Bush presidency, work he was
unable to accomplish after yielding the chairman's gavel to
Vermont Democrat Patrick Leahy.” [Jeffrey Lord]
So what was the difference?
Paul Bunker| 4.16.09 @ 7:31AM
Specter is the chap who said we should consider Scottich law,
wanted liberal judges. In actual practice he was a Republican in
name only, just like Chuck Hagel, et al. If Toomey is truly a
conservative it will be good for the Republic if he is elected!
Paul Crowley| 4.16.09 @ 7:34AM
=>“looking fit at 79” [Jeffrey Lord]
McSpecter?
It’s April 2009.
Specter (regardless of how “fit” he’s “looking”) is 79 years
old.
Election Day is just under 19 months away.
January 2011 is 21 months away.
Is this Fightin’Arlen stuff supposed to be taken seriously?
Have any democrats announced that they will be running for the
party's nomination election to run as the party's candidate for
this Senate district yet?
Are they so weak that they need this?
->“Only a fool would count Arlen Specter out.” [Jeffrey Lord]
Yeah.
Iaidoka| 4.16.09 @ 7:39AM
PCP Smoker:
Exactly right.
As bad as the unemployment numbers are, a lot of us wouldn't mind
at all increasing those numbers by 535, starting with Specter.
ame| 4.16.09 @ 7:46AM
RINOs like Specter, Chaffee, Snowe, and Collins lost Republicans
control of the Senate. Specter is blowing in the wind and at 79
should get out. We should mandate a retirement age for Congress
and the Supreme Court - staying on forever increases inaction,
false ego, and corruption - Republicans MUST vote RINOs out!
Specter and the rest named above are nothing more than Democrats
anyway -
Jim Nayseum| 4.16.09 @ 7:59AM
Lincoln Chafee was a Republican???
Bob| 4.16.09 @ 8:35AM
You guys are right -- Specter is my guy! As I've said before,
Republicans are now down to 29% of voters. It makes absolutely no
logical sense that you can win running to the right when the
people you must convince are on the left. PA is a Democrat state
and you must convince pro-choice Dems to cross over.
All of you lemmings have absolutely no sense of logic. Perhaps if
you finished your education, the party would be better off.
Why did Toomey mislead Peg Luksik and tell her he wasn't planning
to run? It's not like it was a well kept secret. I'm very glad
Specter has primary challengers, but that sort of pre-election
coyness irritates me.
Jeffrey Lord| 4.16.09 @ 8:55AM
Bob...
"PA is a Democrat state and you must convince pro-choice Dems to
cross over."
FYI..All those "pro-choice" Dems put a "pro-life" Dem in the
Senate in 2006...just as they put his "pro-life" father in the
governor's mansion, defeating two "pro-choice" Republicans.
pissedinpa| 4.16.09 @ 9:01AM
Specter is done!!!! How much longer do we have to put up with
such bold faced lies and betrayals with this guy in general let
alone any political party?
Specter needs to wake up one morning in Nov 2010 and find that he
has been Tea Bagged!!!
Bob| 4.16.09 @ 9:13AM
Jeffrey...
"FYI..All those "pro-choice" Dems put a "pro-life" Dem in the
Senate in 2006...just as they put his "pro-life" father in the
governor's mansion, defeating two "pro-choice" Republicans.""
Casey is the "Specter" of the left. Dems are not only dominant in
the state, but are a growing percentage as the cities get a
higher percentage of minorities. Besides, PA was once described
as Philadelphia and Pittsburgh on the east and west and Alabama
in the middle. The demographic problem in PA is that the suburbs
and exurbs are becoming increasingly Democrat. They are the swing
geography.
Besides, have you noticed how the pro-choice aspect of Dems is
not such a major issue any more? The Dems smartly reduced their
emphasis on a hard pro-choice stance and repositioned their party
as the party of the middle class. They are running away from this
issue. This was a strategic imperative by Dean and Obama and it
worked.
If asked, they would claim to be pro-choice. But it isn't like
Republicans where, if you are not a social conservative, you are
derided as a RINO.
Hank Rearden| 4.16.09 @ 9:37AM
Specter is part of the problem not the solution. His time has
passed and he should have been out of the Senate long ago. I'd
vote for a stauch communist over Specter because at least they
stand for something other than simply saying/doing whatever to
get re-elected. Instead of voting for a candidate in PA in 2010,
I'll be imposing my own term limits.
Sara| 4.16.09 @ 9:44AM
I remember when Republicans were a solid and sustaining minority
as Liberal lites. RINOs don't mind this status as long as they
have power to advance and shape socialism and globalism and the
limo liberal approval and invitations for the elitist social
circut. The GOP held this minority status for decades and RINOS
made sure no constitutional, small government Americans entered
in their country club stationed pup tent. They joined liberals in
smearing anyone outside the GOP socialist pup-tent as dirty
Christians, racists and Nationalists.
We can keep Arlen and his socialist gal pals in power and keep a
solid socialist minority for another few decades or we can toss
them out now, experience the pain and regain the majority with
RINOS gone or neutered.
More than half the voters are solidly against socialism. The GOP
is currently spliting the socialist vote with the Democrats. The
majority of Americans the GOP needs for majority power who are
attached to American freedom and independence have no interest in
the RINO party. Arlen will send the GOP the way of the Whigs and
that is perfectly fine with Arlen because all that matters to
Arlen is Arlen.
Tim| 4.16.09 @ 9:48AM
"It's hardball. Hard hardball."
LOL
Ryan| 4.16.09 @ 9:52AM
We need to remember - and something that Specter forgot - is that
his last win was both by the skin of his teeth AND he got the
support of the Republican senatorial re-election committee and
Bush - without which he wouldn't have won. He's not as strong a
candidate as he thinks he is.
Bob| 4.16.09 @ 9:57AM
Sara, you must be living in Fox News/Limbaugh land. When
Republicans say the word "socialist", or "fascist", or
"Alinskyite", or "Marxist", or even "baby killers", people view
you as name calling extremists. That is the perfect way to make
the Republican party disappear.
Let me take this quote from a recent Rasmussen Poll:
"In addition to the economic crisis, the right wing's accusation
of Obama being a socialist appears to be backfiring.
Conservatives were attempting to cash in on a well established
strategy of 20th century American political life. These attacks
have unintentionally served to get socialism into heavy rotation
in the mainstream media, thereby increasing the public's interest
and curiosity. Fear mongering and the paranoid style seem to be
offering declining political returns.
Perhaps the most significant aspect of this poll is the response
from people under thirty. The statistics indicate that 66% of
this demographic are actively questioning capitalism as a system.
This makes clear that the Cold War fear of socialism, created to
shape the American mindset, is withering away. It is being
replaced by a political openness to new ideas about how to
organize society. This means there is a space for socialists
where a serious dialogue can begin, which can connect Americans
to grassroots organizing."
You must decide whether you want to win or go into oblivion as an
extremist.
…didn't recognize that Toomey was a real threat -- although I did from the start,'' Specter said. ''This time we won't be ambushed.'' Lots of red-meat here in American Spectator (h/t to GrassrootsPa): "I've been sitting back for the last six years taking insistent criticism from him," Specter said of Toomey. "The campaign is underway and I intend to…
J.C.Eaton| 4.16.09 @ 10:10AM
It is difficult being a Conservative; it requires conscience,
constancy, and abiding courage. A conservative will be vilified
by most media[see Jesse Helms], most of the opposition, and
frequently by the squishes in his own party. That about sums up
Toomey and his recent electoral career. Your article, which with
all due respect seemed a fawning paen to a non-conservative,
makes mock [unintentionally, I'd trow] of the virtues a true
conservative embodies. As an aside, this "statesman" and poseur
["unproved"] expects loyalty from his party and exhibits little.
He takes personal offense that a former congressman would put the
"Republican minority" in jeapardy[what an oxymoron]. He must
really hate Mr. Toomey, probably because he reminds him of how he
wished to beway too long ago.
sara| 4.16.09 @ 10:49AM
Actually, Bob, you are full of it. Americans, in the majority are
not questioning economic freedom -capitalism according to polls.
Pointing out Obama's and the Congress' socialist movement is not
"backfiring" on anyone. It is a fact and it is a radical betrayal
to what they ran the election on.
They can fool college students who don't know economics any
better and they can appeal to the welfare hammock crowd who want
"free stuff." But they are not fooling the majority who know a
radical pig in the poke when they see one. That includes the
RINOs who are abetting this radical theft of freedom.
Periwinkel| 4.16.09 @ 11:24AM
Memo to Arlen: Lincoln Chaffee went down with $1 million of
Republican money that should have been given to a good
Republican...not a RINO. Take note, Arlen, your time is
coming...when you vote with Dems consistently (except election
years) your end is near. I can't wait!!
Big J| 4.16.09 @ 11:54AM
sara:
Give it up. Bob has spoken. Alpha, Omega, game over. Insert coin
for one more credit.
