Mr. Obama has promised us a "New New Deal" as he prepares to launch his mega-billion-dollar infrastructure program, his plan for nationalizing health insurance, and other ambitious government programs.
We might get an idea of what's likely to happen by reflecting on experience with Franklin D. Roosevelt's most ambitious infrastructure program -- the Tennessee Valley Authority. It was heralded as a program to build dams that would control floods, facilitate navigation, lift people out of poverty -- and help America recover from the Great Depression.
Back in 1933, David Lilienthal, one of the founding directors of the TVA, vowed that "The Tennessee Valley Authority power program is not a taxpayers' subsidy. It is a business undertaking." In fact, for more than 60 years, Congress appropriated funds to cover the TVA's losses.
Although the TVA stopped requesting such appropriations a decade ago -- perhaps to avoid Congressional scrutiny -- it continues to be heavily subsidized. The TVA pays neither federal, state nor local taxes that private businesses must pay; and as a government entity similar to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, it can borrow money more cheaply than private businesses. Currently, the TVA has about $26 billion of debt.
The TVA also doesn't have to incur the costs of complying with myriad federal, state and local laws. By one researcher's count, the TVA is exempt from 137 federal laws, such as workplace safety and hydroelectric licensing. The TVA can set electricity rates without oversight by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission that has jurisdiction over private utilities. The Securities and Exchange Commission has limited jurisdiction for oversight of the TVA. The TVA is the biggest New Deal monopoly, but is exempt from federal antitrust laws. It is exempt from many federal environmental regulations, as well as from hundreds more state laws and regulations. When the TVA wants more assets, it doesn't have to haggle, because unlike private businesses, it has the power of eminent domain.
The Tennessee Valley Authority was established by Franklin D. Roosevelt in May 1933 -- one of his Hundred Days measures -- but it really goes back to 1918. Woodrow Wilson decided that the federal government should get into the gunpowder business because German submarines had sunk some ships bringing nitrates from Chile. E.I. du Pont de Nemours, the world's most experienced gunpowder manufacturer, wanted to build a gunpowder manufacturing facility at Muscle Shoals, Alabama, on the banks of the Tennessee River, and the company proposed building a hydroelectric plant to provide the power that was needed.
"Progressive" politicians were wary that du Pont might make money on the deal, so the decision was to have two gunpowder manufacturing facilities: one built by du Pont and the other by the federal government. The du Pont facility was finished for $129.5 million and produced 35 million pounds of canon powder before the Armistice (November 1918), but the government facility didn't produce anything at all. The Muscle Shoals project became the starting point for the TVA.
As a remedy for the Great Depression, the TVA didn't work. No new wealth was created. Through taxation, the TVA transferred resources from the 98 percent of Americans who didn't live in the Tennessee Valley to the two percent who did. Money spent in the Tennessee Valley was offset by spending that didn't happen elsewhere because taxes needed to pay for the TVA reduced people's net incomes.
The building of TVA dams, like any other complex public works projects, proceeded slowly. Only three TVA dams were completed before the New Deal period ended and war mobilization began in 1940. The TVA dams were small -- less than one-twentieth the power-generating capacity of big western dams. Although building TVA dams provided work for engineers and skilled construction workers, who earned above-average incomes, the dams really came too late to have much impact on most people in the Tennessee Valley during the Great Depression.
To the degree the TVA had any impact at all, it appeared to be negative. The most important study of the effects of the TVA, by energy economist William Chandler, estimated that in the half-century after the TVA was launched, economic growth in bordering states, where people didn't get TVA-subsidized electricity, equaled or surpassed economic growth within the Tennessee Valley. Chandler concluded, "Among the nine states of the southeastern U.S., there has been an inverse relationship between income per capita and the extent to which the state was served by the TVA….Watershed counties in the seven TVA states, moreover, are poorer than the non-TVA counties in these states."
In the non-TVA southern states, there was a greater exodus of people out of subsistence farming into manufacturing and services, which offered higher incomes. Ironically, electricity consumption grew faster in the non-TVA southern states, because it tends to correlate with income. Subsistence farmers might be able to afford light bulbs but not the electrical appliances that people in non-TVA southern states were buying. Furthermore, despite the millions spent building TVA dams, water usage grew faster in the non-TVA southern states.
In any case, it was delusional to believe that TVA-subsidized electricity was the one "key" to eradicating poverty. There never was a single key. Subsistence farmers needed equipment like tractors, trucks and hay balers, powered by diesel fuel -- not electricity. They needed to develop more skills, more sophisticated farming practices, and so on.
Backed by the power of the federal government, the TVA promoted electricity for home heating -- even when oil and natural gas were cheaper. To the extent the TVA's home heating campaign was successful, it squandered resources.
As for flood control, the TVA seems to have flooded more land (behind the dams) than it protected downstream. One economist estimated that TVA dams flooded about 730,000 acres -- more land than there is in Rhode Island. Most directly affected by TVA flooding were the 15,654 people who were forced out of their homes to make way for dams. Farm owners received cash settlements for their condemned property, but black tenant farmers got nothing.
As one might expect with a monopoly that can ignore so many laws, there have been reports of waste and possible corruption at the TVA -- lucrative executive perks, cozy consulting contracts, costly building leases and much more, according to the TVA's own inspector general. The TVA spent $15 billion building nine nuclear power plants, and none of them worked. The TVA hired a former Navy admiral to fix them, but he was charged with cronyism and bad judgment. There were congressional investigations.
