By George H. Wittman on 12.19.08 @ 6:06AM
A diplomatic coup in the age of climate change.
Poland has begun to exercise unexpected leadership in at least
one area of European affairs. In October Prime Minister Donald
Tusk successfully challenged both France's President Nicolas
Sarkozy and the president of the European Commission, Jose Manuel
Barroso, on the subject of reducing Europe's green house gas
emissions.
With 94% of its electricity generated by coal furnaces Poland is
highly dependent on its cheap coal resources. Agreeing to
Sarkozy's original plan to cut carbon dioxide emissions by 20%
from 1990 levels by 2020 included a requirement that all
utilities would purchase and sell permits for the uncontrolled
emissions through a public auction.
To the surprise of many, both Germany and Italy quickly followed
the Polish lead in blocking the EU Commission plan to have
Warsaw, among others, forced into the considerable expense of
obtaining the permits in this manner.
Under the new agreement, coal-dependent countries will be sharing
in the revenue produced in permit sales to non-exempt countries.
With this stimulus it is expected that technologically backward
nations will be assisted financially to invest in clean
technology. Poland is estimated to receive 15 billion euros
during the period of 2013 and 2020 when the agreement goes into
effect.
It appears incontestable that PM Donald Tusk in one year has led
Poland in a successful effort to patch up relations with the
European Union in general and Germany in particular. The really
striking bit of diplomatic sleight-of-hand was in building a
bridge to improved contacts with Russia. And all of this has been
accomplished at the same time as maintaining a special
relationship with the United States.
Using France's turn at the rotating presidency of the EU as a
chance to enhance his status as a European leader, Nicolas
Sarkozy had placed all his cards on the issue of attaining
agreement on guiding the world in establishing climate change
targets. It was the moment for Sarkozy to shine in partnership
with the EU Commission head, Barroso. Armed with his
indefatigable energy, Sarkozy used the old Gaullist ploy of
finding something to lead -- no matter what it was -- and
charging forward.
Unfortunately for the French president, the Poles, along with the
global financial crisis, got in the way. The original impetus of
the Sarkozy plan was sidetracked by the need to acquiesce to
Poland's insistence on a special status due to its far greater
disadvantages in generating electricity. The Germans, for their
own manufacturing interests, jumped in supporting the Poles.
Meanwhile, the left wing of the European Parliament decided the
original plan was not going to be effective fast enough to suit
their green interest.
Thus the Polish prime minister with the help of the new improved
German relationship saved the day for his and other countries'
interests. While most European commentators hesitate to credit
the Polish action as a masterstroke, the fact is that Donald Tusk
saved Sarkozy's face and perhaps even his political future by
allowing him the public victory that culminated in the final
agreement last weekend. The timing was perfect; it allowed the
French president to return as a hero to the immediate and real
problems affecting the French economy.
Whatever difficulties Poland continues to face economically and
politically in relation to its European neighbors, Donald Tusk
and his diligent foreign economic and political team have
succeeded in pushing their even harder-working nation to a
primary role within the EU. This is no small feat among their
traditionally powerful western neighbors. (Poland is second among
EU countries in amount of per capita hours worked per week.)
The days of backward-looking leadership of the Kaczynski twins
appears to be heading for the dustbin of history as only Lech,
the president, remains in office, with limited power. More
importantly is the growth of influence of this principal Western
Slavic nation in European affairs -- an accomplishment that
clearly is contrary to Russian proprietary interests in Eastern
Europe.
There is a special relationship between the United States and
Poland that goes back to the support given during the American
Revolution. This relationship showed once again with the Polish
combat contingents sent in response to U.S. requests for
assistance in Iraq and Afghanistan.
As much as Nicolas Sarkozy and Jose Manuel Barroso see a European
entente on a climate pact as a possible global guide, the rise of
the fiercely democratic and hardworking Poland as increasingly
influential in European Union affairs is of considerable
importance to the United States. It's good to remember who your
friends are!
topics:
Global Warming