I agree with you, but what the heck do I know. I am still
following my dog around, waiting for my homework to come out. ;)
Bob| 4.16.09 @ 12:01PM
Sure, Sara, people absolutely love the heart of capitalism, i.e.,
Wall Street. If you really understood our system, you'd know we
don't have pure capitalism -- not even close. That's not the
point. The main trust of the research is that conservatives lose
if they call Dems "socialists". That is just fact. You can
certainly criticize their spending, but when you call them names,
you lose (except for the right wing lemmings, of course).
reads1| 4.16.09 @ 12:04PM
Mr. Lords article reads like a campaign ad for this disgrace to
the conservative causes, along with the two frozen brains from
Maine. Toomey will be a better choice, just by being there to
replace this guy.
Robert Rosencrans| 4.16.09 @ 12:18PM
Spector's slip sliding away policies are the reason the
Republicans find themselves on the losing end of the political
spectrum.
All Toomey has to do is superimpose Spector's face on the center
of a trillion dollar bill.
Sara| 4.16.09 @ 12:36PM
Robert Rosencrans - put Arlen's fat face over the trillion he
voted for and mention the fool DID NOT EVEN READ it before
voting!!!!
How does one get that old and spend that much time in the sausage
machine factory we call Congress and still walk around totally
careless and stupid?
The GOP should run fast and far from ole Arlen and his gal pals
if they want to distance themselves for their complete stupidity
and failure during the Bush administration. But the leadership of
the GOP is guarding that pup tent with Arlen; wacking anyone who
comes near with their golf clubs.
Hank Rearden| 4.16.09 @ 12:58PM
"True Grit?" more like True Spit in the face the electorate you
looter!!!
This is excellent. I've long assumed that the Bobster is a Dem
troll, and now he has offered more evidence. In his latest
criticism of Republicans on this site he has said, "When
Republicans say [blah, blah, blah]… people view you as name
calling extremists."
Notice that he said "you" rather than "us."
And he is, as usual, all wet, for he assumes present demographics
and political leanings to be static rather than dynamic. To the
extent he acknowledges dynamism, he assumes the trend goes only
one way—toward the left.
As history proves, however, domination of the political scene
goes back and forth. I suspect that after Bob's leader BO gets
through fouling the economy, the prospects for Bob's party—the
Dems, that is—will be looking considerably less bright than
today.
As for Specter—pfft! Let him go in order to rid the party of
anti-conservatives.
Joe| 4.16.09 @ 1:12PM
Funny he should mention Santorum sence he did about nothing to
help him. And if it were not for Bush and Santorum, you would not
be talking to Spector now a non-conservative (RINO). A man who
faught Bush on many Conservative Judges and Abortion. This goes
on and on.
rdman| 4.16.09 @ 1:36PM
Time is overdue for We, the People to tell the socialist/fascist
democrats and the spineless RINOs that we’ve had enough their
deceptive deceit and corruption. Its time to stand up, find these
career-politician tyrants in gross violation of their
Constitutional Oaths and purge them from the halls of our
government.
Eliminate the Washington DC snake-pit of entrenched appeasing,
expediency, placating and crab-walking despots by voting these
delusional, parasitic, megalomaniac realpolitiks out of
government… they are not worthy to represent We, The People of
this magnificent Country.
1) Start this process by requiring your State’s Elected
Representatives to convene a Constitutional Convention for the
sole purpose of modifying in pertinent part, Amendment XVII to
read, “Representatives and Senators of the U.S. Congress, elected
by the people thereof, for two years and six years respectively
for a maximum of two terms…”
2) Reject all career-politicians running for re-election… they
speak with ulterior motives, hidden agendas, deceit, duplicity
and deception… they have become corrupt and no longer qualified
for Leadership or Statesmanship. They are, in fact, a scourge
upon the land.
3) Recruit and elect true representatives of We, the People…
Citizen Professionals who have demonstrated excellence in
management, performance, integrity, patriotism, pride and
optimism, chivalry and civility for a maximum of two terms to
re-establish the public service model of our Founding Fathers…
Leadership, Statesmanship, Dignity, Honor and Duty.
NavyBrat| 4.16.09 @ 1:50PM
"The only check and balance on the Democratic sweep with the
White House and the House is 41 of us in the Senate. Because if
Toomey is the Republican nominee and my seat goes, the Democrats
get 60 votes. And they run rough shod on increasing taxes and
bringing card check and a lot of other things that are anathema
to Republicans."
Really? Was he the "check & balance" we needed when the
dimulus bill was passed? Oh, that's right, he got bought off.
Then, he had the AUDACITY to come back here (he was in
Pittsburgh) & tell, rather rudely) a constituent who was
giving him hell that HE, Arlen the Great, understood what needed
to be done & that this hapless peas... I mean constituent,
couldn't hope to understand something so complicated. This is the
way that LIBERALS talk to their constituents who disagree with
them. I'm looking VERY forward to voting Benedict Arlen OUT in
the next election. Hit the road, Jack. You were great at one
time, but you're time has passed along with your judgement.
Bob| 4.16.09 @ 1:55PM
Dai, now it is you that is using "inference". If I say, when
Republicans do "this", then it means "that", that does not cover
the Republicans who don't partake of that activity. You would
like me to be a Democrat and believe that ALL Republicans are
extremists like you, but we're not...
Turk| 4.16.09 @ 2:05PM
History bears heavily on how we judge candidates, parties and
national movements. How we REALLY got our wars(ie appeasement +).
Etc etc. Well ---------how we got Spector the rino-----his claim
to fame is being the author of the single bullet theory in JFK 's
assassination. A long time ago? Yes-------but pertinent!
Ed| 4.16.09 @ 2:08PM
Red Phillips,
Toomey had been seriously considering a run for governor next
year, until a few other conservatives said they were considering
governaor as well, and Specter voted for the stim bill. I don't
think it was anything intentional. I like Luksik, but she really
doesn't have much chance anyway.
L. Ross| 4.16.09 @ 2:21PM
Thomas F.
I loved your post about RINOs out the door.
Rinos out the door in
2010 Specter
2012 Snowe
2014 Collins
You missed a great big one, however. John McCain.
What the heck is the point of trying to cling to a small lead in
the Senate if it comes at the cost of loosers like these RINOs.
We would be no worse off to try to peel away some blue dog
Democrats.
Tim| 4.16.09 @ 2:22PM
Senator Arlen HARD HARDBALL Specter. Can we call you HH for
short?
Ed| 4.16.09 @ 3:17PM
Specter sounds scared to me. He's already polling way behind
Toomey, and started running ads before Toomey even announced.
BigAl| 4.16.09 @ 6:30PM
Pat Toomey's philosophical disagreement with Specter isn't the
reason the Republicans lost the last two elections: Republicans
acting like, and compromising their principles to accommodate,
Democrats is what lost those elections.
I analogize Specter's statements to the last screams of dinosaurs
as they expired after having inhaled too much dust from Alvarez's
meteor.
stmichrick| 4.16.09 @ 7:28PM
'Educated' Bob;
You can snort about conservatives and Republicans being 29% of
the vote; enjoy it while it lasts.
If a charismatic communicator emerges with our message, all bets
are off. Leftists and Democrats are enjoying having an
articulate, cute leader (not a Harry Reid) spewing the
big-government line . However, and you know this, it is all about
his charisma.
The path he proposes makes no sense and is not right for America.
jhrap| 4.16.09 @ 8:08PM
Ed| 4.16.09 @ 3:17PM
"Specter sounds scared to me."
Finally a wingnut I agree with. He is scared.
He is the only chance the republicans have and he most likely
cares about the party.
Me? I'd love to see Toomey win the nod and get slaughtered by a
democrat.
Specter winning is my second choice but either option isn't bad.
The wingnuts have got themselves into a little quandery. Huh?
It's a win/win for me. And a lose/lose for you.
george| 4.16.09 @ 8:34PM
I am so glad that I am not from PA. State rights are more
important than federal rights and Specter is a big gov't
politician. Dems or Reps have lost all rights to govern. It is
time for real tea parties.
Mikki| 4.16.09 @ 8:48PM
At 79, Specter needs to go along with Kennedy and a few others.
All the old long term politicians need to retire. That is one
thing wrong with our country. There needs to be term limits so
the elected will again work for the people instead of lining
their own pockets.
Bob| 4.17.09 @ 7:32AM
stmichrick| 4.16.09 @ 7:28PM
"If a charismatic communicator emerges with our message, all bets
are off. Leftists and Democrats are enjoying having an
articulate, cute leader (not a Harry Reid) spewing the
big-government line . However, and you know this, it is all about
his charisma."
Actually, I would partially agree with your comment. I do believe
there is a limit to how much you can gain, however. Overcoming a
10 point disadvantage is extremely difficult. You know that I am
into data analysis, and have looked at this but cannot determine
anything definitive as to what can be gained.
So who would this great communicator be? Certainly, none of the
leaders now are that good -- not Palin, Jindal, Romney, Cantor,
Pence, Ryan, etc. In addition, Obama was a writer, a teacher, and
a well honed Chicago politician. Beyond that, he is a good
political strategist. He has weaknesses, like extemporaneous
speaking, but he has found a crutch for those weaknesses like
using teleprompters. Reagan was trained as an actor and it helped
him with communication but most people around him said that he
listened, but never asked probing questions. Clinton was an
excellent extemporaneous speaker, but we all know he had lots of
moral weakness.