Although the TVA was established to build dams, it has expanded relentlessly as bureaucracies do, and it went on to operate 11 coal-fired power plants and three nuclear power plants as well as 49 dams -- apparently with ambitions to expand the TVA's power-generating monopoly beyond the Tennessee Valley. Among other things, this has raised environmental concerns. Ralph Nader charged that the TVA "has the poorest safety record with [nuclear] reactors." On December 22, 2008, at the TVA's Kingston, Tennessee coal-fired plant, the dike of a 40-acre holding pond broke, spilling as much as a billion gallons of coal sludge with elevated levels of arsenic. The sludge covered some 300 acres up to six feet deep, damaging homes and wrecking a train. This spill reportedly was more than 50 times bigger than the oil spill from the Exxon Valdez tanker that went aground in Alaska.
As experience with the TVA suggests, what voters think they're signing off on with a big new government program can end up being very different from what they actually get. A program expands over the years, it morphs into a powerful interest group and becomes politically unstoppable despite harm done. The TVA might be compared to the kudzu vines it imported and urged farmers to plant for controlling erosion. Kudzu turned out to be among the most invasive weeds, growing a foot a day, a pest that is almost impossible to get rid of -- surviving fire and poison, and often reappearing after it was thought to be gone.
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James M. Mulcahy| 1.13.09 @ 7:24AM
It is even worse than the author states. FDR promised electricity rates under, I believe, tens cent per kWh. The engineers and accountants said that they couldn't get rates that low and still cover costs. FDR said, "try again." Still, no go. FDR then decided to transfer a portion of the costs to the Corps of Engineers budget, calling it flood control or some such thing. By doing this he was able to get rates below his ten cents per kWh campaign promise.
Deborah| 1.13.09 @ 8:02AM
Sigh...Those who do not learn from history are doomed to repeat it. Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again expecting different results. There's a moral in there somewhere.
David| 1.13.09 @ 8:33AM
I remember learning about the TVA in back in high school history, and there was no mention of these failures. I also remember hearing about the sludge spill around Christmas on NPR. They never mentioned it was a TVA facility. Not while I was listening, anyway. I should have known. Government, ironically, can't RUN things.
DJ| 1.13.09 @ 9:54AM
Mr. Powell does a fair job of recording the darkest aspects of the TVA's history, and if his goal was merely to cast doubt on this grand socialist experiment, then he succeeded in stating the obvious. If, however, Mr. Powell intended to promote that self-evident truth that expanding government cannot solve everyone's problems, he should have ended the article with a reference to the bastardization of real conservative values under the Bush administration and politically driven attempts to emasculate the market.
Marc Jeric| 1.13.09 @ 4:43PM
Mr. Powell is right in everything he says; except he forgets that the TVA workforce is 100/% unionized. They had a fire at their Browns Ferry nuclear power unit that resulted in hundreds of new and mainly unnecessary regulations that doubled and tripled the cost of new and existing nuclear power plants. How did that fire happened?
1) The uclear Regulatory Commission asked the TVA to perform a useless task of measuring the air flow between various rooms in the plant;
2) The union workers used the simple means of determining the air flows among rooms by placing burning candles in the wall openings;
3) When the union rules dictated the lunch break, one worker left his burning candle below the perforated metal tray carrying electrical cables from room to room;
4) the candle caused burning of cable insulation and the subsequent shutdown of the plant.
5) Instead of firing that careless union worker, the NRC and TVA imposed new regulations, the large majority of which had no influence on safety.
As an example of that assault on nuclear power industry, a 2-unit nuclear power for which I was the Project Engineer had to increase the number of instrumentation cables from 15,000 to 33,000. Its completion schedule had to be extended by 8 years, and its cost doubled.
There you go, TVA - a good example of union power!
Ernest Norsworthy| 1.13.09 @ 8:06PM
Mr. Powell takes a more scholarly approach to chastising the TVA, me, it is one blast after another. I have written several articles about the TVA (see http://norsworthyopinion.com ); I have pledged to write a book about that most anomalous creature of the U.S. Constitution but hardly have time to take a breath before TVA messes up big time, over and over.
I was unaware of the du Pont involvement in the munitions plant at Muscle Shoals; I have been enlightened by Amity Shlaes’ book “The Forgotten Man”. Her book lays out a good case against the TVA.
The basic issue is whether the American people want a socialist-driven economy or the one on which the country was founded – free enterprise and limited government. It is not yet clear to me which they seek the most. An Obama presidency might push too much to the left and if so, Americans might come to their senses.
Ernest Norsworthy
Visalia, California
emnorsworthy@earthlink.net
http://norsworthyopinion.com
Jerry Doomsberry| 1.14.09 @ 9:40AM
Crying crocodile tears over how much money TVA lost? I bet you that what the Wallstreet guys lost in 2008 dwarfs in comparison losses any public project generated EVER (not counting public funding for Iraq mission)
Deborah| 1.14.09 @ 9:43AM
No one's crying, just getting the facts out to folks like you who tend to see only what they want to see.
RAC| 1.17.09 @ 12:35PM
This is an ill-thought-out article about TVA that cites economic studies that are tainted with no reality. The facts are that the TVA area would never have developed to the extent that we see today without TVA. To compare development with nearby states is not relevant. It’s what would have been without TVA, plain and simple
Michele San Pietro| 1.20.09 @ 3:41PM
Although I have always preferred Republicans in U.S. politics, my opinion about Roosevelt's new deal certainly isn't completely negative: there was actually a serious crisis back then, and there was something that had to be done in order to get over it. But the current America needs no new deal, nor Obama intends to introduce one.
RAC| 1.21.09 @ 3:44PM
What planet are you on? We are in a Depression. This is NOT a recession. The true number of people unemplyed is easily double the official number and 11 miilion people are on the verge of forecolsure. The stock market is down about 40 % and people are struggling to hang on everywhere. Wake up America. We need to buckle down, spend some money, and get the economy going again. A little hurt now is better than a total breakdown later.
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