By Brett Joshpe on 3.9.09 @ 6:08AM
Obama giveth and Obama taketh away.
Clearly the Obama administration has not brought comfort to the
markets in its initial weeks in office. The President and his
team have also failed to bring clarity or coherence. Their
massive agenda is not only ambitious, bold, and expensive, it is
contradictory.
Take the President's new budget proposal, for instance. In order
to pay for the massive expansion of government spending,
including $634 billion for health-care reform, Obama proposes to
resort to the time honored populist tradition of "taxing the
rich," meaning families making in excess of $250,000. Despite the
administration's incessant cry that the government should prop up
the housing market and increase home prices, the budget contains
a provision that would reduce the amount of mortgage interest
deductions "wealthy" families can take on their home payments. In
other words, Obama would like to take the seemingly few remaining
people in our society who can actually afford homes and reduce
one of their biggest incentives for home ownership. Not
surprisingly, the National Association of Realtors opposes the
provision, saying it "will result in further erosion of home
prices and home values."
Similarly, the administration keeps talking about greasing the
credit markets, encouraging banks to lend again, and driving down
the costs of borrowing money, particularly in mortgage markets.
However, Obama favors legislation that would allow bankruptcy
judges to alter a bankrupt mortgager's payments and cram down new
terms on the creditor. Lenders may react by appropriately
increasing mortgage rates that account for a greater risk premium
in financing home purchases.
Obama and many of his Democratic allies in Congress are also
remarkably haphazard in their approach to dealing with the
automobile industry. They will likely shower billions of
additional taxpayer dollars on the ailing Detroit companies. Yet,
they want to enact onerous new cap and trade legislation that
will hamper the industry, as well as grant states exemptions
enabling them to impose their own more stringent emissions
standards on automobile companies. Furthermore, while even
elected representatives realize full well that the automobile
companies need to make changes to return to profitability --
specifically, they need to break free from the shackles of UAW
driven labor costs -- politicians think they can mandate the
companies into making money by insisting upon green car
production that the market has overlooked.
And what would a discussion of economic waywardness be without
addressing the financial sector? The American taxpayer now has
trillions of dollars at stake in the banking industry (although
do not expect a dividend check anytime soon). We all know, or
should realize, that we have a vested interest in seeing the
industry recover, not only because a well-run banking sector is
imperative to our economy but because of how much taxpayers stand
to lose if banks fail.
But rather than encourage financial institutions to retain the
best talent to help resuscitate the industry, Congress and the
administration have imposed mandated pay scales that will in
result brain drain. This is because the American Recovery and
Investment Act of 2009 (ARIA) limits the relative size of bonuses
for executives at firms that accept Troubled Asset Relief Program
(TARP) funds. In addition, the ARIA limits the ability of banks
to hire foreign workers holding H-1B visas. The provision,
designed to encourage banks to hire American workers first, is
just another anti-free market provision that will discourage
banks from hiring the best employees.
It is also not the only way in which the Democratic government is
engaging in misguided protectionism, while speaking the language
of international cooperation. The ARIA requires domestic
production of iron, steel, and manufactured goods for
stimulus-funded projects.
Inconsistent is one thing; disingenuous is another. That,
however, is the best way to describe the President's new budget
proposal. It is also the genius of Barack Obama, because while he
recently proposed a $3.6 trillion budget that would increase the
federal deficit to $1.75 trillion, he harps (with a straight
face) about making "hard choices where to spend and where to
save." He talks about how this is "just the beginning of the cuts
we're going to make" and about "fiscal discipline."
So are we saving and investing in the future? Well, not if you
consider the $787 billion "stimulus" package Congress just passed
at Obama's urging or the massive budget he just proposed. Are we
stimulating then? Not if you consider the massive tax hikes for
the "rich" that Obama wants to fund his new programs.
Perhaps the only thing we can say about Obama's plan is that it
aims to redistribute. And it should do a damn fine job of
spreading the misery around.