All of that said, I believe a more important factor is pocketbook
issues. If the economy improves, the Dems will be very difficult
to beat. Most economists believe we will start to see the turn at
the end of this year/beginning of the next.
Paul Crowley| 4.18.09 @ 2:07PM
“All of that said, I believe a more important factor is
pocketbook issues. If the economy improves, the Dems will be very
difficult to beat. Most economists believe we will start to see
the turn at the end of this year/beginning of the next." [Bob|
4.17.09 @ 7:32AM]
This is true.
Although, complex also.
The time period, “end of this year/beginning of the next," seems
about right. The extent of recovery, will be interesting.
One element of the physical situation that’s been very much like
1980-83 is all of the large industrial modernization projects.
There are a lot of very big projects that have been underway for
the past two to eight years, and startups will begin coming on
line about this time, and continuing at least four years after.
One can argue all he likes about economic theory, Marx versus
Smith, and such, but I’ve wondered since early last year if there
isn’t going to be a new ‘morning in America’ theme coming, and
for very much the same reasons as the first one: The physical
modernization of American industries, especially American steel,
and the new plants that came online
during that time.
After 30 years, and given the major technology changes since
then, it’s not surprising that we’re modernizing again. In fact,
it's about right.
The plant startups will be to the advantage of the Obama
administration, which will have to aid them, where public
perception is concerned.
Of course, in like manner, the first “morning in America” was
already underway in the couple years preceding the Reagan
administration, but facilitated by the tariffs enacted during the
Reagan administration (does anyone doubt that the same tariffs
wouldn’t been enacted if Carter had won in 1980?).
During the Reagan administration, annual American
steel production returned to 1970 levels, but with much higher
productivity, since manpower needs of the modernized, and
relocated, industry was 1/4 of what it had been in 1970.
Here’s where the similarities diverge.
Back during the first 'morning in America,' the lost industrial
employment was taken up by the new service industries, Digital
Electronics Revolution technology development, and military
expansion.
The modernized industries of today (now multi-national, not
American, owned) should also see substantial decline in the total
workforce to achieve the same productions levels of the past.
A new ‘domestic’ Oil & Gas industry and mining will help,
but, again, manpower needs are nothing what they used to be
(mostly operators of various kinds, and much fewer menial
laborers).
So, with the digital electronics revolution, winding down into
standardization, and service industry now in decline, rather than
growth, what’s everybody going to do to replace the losses in
these?
Just how 'bright,' or not, is a new 'morning in America' going to
be?
Bob| 4.18.09 @ 2:43PM
Paul -- you are right on target. There is no way in which the
recovery will be a sharp "V". There is also one more big
difference, a high percentage of capital in the 1980's was
invested in U.S. companies. In today's global financial
environment, capital flows more easily to emerging countries.
That's one of the reasons tax cuts will actually hurt the country
more than help it as most of those cuts will go to the wealthy
who will invest in multinational and international companies
through funds and hedge fund groups.
The only way we will see strong growth is to fundamentally change
our corporate tax policy to make it advantageous to locate
manufacturing here. I would propose abolishing the corporate
income tax in favor of a national consumption tax. This would
also capture tax receipts from foreign companies that we don't
capture now.
Paul Crowley| 4.18.09 @ 3:03PM
Sorry.
The de-centralization and re-development of some agricultural
production, especially meat and dairy, around the new
metropolitan areas, already begun, and becoming both a come theme
(across the political 'spectrum') and a trend, probably a
redevelopment of local transport companies, maybe a re-regulation
on the theme of inter verus intra state distinctions, suitably
modified, and the repair, and further development of
infrastructure, nation wide, with the oversight of these
activities by state and municipal governments. . . All of this
lend themselves to the
‘small government’ theme (George Wallace never met a federal
highway dollar that he didn’t like, as far I can see,and he sure
never stood in front of any bulldozers on federal highway
construction or repair projects, spouting ‘states rights’
rhetoric. But he did take credit for new roads and jobs
associated with, and regulated by the federal government, while
doing so in other instances).
Domestic policy has always followed foreign policy and foreign
policy.
For the moment parts of it remain what it’s been for the past
eight years: The gains in the Persian Gulf are being solidified
and the advance into Pakistan is being continued, along with, the
east-west advance across north Africa and, now, into sub-Saharan
Africa. So an increase in DoD manning size, and organizations of
use to the state department.
These don’t lend themselves to a small government theme, but they
do to a ‘strong defense’ theme, with proper PR manipulation
(which doesn’t seem lacking).
All in all, it looks like the need of right wing and left wing
parties hasn’t come to an end, but is going to continue.
I’m not a cheerleader for either major party, not a member of any
political party, and we don’t have to register party affiliation
to vote in primaries here.
Even though the republican party seems horribly disorganized at
the moment, and some responses downright absurd thus far, I still
don’t rule the republicans out (its way too early). For goodness
sake, Obama hasn't been in office a full 90 days yet.
Who knows, maybe Obama will be the beginning of the end of the
'charismatic.'
If we end up going to war, which I don’t automatically assume,
but don’t rule out either, then all this political 'tactics'
absurdity will become moot quickly. There’ll be other issues that
will become more important, very quickly, to us in the peonage.
Frankly, THAT would be the only good thing to come from a war.
PCP Smoker| 4.18.09 @ 6:47PM
"Specter is well on record as to why he voted for the
stimulus....thought it the right thing etc etc. He's said this
everywhere he goes. No news there. "
Mr. Lord,
I understand the material must be fresh, and I understand a
certain level of politeness must be maintained during these
interviews.
But you could have asked (1) how does a trillion dollar in
wasteful pork, along with the seeds for socialist healthcare in
the name Healthcare Efficiency office, is the "right thing" for
the country. I understand that is where he stands, but how about
an explanation of the logic being used. How is socialist
healthcare the "right thing" for the country.
How is having RINOs like Lincoln Chafee, or Hagel a plus to the
GOP effort? Yes, they are republicans, but if there are no
differences between the GOP and the Dems, then of what purpose
are they?
The attempt to answer those questions would have been real news.
PCP Smoker| 4.18.09 @ 6:47PM
"Specter is well on record as to why he voted for the
stimulus....thought it the right thing etc etc. He's said this
everywhere he goes. No news there. "
Mr. Lord,
I understand the material must be fresh, and I understand a
certain level of politeness must be maintained during these
interviews.
But you could have asked (1) how does a trillion dollar in
wasteful pork, along with the seeds for socialist healthcare in
the name Healthcare Efficiency office, is the "right thing" for
the country. I understand that is where he stands, but how about
an explanation of the logic being used. How is socialist
healthcare the "right thing" for the country.
How is having RINOs like Lincoln Chafee, or Hagel a plus to the
GOP effort? Yes, they are republicans, but if there are no
differences between the GOP and the Dems, then of what purpose
are they?
The attempt to answer those questions would have been real news.
Paul Crowley| 4.18.09 @ 9:26PM
=>“The only way we will see strong growth is to fundamentally
change our corporate tax policy to make it advantageous to locate
manufacturing here.” [Bob| 4.17.09 @ 7:32AM]
Hi Bob:
I agree that reform of regulation is needed if the market system
is to be used.
That’s how I would phrase it so as to first define the problem
before jumping to advocacy of a specific solution to the problem
without mentioning what it is.
The only way to use the market system, as a means for industrial
development, is to regulate the market so that resources are
employed to drive the development in the direction in which one
wishes it to proceed, for whatever specific reason one wishes
to
do so.
This is precisely how the market system, and the various Free
Trade policies were used during the Cold War(1946-89) as tactics
to meet the strategic goals of containing and then defeating
Marxist Russia.
To be blunt: There is NO SUCH THING as a “Free Market” (in the
sense of an “un-regulated market” in the sense that the
libertarian movements have propagandized widely for about the
past 10-18 years; popularized in only about the past 10 years:
Adam
Smith’s “invisible hand”). This mess especially came into
formulaton of policy during the Bush-Clinton-Bush administrations
in the post-Cold War era.
That's precisely when Walmart shifted from its Buy American
campaign to become a company outlet for the PRC, and now India.
The Libertarian’s fantasy market doesn’t exist. It never has and
it never will, any more than it did when the British government
propagated this same rubbish from about 1850 through to the
beginning of World War One.
To be honest, the Libertarians remind me of ministers of a
secular cult. They attempt to make a religion out of a man-made
system.
They're not the first to employ the technique. Among the many
gimmicks employed by the Brits in the 19th century was babble
about “Divine Providence” and later just “providence,” as they
bounced back and forth between rationalizations based on
utilitarianism or Anglo-redefined natural law.
In fairness to the Brits, the concept of Lassaiz Faire was picked
up by them from the 18th century French (as one might surprise by
the term itself). But it was the Brits who massaged it into a
pseudo-religion in the 19th and early 20th centuries.
For the past five years I’ve been reminding friends and neighbors
that no one in America grew up under a system such as we have at
present, except for the poor little guys born in the past ten
years.
