By Frank Schell on 4.15.09 @ 6:08AM
Has the easing of mark to market rules made the Treasury
Department's job more impossible?
What can you say about a 17-year-old accounting rule that died?
That it was beautiful?
Accounting has always been a boring subject to many people.
Nevertheless, Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) 107, a
twenty-nine page document, is emerging as analytical ground zero
in the battle to fortify bank balance sheets and stimulate the
flow of credit -- and jump start the economy as a whole.
Accounting, as we know it today with double entries of debits and
credits, is acknowledged to have antecedents dating to the
Italian Renaissance. But one must doubt that the accountants of
antiquity envisioned accounting architecture to destroy financial
markets like a neutron bomb, leaving no stock exchanges and only
blank general ledgers.
The mark to market principles of FASB 107 have helped bring the
entire world to the edge of an abyss, in which lurk financial
monsters and creatures of doom, unseen for several
generations.
As the global financial crisis has played out 24/7, and the
secondary market for collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) and
more specifically mortgage backed securities has seized up, there
are few, if any investors to be found, since they have run for
the exits. This lack of investors has resulted in colossal losses
due to the need of the banks and investment banks to mark to
market their asset portfolios, in accordance with FASB 107. Never
mind that some securities had unimpaired cash flows and were
performing as agreed -- or that there was no market to mark to.
FASB 107 contemplates an immediate and disorderly sale
environment -- what is the price if you have to sell an asset
NOW? It would be like having to write your house down to a
fraction of its earlier market value, so that you could sell it
in a matter of minutes, electronically on eBay perhaps, or while
riding on public transportation, or maybe just to the next
passerby.
After the global banking system has been brought to its knees in
part by the law of unintended consequences, the accounting
industry has now, after the destruction of about $50 trillion of
private capital in global terms (source: Asian Development Bank),
decided to modify FASB 107. The intent is to be more benign to
banks and to allow for valuations based on more orderly
liquidation circumstances. Given this protracted global
crisis, and the many cries for reform of mark to market over more
than a year, it raises the question of why it has taken so long
to modify FASB 107.
While this accounting change would at first sight seem to be
welcome news, by now allowing banks to value mortgage-backed
securities and CDOs at prices reflecting orderly disposition and
presumably intrinsic cash flows, it may make the Treasury
Department's job harder in conducting private/public sector
auctions. The point of the Treasury Department's most recently
announced initiative to acquire at least $500 billion of
distressed assets is to bring many sellers and investors together
-- with minimal equity from private sources, and debt financing
guaranteed by the FDIC.
Because of this modification of FASB 107, banks will now be able
to carry such assets at higher valuations, and bottom fishing
investors may not wish to bid so high. So the very process of
market making to relieve the banking sector of toxic assets,
encourage resumed credit flow, and facilitate global recovery is
now potentially undermined.
For the worst financial crisis in many decades, as long as the
nation is blaming Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, the Federal Reserve,
the Bush Administration, AIG, the banks and investment banks,
unregulated mortgage banks and brokers, rating agencies,
government regulatory authorities, Congress, populist laws that
support without recourse mortgage financing, the media, the
Community Reinvestment Act, rampant greed, and those folks
leveraging up with bad judgment on Main Street, we need to add
yet another group -- the accountants.
The only trouble is that it may be too late in the world for
accounting entries.