If there’s anything that could convert me to an advocate of
“Separation of Church and State” versus the American principle of
Freedom of Religion, due to rejection of an Established Church,
as the British had, then this pseudo-religious hand-of-gawd
economics rubbish would be it.
Obviously I won’t be joining any of the libertarians
Counter-Boston Tea Party’s.
How to regulate the market is the problem now faced.
What we’re re-regulating it for, precisely, I don’t claim to
know.
We haven’t been told.
There are other differences between 1981-83 and today that are
critical and make it all far more complex too.
Paul Crowey| 4.18.09 @ 9:45PM
=>“one more big difference, a high percentage of capital in
the 1980's was invested in U.S. companies. In today's global
financial environment, capital flows more easily to emerging
countries.” [Bob| 4.17.09 @ 7:32AM]
Hi Bob:
This is true.
One reason that I noted that the big plant projects that are in
the works and getting ready to come online are: “Now
multi-national, not American, owned.”
Actually, it’s a partial difference to the decade of the 1980s,
during the Reagan administration.
But it’s also a similarity to the “1980’s,” where the ‘morning in
America’ theme is concerned.
**
The Darkness Before The Dawn
Investment was flowing overseas, and internally, American wise,
outside the continental U.S.A., 1969-86 (often dubbed with the
vague “The ‘70s.”). It did so, industry by industry, region to
region, and actually continued through the 1980s, in like maner,
as well.
The actual decade of the 1970s, about 1971-79 was probably the
last of the booms for domestic industries, with American-owned
companies: Oil & Gas, Agriculture, transport,
. . . This is a major discontinuity now. Those companies are all
gone.
Some industries (steel, automobile, Harley Davidson motorcycles,
to name three ) were aided by tariffs and federal funding during
the Reagan administration, some others were not.
[As an aside, does that make Reagan a socialist by these
libertarian standards? It was the John Birch Society in their
“None Dare Call IT Conspiracy” conspiracy theory book, published
in the early to mid 1970s, who called Nixon a socialist by the
same criteria. Not too many others of us did. I read it because I
had a couple friends who were Birchers, but wasn't convinced by
it].
For the example of the steel industry: From 1969-80, American ore
& coaking coal deposits were shut in, mining shut down, and
steel processing shut down (the birth of the “rust belt”).
Precisely during this time, as American share in the world steel
market took
a plunge, steal industries were developed throughout the
so-called Third World (the “emerging countries” of that time).
In petroleum, then majors began shutting in their American
petroleum production and moving overseas, or to Alaska. The
domestic Oil & Gas industry boomed, 1973-79, then went bust,
1979-93.
Changes in the American natural gas industry in the 1980s were
also largely due to de-regulation during the Carter
Administration, but facilitated by reforms in the 1980s.
For a ‘morning in America,’ to even make sense, then much of
America had to pass through a ‘dark of night,’ so to speak,
first. That’s actually similar to today.
Similar to 1976-81 are the projects, in development since at
least 2002, and increasingly announced since 2005 which
technically make no sense for the reason you state: “Capital
flows more easily to emerging countries,” just as many made no
sense that were already being planned during the Carter
administration.
Just as was true, 1976-81, projects are already in the works, the
direction has been set, and now the modifications need to be made
to the market system so as to allow these projects to proceed.
Then it was steel and auto manufacturing. Today its multi-billion
dollar projects, mining, processing and manufacturing that have
been in development and planning, and work begun, across the
country.
There’s a 7 billion dollar project close by to me, one of
multiple multi-billion dollar projects in this area, that’s been
in development since at least 2002 (mention of it began,
internally).
Roads were straightened and widened, 2000-04. New hotels and
motels began cropping up, 2004-05, new housing and apartments
construction boomed, 2005-07. Maritime facilities have been under
construction, 2001-present. LPG tank farms began springing
up
in 2006. The plant expansion project was announced in late 2006.
The training programs in the vocational branch of the local
university have in place, advertised and in progress since 2007.
The “booms” these days are well planned affairs.
NOTHING like the “old days” (Pre-1977).
This has been true for at least the past 25 years.
One could see it in the development of one metropolitan area
after another.
An, "If You Build It, They Will Come" model if you will.
My mention of the big multi-nationals projects may confuse.
First: Be sure, that I’m not suggesting that the multi-nationals
OWN the government.
None of that (figure I should make the disclaimer clearly).
The new alliance between federal government, environmental NGOs
and the multi-nationals is definitely different from anytime,
1970-98.
Anyway, it’s new ‘domestic industries’ that have to be developed:
The equivalent today of much of the capital in the 1980's was
invested in U.S. companies” that you mention.
Another difference between now and the 1980s.
The remnants of the “domestic industries” of American-owned
independents that were still around, but dying then, have now
been erased.
As I mentioned before, the digital electronics revolution is
winding down into standardization, and the service industry is
now in decline, rather than growth (developed from scratch to
maturity to decline in a single generation, less than 30 years).
I’ll point out that this is also why economic Growth is now
possible, and being made fashionable, again (and that the “mature
economy” rhetoric of the past 20 years has been dropped and the
“small is beautiful” stuff of the 1970s is being modified).
[I found the rhetoric of about seven years ago speculating that
we would become an “ideas society” to replace our “service
industry society” not only absurd, but insulting. And I can think
of a lot of absurd and insulting rationalizations over the past
40 years!].
It seems like it at times, but we’re not entirely building from
scratch.
Divisions spun off by the large corporations (of all industries),
especially during the reforms of the major corporations, 1986-98
(‘Downsizing,’ ‘Rationalization,’ ‘Core Business’. . . ), after
the Integrated Company model was dropped by them, 1983 onward,
have become, as far as I can tell, the cadre of new ‘domestic’
American companies, along
with some big corporations that have risen up amazingly fast
(formed of various pieces spun off by the majors-become
multi-nationals). The various divisions ‘spun off’ also merged
into larger companies, and are now some of the large contractors
or suppliers who have formed alliances with the multi-nationals.
Some technical services company, contractors of the past, such as
Halliburton, became huge by 1998 (demonstrated by the fact that
the one time wire-line and well-fracturing service company is now
confused as
an “Oil Company”).
My speculation is that much of the ‘domestic industries’ that
will have to be built will do so around the infrastructure of the
multi-nationals and their big multi-billion dollar projects, and
this cadre of new ‘domestic companies.’
It looks like the Integrated Company model (management of every
aspect of the industry,
from production to processing to manufacture, and all phases of
distribution), is being re-established, but with major
modifications: Effectively a contractor system of alliances, not
large corporations with divisions, and integration of management
and coordination between one-time different industries.
It also looks like we’re going to redevelop local agriculture,
especially meat and dairy, around the new metropolitan areas
(that were still in development and under construction in the
1980s).
A great deal of what I see reminds me of Japan 30-35 years ago,
and elements clearly seem to have been adopted from the lessons
learned in developing Japan, 1950-90.
Some of what they’ve lost, Americans have gained (which are
losses for us by pre-1998 American standards), but I don’t
believe that the pre-1989 Japanese system is what we’re becoming.
Those are my speculations.
For all of the similarities, there are a great many more
differences, especially structurally, finance, national
alliances. . .
I’d be interested in your thoughts, especially regarding my
phrasing of the market system and regulation in my previous post.
…— V.I. Lenin With all due respects for cooks, so why not a community organizer? — I.M. Kessel Rochester, New York SPECTER OF A REPUBLICAN Re: Jeffrey Lord’s True Grit: Specter Declares War on Toomey: After reading this fawning piece I find myself questioning why I read The American Spectator. This has been a daily visit for me for some time. If this is what I can expect in…
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Thomas F| 4.15.09 @ 5:53PM
Rinos out the door in
2010 Specter
2012 Snowe
2014 Collins
michael tomlinson| 4.15.09 @ 6:43PM
If Specter were fighting BO (Barack Obama) with same zeal he attacks Toomey he'd be a shoe-in for reelection.
stmichrick| 4.15.09 @ 6:50PM
I agree Thomas F.
When Sen. Spector worries that 'WE' would lose the Senate, who does he mean by 'WE'?
As it stands, 'WE' means 'HIM' because his RINO stance puts him, Snowe and Collins in the ultimate power broker positions; totally unreliable as principled Republicans.
Having it both ways translates into a long Senate career for Arlen, it seems. And the best argument I've seen for term limits lately.
stmichrick| 4.15.09 @ 6:51PM
I agree Thomas F.
When Sen. Spector worries that 'WE' would lose the Senate, who does he mean by 'WE'?
As it stands, 'WE' means 'HIM' because his RINO stance puts him, Snowe and Collins in the ultimate power broker positions; totally unreliable as Republicans.
Having it both ways translates into a long Senate career for Arlen, it seems. And the best argument I've seen for term limits lately.
Stan Redmond| 4.15.09 @ 6:52PM
Mr. Specter,
A liberal is a liberal. You vote with liberals and democrats you don't need to be in ther republican party. The country is in a mess in part because of "republicans" voting like liberals so don't go crying when republicans lost power in 2006. Don't blame it on Toomey. What good was republican power when you and many others voted as liberals? I hope you lose.
MT| 4.15.09 @ 7:07PM
Specter sounds just like our liberal troll, Bob. Hmmmm.
lynnr| 4.15.09 @ 7:09PM
Toomey looks like a nice guy--hope he's got the b@lls to fight it out with Specter.
Michael L. Hauschild| 4.15.09 @ 7:15PM
Someone tell the dunces, a.k.a. the RNC, when they look out the window all those people with the pitchforks, rope and teabags are not attending a spontaneous Arlan Specter rally.
stmichrick| 4.15.09 @ 7:29PM
Very insightful, MT.
What about (it), Bob?
I REALLY want to see these guys debate. If 'cannibalism' is the most serious charge Specter's got, should be Toomey's to lose.
stmichrick| 4.15.09 @ 7:31PM
A little prophesy here:
Based on recent RINO behavior I've witnessed in Maryland; should Toomey primary Specter, Arlen will endorse the Democrat candidate in the general. His staff people will all go to work for the Democrat as will.
lynnr| 4.15.09 @ 9:13PM
Wouldn't surprise me, St. M--at least it's finally honest. Crappers.
PCP Smoker| 4.15.09 @ 10:23PM
You sat down with that f#$%^ rino and it NEVER occur to you to ask why a "fiscal conservative" voted for Socialist Hussein's trillion dollar stimulus? It never occurred to you to ask that maybe it is guys like him and Chafee that LED to the defeat of the GOP? Either you owe him something, he has something on your children, or you are just a fool. Real men carry a pair.
Bram| 4.15.09 @ 10:24PM
Only check and Balnce against the Democrats? You voted for the Spendulus package! Just like most Democrats.
It was the single worst political betrayal I've witnessed in my lifetime. You are done Senator.
Anthony| 4.15.09 @ 10:33PM
Well we know one thing for sure; Specter will play hardball with Toomey more than he ever did with Democrats. Hey Arlen; how about all those Bush judicial nominees you vowed to get through the Senate Judicary Committee? You're a RINO fraud and your days in the senate are numbered. Start saying your goodbyes to your leftist buddies, starting w ith Leahey.
Jarad| 4.15.09 @ 11:15PM
Cannibalistic? HAH! If you mean selling your supposed party down the river with your pathetic "Well, I can't really stop it so I might as well get on board" rhetoric is better than cannibalism, well then call me a Purple People Eater.
Jeffrey Lord| 4.15.09 @ 11:26PM
PCP...
Specter is well on record as to why he voted for the stimulus....thought it the right thing etc etc. He's said this everywhere he goes. No news there. Promising "hard, hardball" as Toomey jumps in was not said before...hence...news.
Pingback| 4.16.09 @ 6:39AM
Specter raises $1.3M in 1Q… | GrassrootsPA links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Paul Crowley| 4.16.09 @ 7:06AM
=>“Yet in Specter's eyes there was still plenty of work to do on judicial nominations in the Bush presidency, work he was unable to accomplish after yielding the chairman's gavel to Vermont Democrat Patrick Leahy.” [Jeffrey Lord]
So what was the difference?
Paul Bunker| 4.16.09 @ 7:31AM
Specter is the chap who said we should consider Scottich law, wanted liberal judges. In actual practice he was a Republican in name only, just like Chuck Hagel, et al. If Toomey is truly a conservative it will be good for the Republic if he is elected!
Paul Crowley| 4.16.09 @ 7:34AM
=>“looking fit at 79” [Jeffrey Lord]
McSpecter?
It’s April 2009.
Specter (regardless of how “fit” he’s “looking”) is 79 years old.
Election Day is just under 19 months away.
January 2011 is 21 months away.
Is this Fightin’Arlen stuff supposed to be taken seriously?
Have any democrats announced that they will be running for the party's nomination election to run as the party's candidate for this Senate district yet?
Are they so weak that they need this?
->“Only a fool would count Arlen Specter out.” [Jeffrey Lord]
Yeah.
Iaidoka| 4.16.09 @ 7:39AM
PCP Smoker:
Exactly right.
As bad as the unemployment numbers are, a lot of us wouldn't mind at all increasing those numbers by 535, starting with Specter.
ame| 4.16.09 @ 7:46AM
RINOs like Specter, Chaffee, Snowe, and Collins lost Republicans control of the Senate. Specter is blowing in the wind and at 79 should get out. We should mandate a retirement age for Congress and the Supreme Court - staying on forever increases inaction, false ego, and corruption - Republicans MUST vote RINOs out! Specter and the rest named above are nothing more than Democrats anyway -
Jim Nayseum| 4.16.09 @ 7:59AM
Lincoln Chafee was a Republican???
Bob| 4.16.09 @ 8:35AM
You guys are right -- Specter is my guy! As I've said before, Republicans are now down to 29% of voters. It makes absolutely no logical sense that you can win running to the right when the people you must convince are on the left. PA is a Democrat state and you must convince pro-choice Dems to cross over.
All of you lemmings have absolutely no sense of logic. Perhaps if you finished your education, the party would be better off.
Red Phillips| 4.16.09 @ 8:36AM
Why did Toomey mislead Peg Luksik and tell her he wasn't planning to run? It's not like it was a well kept secret. I'm very glad Specter has primary challengers, but that sort of pre-election coyness irritates me.
Jeffrey Lord| 4.16.09 @ 8:55AM
Bob...
"PA is a Democrat state and you must convince pro-choice Dems to cross over."
FYI..All those "pro-choice" Dems put a "pro-life" Dem in the Senate in 2006...just as they put his "pro-life" father in the governor's mansion, defeating two "pro-choice" Republicans.
pissedinpa| 4.16.09 @ 9:01AM
Specter is done!!!! How much longer do we have to put up with such bold faced lies and betrayals with this guy in general let alone any political party?
Specter needs to wake up one morning in Nov 2010 and find that he has been Tea Bagged!!!
Bob| 4.16.09 @ 9:13AM
Jeffrey...
"FYI..All those "pro-choice" Dems put a "pro-life" Dem in the Senate in 2006...just as they put his "pro-life" father in the governor's mansion, defeating two "pro-choice" Republicans.""
Casey is the "Specter" of the left. Dems are not only dominant in the state, but are a growing percentage as the cities get a higher percentage of minorities. Besides, PA was once described as Philadelphia and Pittsburgh on the east and west and Alabama in the middle. The demographic problem in PA is that the suburbs and exurbs are becoming increasingly Democrat. They are the swing geography.
Besides, have you noticed how the pro-choice aspect of Dems is not such a major issue any more? The Dems smartly reduced their emphasis on a hard pro-choice stance and repositioned their party as the party of the middle class. They are running away from this issue. This was a strategic imperative by Dean and Obama and it worked.
If asked, they would claim to be pro-choice. But it isn't like Republicans where, if you are not a social conservative, you are derided as a RINO.
Hank Rearden| 4.16.09 @ 9:37AM
Specter is part of the problem not the solution. His time has passed and he should have been out of the Senate long ago. I'd vote for a stauch communist over Specter because at least they stand for something other than simply saying/doing whatever to get re-elected. Instead of voting for a candidate in PA in 2010, I'll be imposing my own term limits.
Sara| 4.16.09 @ 9:44AM
I remember when Republicans were a solid and sustaining minority as Liberal lites. RINOs don't mind this status as long as they have power to advance and shape socialism and globalism and the limo liberal approval and invitations for the elitist social circut. The GOP held this minority status for decades and RINOS made sure no constitutional, small government Americans entered in their country club stationed pup tent. They joined liberals in smearing anyone outside the GOP socialist pup-tent as dirty Christians, racists and Nationalists.
We can keep Arlen and his socialist gal pals in power and keep a solid socialist minority for another few decades or we can toss them out now, experience the pain and regain the majority with RINOS gone or neutered.
More than half the voters are solidly against socialism. The GOP is currently spliting the socialist vote with the Democrats. The majority of Americans the GOP needs for majority power who are attached to American freedom and independence have no interest in the RINO party. Arlen will send the GOP the way of the Whigs and that is perfectly fine with Arlen because all that matters to Arlen is Arlen.
Tim| 4.16.09 @ 9:48AM
"It's hardball. Hard hardball."
LOL
Ryan| 4.16.09 @ 9:52AM
We need to remember - and something that Specter forgot - is that his last win was both by the skin of his teeth AND he got the support of the Republican senatorial re-election committee and Bush - without which he wouldn't have won. He's not as strong a candidate as he thinks he is.
Bob| 4.16.09 @ 9:57AM
Sara, you must be living in Fox News/Limbaugh land. When Republicans say the word "socialist", or "fascist", or "Alinskyite", or "Marxist", or even "baby killers", people view you as name calling extremists. That is the perfect way to make the Republican party disappear.
Let me take this quote from a recent Rasmussen Poll:
"In addition to the economic crisis, the right wing's accusation of Obama being a socialist appears to be backfiring. Conservatives were attempting to cash in on a well established strategy of 20th century American political life. These attacks have unintentionally served to get socialism into heavy rotation in the mainstream media, thereby increasing the public's interest and curiosity. Fear mongering and the paranoid style seem to be offering declining political returns.
Perhaps the most significant aspect of this poll is the response from people under thirty. The statistics indicate that 66% of this demographic are actively questioning capitalism as a system. This makes clear that the Cold War fear of socialism, created to shape the American mindset, is withering away. It is being replaced by a political openness to new ideas about how to organize society. This means there is a space for socialists where a serious dialogue can begin, which can connect Americans to grassroots organizing."
You must decide whether you want to win or go into oblivion as an extremist.
Pingback| 4.16.09 @ 10:04AM
Toomey write-thrus - Early Returns - post-gazette.com links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
J.C.Eaton| 4.16.09 @ 10:10AM
It is difficult being a Conservative; it requires conscience, constancy, and abiding courage. A conservative will be vilified by most media[see Jesse Helms], most of the opposition, and frequently by the squishes in his own party. That about sums up Toomey and his recent electoral career. Your article, which with all due respect seemed a fawning paen to a non-conservative, makes mock [unintentionally, I'd trow] of the virtues a true conservative embodies. As an aside, this "statesman" and poseur ["unproved"] expects loyalty from his party and exhibits little. He takes personal offense that a former congressman would put the "Republican minority" in jeapardy[what an oxymoron]. He must really hate Mr. Toomey, probably because he reminds him of how he wished to beway too long ago.
sara| 4.16.09 @ 10:49AM
Actually, Bob, you are full of it. Americans, in the majority are not questioning economic freedom -capitalism according to polls.
Pointing out Obama's and the Congress' socialist movement is not "backfiring" on anyone. It is a fact and it is a radical betrayal to what they ran the election on.
They can fool college students who don't know economics any better and they can appeal to the welfare hammock crowd who want "free stuff." But they are not fooling the majority who know a radical pig in the poke when they see one. That includes the RINOs who are abetting this radical theft of freedom.
Periwinkel| 4.16.09 @ 11:24AM
Memo to Arlen: Lincoln Chaffee went down with $1 million of Republican money that should have been given to a good Republican...not a RINO. Take note, Arlen, your time is coming...when you vote with Dems consistently (except election years) your end is near. I can't wait!!
Big J| 4.16.09 @ 11:54AM
sara:
Give it up. Bob has spoken. Alpha, Omega, game over. Insert coin for one more credit.
I agree with you, but what the heck do I know. I am still following my dog around, waiting for my homework to come out. ;)
Bob| 4.16.09 @ 12:01PM
Sure, Sara, people absolutely love the heart of capitalism, i.e., Wall Street. If you really understood our system, you'd know we don't have pure capitalism -- not even close. That's not the point. The main trust of the research is that conservatives lose if they call Dems "socialists". That is just fact. You can certainly criticize their spending, but when you call them names, you lose (except for the right wing lemmings, of course).
reads1| 4.16.09 @ 12:04PM
Mr. Lords article reads like a campaign ad for this disgrace to the conservative causes, along with the two frozen brains from Maine. Toomey will be a better choice, just by being there to replace this guy.
Robert Rosencrans| 4.16.09 @ 12:18PM
Spector's slip sliding away policies are the reason the Republicans find themselves on the losing end of the political spectrum.
All Toomey has to do is superimpose Spector's face on the center of a trillion dollar bill.
Sara| 4.16.09 @ 12:36PM
Robert Rosencrans - put Arlen's fat face over the trillion he voted for and mention the fool DID NOT EVEN READ it before voting!!!!
How does one get that old and spend that much time in the sausage machine factory we call Congress and still walk around totally careless and stupid?
The GOP should run fast and far from ole Arlen and his gal pals if they want to distance themselves for their complete stupidity and failure during the Bush administration. But the leadership of the GOP is guarding that pup tent with Arlen; wacking anyone who comes near with their golf clubs.
Hank Rearden| 4.16.09 @ 12:58PM
"True Grit?" more like True Spit in the face the electorate you looter!!!
Dai Alanye| 4.16.09 @ 1:06PM
This is excellent. I've long assumed that the Bobster is a Dem troll, and now he has offered more evidence. In his latest criticism of Republicans on this site he has said, "When Republicans say [blah, blah, blah]… people view you as name calling extremists."
Notice that he said "you" rather than "us."
And he is, as usual, all wet, for he assumes present demographics and political leanings to be static rather than dynamic. To the extent he acknowledges dynamism, he assumes the trend goes only one way—toward the left.
As history proves, however, domination of the political scene goes back and forth. I suspect that after Bob's leader BO gets through fouling the economy, the prospects for Bob's party—the Dems, that is—will be looking considerably less bright than today.
As for Specter—pfft! Let him go in order to rid the party of anti-conservatives.
Joe| 4.16.09 @ 1:12PM
Funny he should mention Santorum sence he did about nothing to help him. And if it were not for Bush and Santorum, you would not be talking to Spector now a non-conservative (RINO). A man who faught Bush on many Conservative Judges and Abortion. This goes on and on.
rdman| 4.16.09 @ 1:36PM
Time is overdue for We, the People to tell the socialist/fascist democrats and the spineless RINOs that we’ve had enough their deceptive deceit and corruption. Its time to stand up, find these career-politician tyrants in gross violation of their Constitutional Oaths and purge them from the halls of our government.
Eliminate the Washington DC snake-pit of entrenched appeasing, expediency, placating and crab-walking despots by voting these delusional, parasitic, megalomaniac realpolitiks out of government… they are not worthy to represent We, The People of this magnificent Country.
1) Start this process by requiring your State’s Elected Representatives to convene a Constitutional Convention for the sole purpose of modifying in pertinent part, Amendment XVII to read, “Representatives and Senators of the U.S. Congress, elected by the people thereof, for two years and six years respectively for a maximum of two terms…”
2) Reject all career-politicians running for re-election… they speak with ulterior motives, hidden agendas, deceit, duplicity and deception… they have become corrupt and no longer qualified for Leadership or Statesmanship. They are, in fact, a scourge upon the land.
3) Recruit and elect true representatives of We, the People… Citizen Professionals who have demonstrated excellence in management, performance, integrity, patriotism, pride and optimism, chivalry and civility for a maximum of two terms to re-establish the public service model of our Founding Fathers… Leadership, Statesmanship, Dignity, Honor and Duty.
NavyBrat| 4.16.09 @ 1:50PM
"The only check and balance on the Democratic sweep with the White House and the House is 41 of us in the Senate. Because if Toomey is the Republican nominee and my seat goes, the Democrats get 60 votes. And they run rough shod on increasing taxes and bringing card check and a lot of other things that are anathema to Republicans."
Really? Was he the "check & balance" we needed when the dimulus bill was passed? Oh, that's right, he got bought off. Then, he had the AUDACITY to come back here (he was in Pittsburgh) & tell, rather rudely) a constituent who was giving him hell that HE, Arlen the Great, understood what needed to be done & that this hapless peas... I mean constituent, couldn't hope to understand something so complicated. This is the way that LIBERALS talk to their constituents who disagree with them. I'm looking VERY forward to voting Benedict Arlen OUT in the next election. Hit the road, Jack. You were great at one time, but you're time has passed along with your judgement.
Bob| 4.16.09 @ 1:55PM
Dai, now it is you that is using "inference". If I say, when Republicans do "this", then it means "that", that does not cover the Republicans who don't partake of that activity. You would like me to be a Democrat and believe that ALL Republicans are extremists like you, but we're not...
Turk| 4.16.09 @ 2:05PM
History bears heavily on how we judge candidates, parties and national movements. How we REALLY got our wars(ie appeasement +). Etc etc. Well ---------how we got Spector the rino-----his claim to fame is being the author of the single bullet theory in JFK 's assassination. A long time ago? Yes-------but pertinent!
Ed| 4.16.09 @ 2:08PM
Red Phillips,
Toomey had been seriously considering a run for governor next year, until a few other conservatives said they were considering governaor as well, and Specter voted for the stim bill. I don't think it was anything intentional. I like Luksik, but she really doesn't have much chance anyway.
L. Ross| 4.16.09 @ 2:21PM
Thomas F.
I loved your post about RINOs out the door.
Rinos out the door in
2010 Specter
2012 Snowe
2014 Collins
You missed a great big one, however. John McCain.
What the heck is the point of trying to cling to a small lead in the Senate if it comes at the cost of loosers like these RINOs. We would be no worse off to try to peel away some blue dog Democrats.
Tim| 4.16.09 @ 2:22PM
Senator Arlen HARD HARDBALL Specter. Can we call you HH for short?
Ed| 4.16.09 @ 3:17PM
Specter sounds scared to me. He's already polling way behind Toomey, and started running ads before Toomey even announced.
BigAl| 4.16.09 @ 6:30PM
Pat Toomey's philosophical disagreement with Specter isn't the reason the Republicans lost the last two elections: Republicans acting like, and compromising their principles to accommodate, Democrats is what lost those elections.
I analogize Specter's statements to the last screams of dinosaurs as they expired after having inhaled too much dust from Alvarez's meteor.
stmichrick| 4.16.09 @ 7:28PM
'Educated' Bob;
You can snort about conservatives and Republicans being 29% of the vote; enjoy it while it lasts.
If a charismatic communicator emerges with our message, all bets are off. Leftists and Democrats are enjoying having an articulate, cute leader (not a Harry Reid) spewing the big-government line . However, and you know this, it is all about his charisma.
The path he proposes makes no sense and is not right for America.
jhrap| 4.16.09 @ 8:08PM
Ed| 4.16.09 @ 3:17PM
"Specter sounds scared to me."
Finally a wingnut I agree with. He is scared.
He is the only chance the republicans have and he most likely cares about the party.
Me? I'd love to see Toomey win the nod and get slaughtered by a democrat.
Specter winning is my second choice but either option isn't bad.
The wingnuts have got themselves into a little quandery. Huh? It's a win/win for me. And a lose/lose for you.
george| 4.16.09 @ 8:34PM
I am so glad that I am not from PA. State rights are more important than federal rights and Specter is a big gov't politician. Dems or Reps have lost all rights to govern. It is time for real tea parties.
Mikki| 4.16.09 @ 8:48PM
At 79, Specter needs to go along with Kennedy and a few others. All the old long term politicians need to retire. That is one thing wrong with our country. There needs to be term limits so the elected will again work for the people instead of lining their own pockets.
Bob| 4.17.09 @ 7:32AM
stmichrick| 4.16.09 @ 7:28PM
"If a charismatic communicator emerges with our message, all bets are off. Leftists and Democrats are enjoying having an articulate, cute leader (not a Harry Reid) spewing the big-government line . However, and you know this, it is all about his charisma."
Actually, I would partially agree with your comment. I do believe there is a limit to how much you can gain, however. Overcoming a 10 point disadvantage is extremely difficult. You know that I am into data analysis, and have looked at this but cannot determine anything definitive as to what can be gained.
So who would this great communicator be? Certainly, none of the leaders now are that good -- not Palin, Jindal, Romney, Cantor, Pence, Ryan, etc. In addition, Obama was a writer, a teacher, and a well honed Chicago politician. Beyond that, he is a good political strategist. He has weaknesses, like extemporaneous speaking, but he has found a crutch for those weaknesses like using teleprompters. Reagan was trained as an actor and it helped him with communication but most people around him said that he listened, but never asked probing questions. Clinton was an excellent extemporaneous speaker, but we all know he had lots of moral weakness.
All of that said, I believe a more important factor is pocketbook issues. If the economy improves, the Dems will be very difficult to beat. Most economists believe we will start to see the turn at the end of this year/beginning of the next.
Paul Crowley| 4.18.09 @ 2:07PM
“All of that said, I believe a more important factor is pocketbook issues. If the economy improves, the Dems will be very difficult to beat. Most economists believe we will start to see the turn at the end of this year/beginning of the next." [Bob| 4.17.09 @ 7:32AM]
This is true.
Although, complex also.
The time period, “end of this year/beginning of the next," seems about right. The extent of recovery, will be interesting.
One element of the physical situation that’s been very much like 1980-83 is all of the large industrial modernization projects. There are a lot of very big projects that have been underway for the past two to eight years, and startups will begin coming on line about this time, and continuing at least four years after.
One can argue all he likes about economic theory, Marx versus Smith, and such, but I’ve wondered since early last year if there isn’t going to be a new ‘morning in America’ theme coming, and for very much the same reasons as the first one: The physical modernization of American industries, especially American steel, and the new plants that came online
during that time.
After 30 years, and given the major technology changes since then, it’s not surprising that we’re modernizing again. In fact, it's about right.
The plant startups will be to the advantage of the Obama administration, which will have to aid them, where public perception is concerned.
Of course, in like manner, the first “morning in America” was already underway in the couple years preceding the Reagan administration, but facilitated by the tariffs enacted during the Reagan administration (does anyone doubt that the same tariffs wouldn’t been enacted if Carter had won in 1980?).
During the Reagan administration, annual American
steel production returned to 1970 levels, but with much higher productivity, since manpower needs of the modernized, and relocated, industry was 1/4 of what it had been in 1970.
Here’s where the similarities diverge.
Back during the first 'morning in America,' the lost industrial employment was taken up by the new service industries, Digital Electronics Revolution technology development, and military expansion.
The modernized industries of today (now multi-national, not American, owned) should also see substantial decline in the total workforce to achieve the same productions levels of the past.
A new ‘domestic’ Oil & Gas industry and mining will help, but, again, manpower needs are nothing what they used to be (mostly operators of various kinds, and much fewer menial laborers).
So, with the digital electronics revolution, winding down into standardization, and service industry now in decline, rather than growth, what’s everybody going to do to replace the losses in these?
Just how 'bright,' or not, is a new 'morning in America' going to be?
Bob| 4.18.09 @ 2:43PM
Paul -- you are right on target. There is no way in which the recovery will be a sharp "V". There is also one more big difference, a high percentage of capital in the 1980's was invested in U.S. companies. In today's global financial environment, capital flows more easily to emerging countries. That's one of the reasons tax cuts will actually hurt the country more than help it as most of those cuts will go to the wealthy who will invest in multinational and international companies through funds and hedge fund groups.
The only way we will see strong growth is to fundamentally change our corporate tax policy to make it advantageous to locate manufacturing here. I would propose abolishing the corporate income tax in favor of a national consumption tax. This would also capture tax receipts from foreign companies that we don't capture now.
Paul Crowley| 4.18.09 @ 3:03PM
Sorry.
The de-centralization and re-development of some agricultural production, especially meat and dairy, around the new metropolitan areas, already begun, and becoming both a come theme (across the political 'spectrum') and a trend, probably a redevelopment of local transport companies, maybe a re-regulation on the theme of inter verus intra state distinctions, suitably modified, and the repair, and further development of infrastructure, nation wide, with the oversight of these activities by state and municipal governments. . . All of this lend themselves to the
‘small government’ theme (George Wallace never met a federal highway dollar that he didn’t like, as far I can see,and he sure never stood in front of any bulldozers on federal highway construction or repair projects, spouting ‘states rights’ rhetoric. But he did take credit for new roads and jobs associated with, and regulated by the federal government, while doing so in other instances).
Domestic policy has always followed foreign policy and foreign policy.
For the moment parts of it remain what it’s been for the past eight years: The gains in the Persian Gulf are being solidified and the advance into Pakistan is being continued, along with, the east-west advance across north Africa and, now, into sub-Saharan Africa. So an increase in DoD manning size, and organizations of use to the state department.
These don’t lend themselves to a small government theme, but they do to a ‘strong defense’ theme, with proper PR manipulation (which doesn’t seem lacking).
All in all, it looks like the need of right wing and left wing parties hasn’t come to an end, but is going to continue.
I’m not a cheerleader for either major party, not a member of any political party, and we don’t have to register party affiliation to vote in primaries here.
Even though the republican party seems horribly disorganized at the moment, and some responses downright absurd thus far, I still don’t rule the republicans out (its way too early). For goodness sake, Obama hasn't been in office a full 90 days yet.
Who knows, maybe Obama will be the beginning of the end of the 'charismatic.'
If we end up going to war, which I don’t automatically assume, but don’t rule out either, then all this political 'tactics' absurdity will become moot quickly. There’ll be other issues that will become more important, very quickly, to us in the peonage.
Frankly, THAT would be the only good thing to come from a war.
PCP Smoker| 4.18.09 @ 6:47PM
"Specter is well on record as to why he voted for the stimulus....thought it the right thing etc etc. He's said this everywhere he goes. No news there. "
Mr. Lord,
I understand the material must be fresh, and I understand a certain level of politeness must be maintained during these interviews.
But you could have asked (1) how does a trillion dollar in wasteful pork, along with the seeds for socialist healthcare in the name Healthcare Efficiency office, is the "right thing" for the country. I understand that is where he stands, but how about an explanation of the logic being used. How is socialist healthcare the "right thing" for the country.
How is having RINOs like Lincoln Chafee, or Hagel a plus to the GOP effort? Yes, they are republicans, but if there are no differences between the GOP and the Dems, then of what purpose are they?
The attempt to answer those questions would have been real news.
PCP Smoker| 4.18.09 @ 6:47PM
"Specter is well on record as to why he voted for the stimulus....thought it the right thing etc etc. He's said this everywhere he goes. No news there. "
Mr. Lord,
I understand the material must be fresh, and I understand a certain level of politeness must be maintained during these interviews.
But you could have asked (1) how does a trillion dollar in wasteful pork, along with the seeds for socialist healthcare in the name Healthcare Efficiency office, is the "right thing" for the country. I understand that is where he stands, but how about an explanation of the logic being used. How is socialist healthcare the "right thing" for the country.
How is having RINOs like Lincoln Chafee, or Hagel a plus to the GOP effort? Yes, they are republicans, but if there are no differences between the GOP and the Dems, then of what purpose are they?
The attempt to answer those questions would have been real news.
Paul Crowley| 4.18.09 @ 9:26PM
=>“The only way we will see strong growth is to fundamentally change our corporate tax policy to make it advantageous to locate manufacturing here.” [Bob| 4.17.09 @ 7:32AM]
Hi Bob:
I agree that reform of regulation is needed if the market system is to be used.
That’s how I would phrase it so as to first define the problem before jumping to advocacy of a specific solution to the problem without mentioning what it is.
The only way to use the market system, as a means for industrial development, is to regulate the market so that resources are employed to drive the development in the direction in which one wishes it to proceed, for whatever specific reason one wishes to
do so.
This is precisely how the market system, and the various Free Trade policies were used during the Cold War(1946-89) as tactics to meet the strategic goals of containing and then defeating Marxist Russia.
To be blunt: There is NO SUCH THING as a “Free Market” (in the sense of an “un-regulated market” in the sense that the libertarian movements have propagandized widely for about the past 10-18 years; popularized in only about the past 10 years: Adam
Smith’s “invisible hand”). This mess especially came into formulaton of policy during the Bush-Clinton-Bush administrations in the post-Cold War era.
That's precisely when Walmart shifted from its Buy American campaign to become a company outlet for the PRC, and now India.
The Libertarian’s fantasy market doesn’t exist. It never has and it never will, any more than it did when the British government propagated this same rubbish from about 1850 through to the beginning of World War One.
To be honest, the Libertarians remind me of ministers of a secular cult. They attempt to make a religion out of a man-made system.
They're not the first to employ the technique. Among the many gimmicks employed by the Brits in the 19th century was babble about “Divine Providence” and later just “providence,” as they bounced back and forth between rationalizations based on utilitarianism or Anglo-redefined natural law.
In fairness to the Brits, the concept of Lassaiz Faire was picked up by them from the 18th century French (as one might surprise by the term itself). But it was the Brits who massaged it into a pseudo-religion in the 19th and early 20th centuries.
For the past five years I’ve been reminding friends and neighbors that no one in America grew up under a system such as we have at present, except for the poor little guys born in the past ten years.
If there’s anything that could convert me to an advocate of “Separation of Church and State” versus the American principle of Freedom of Religion, due to rejection of an Established Church, as the British had, then this pseudo-religious hand-of-gawd economics rubbish would be it.
Obviously I won’t be joining any of the libertarians Counter-Boston Tea Party’s.
How to regulate the market is the problem now faced.
What we’re re-regulating it for, precisely, I don’t claim to know.
We haven’t been told.
There are other differences between 1981-83 and today that are critical and make it all far more complex too.
Paul Crowey| 4.18.09 @ 9:45PM
=>“one more big difference, a high percentage of capital in the 1980's was invested in U.S. companies. In today's global financial environment, capital flows more easily to emerging countries.” [Bob| 4.17.09 @ 7:32AM]
Hi Bob:
This is true.
One reason that I noted that the big plant projects that are in the works and getting ready to come online are: “Now multi-national, not American, owned.”
Actually, it’s a partial difference to the decade of the 1980s, during the Reagan administration.
But it’s also a similarity to the “1980’s,” where the ‘morning in America’ theme is concerned.
**
The Darkness Before The Dawn
Investment was flowing overseas, and internally, American wise, outside the continental U.S.A., 1969-86 (often dubbed with the vague “The ‘70s.”). It did so, industry by industry, region to region, and actually continued through the 1980s, in like maner, as well.
The actual decade of the 1970s, about 1971-79 was probably the last of the booms for domestic industries, with American-owned companies: Oil & Gas, Agriculture, transport,
. . . This is a major discontinuity now. Those companies are all gone.
Some industries (steel, automobile, Harley Davidson motorcycles, to name three ) were aided by tariffs and federal funding during the Reagan administration, some others were not.
[As an aside, does that make Reagan a socialist by these libertarian standards? It was the John Birch Society in their “None Dare Call IT Conspiracy” conspiracy theory book, published in the early to mid 1970s, who called Nixon a socialist by the same criteria. Not too many others of us did. I read it because I had a couple friends who were Birchers, but wasn't convinced by it].
For the example of the steel industry: From 1969-80, American ore & coaking coal deposits were shut in, mining shut down, and steel processing shut down (the birth of the “rust belt”). Precisely during this time, as American share in the world steel market took
a plunge, steal industries were developed throughout the so-called Third World (the “emerging countries” of that time).
In petroleum, then majors began shutting in their American petroleum production and moving overseas, or to Alaska. The domestic Oil & Gas industry boomed, 1973-79, then went bust, 1979-93.
Changes in the American natural gas industry in the 1980s were also largely due to de-regulation during the Carter Administration, but facilitated by reforms in the 1980s.
For a ‘morning in America,’ to even make sense, then much of America had to pass through a ‘dark of night,’ so to speak, first. That’s actually similar to today.
Similar to 1976-81 are the projects, in development since at least 2002, and increasingly announced since 2005 which technically make no sense for the reason you state: “Capital flows more easily to emerging countries,” just as many made no sense that were already being planned during the Carter administration.
Just as was true, 1976-81, projects are already in the works, the direction has been set, and now the modifications need to be made to the market system so as to allow these projects to proceed.
Then it was steel and auto manufacturing. Today its multi-billion dollar projects, mining, processing and manufacturing that have been in development and planning, and work begun, across the country.
There’s a 7 billion dollar project close by to me, one of multiple multi-billion dollar projects in this area, that’s been in development since at least 2002 (mention of it began, internally).
Roads were straightened and widened, 2000-04. New hotels and motels began cropping up, 2004-05, new housing and apartments construction boomed, 2005-07. Maritime facilities have been under construction, 2001-present. LPG tank farms began springing up
in 2006. The plant expansion project was announced in late 2006. The training programs in the vocational branch of the local university have in place, advertised and in progress since 2007.
The “booms” these days are well planned affairs.
NOTHING like the “old days” (Pre-1977).
This has been true for at least the past 25 years.
One could see it in the development of one metropolitan area after another.
An, "If You Build It, They Will Come" model if you will.
There is no un-regulated market.
Paul Crowley| 4.18.09 @ 10:18PM
=>" ‘It's hardball. Hard hardball.’
LOL” [Tim | 4.16.09 @ 9:48AM[
Hi Tim:
Exactly!
Paul Crowley| 4.19.09 @ 1:23AM
Bob:
For clarification.
My mention of the big multi-nationals projects may confuse.
First: Be sure, that I’m not suggesting that the multi-nationals OWN the government.
None of that (figure I should make the disclaimer clearly).
The new alliance between federal government, environmental NGOs and the multi-nationals is definitely different from anytime, 1970-98.
Anyway, it’s new ‘domestic industries’ that have to be developed: The equivalent today of much of the capital in the 1980's was invested in U.S. companies” that you mention.
Another difference between now and the 1980s.
The remnants of the “domestic industries” of American-owned independents that were still around, but dying then, have now been erased.
As I mentioned before, the digital electronics revolution is winding down into standardization, and the service industry is now in decline, rather than growth (developed from scratch to maturity to decline in a single generation, less than 30 years).
I’ll point out that this is also why economic Growth is now possible, and being made fashionable, again (and that the “mature economy” rhetoric of the past 20 years has been dropped and the “small is beautiful” stuff of the 1970s is being modified).
[I found the rhetoric of about seven years ago speculating that we would become an “ideas society” to replace our “service industry society” not only absurd, but insulting. And I can think of a lot of absurd and insulting rationalizations over the past 40 years!].
It seems like it at times, but we’re not entirely building from scratch.
Divisions spun off by the large corporations (of all industries), especially during the reforms of the major corporations, 1986-98 (‘Downsizing,’ ‘Rationalization,’ ‘Core Business’. . . ), after the Integrated Company model was dropped by them, 1983 onward, have become, as far as I can tell, the cadre of new ‘domestic’ American companies, along
with some big corporations that have risen up amazingly fast (formed of various pieces spun off by the majors-become multi-nationals). The various divisions ‘spun off’ also merged into larger companies, and are now some of the large contractors or suppliers who have formed alliances with the multi-nationals. Some technical services company, contractors of the past, such as Halliburton, became huge by 1998 (demonstrated by the fact that the one time wire-line and well-fracturing service company is now confused as
an “Oil Company”).
My speculation is that much of the ‘domestic industries’ that will have to be built will do so around the infrastructure of the multi-nationals and their big multi-billion dollar projects, and this cadre of new ‘domestic companies.’
It looks like the Integrated Company model (management of every aspect of the industry,
from production to processing to manufacture, and all phases of distribution), is being re-established, but with major modifications: Effectively a contractor system of alliances, not large corporations with divisions, and integration of management and coordination between one-time different industries.
It also looks like we’re going to redevelop local agriculture, especially meat and dairy, around the new metropolitan areas (that were still in development and under construction in the 1980s).
A great deal of what I see reminds me of Japan 30-35 years ago, and elements clearly seem to have been adopted from the lessons learned in developing Japan, 1950-90.
Some of what they’ve lost, Americans have gained (which are losses for us by pre-1998 American standards), but I don’t believe that the pre-1989 Japanese system is what we’re becoming.
Those are my speculations.
For all of the similarities, there are a great many more differences, especially structurally, finance, national alliances. . .
I’d be interested in your thoughts, especially regarding my phrasing of the market system and regulation in my previous post.
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