By Joseph Lawler on 10.9.08 @ 12:07AM
Legal minds know better than anyone what clamping down on Wall
Street will mean.
"Deregulation" has become a dirty word for politicians to sling
at each other, much like "dishonorable" or "corrupt" -- as
evidenced by Obama's use of the term to vilify John McCain at
Tuesday night's debate. The polls reflect that voters are
becoming disenchanted with the "fundamentally-a-deregulator"
McCain and, rightly or wrongly, the free-market brand of
economics. Financiers now appear too greedy and rapacious to
state their own case, so perhaps legal experts can best shed
light on the perils of overregulation.
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi
submitted the most rancorous denunciation of pro-market
regulation immediately before the first, failed, bailout bill
vote. But Pelosi should have first learned that government
oversight also had a hand in the market's downfall. John Berlau,
the director of the Center for Entrepreneurship at the
Competitive Enterprise Institute, explained to TAS that
strict regulation leads to a "check the box mentality," which
caused financiers to "be overly cautious in the wrong areas."
Berlau noted the example of Countrywide Financial, which he said
was the "poster child in obeying regulations" before its eventual
collapse and fire-sale to Bank of America. The problem, he said,
was their strategy often hinged on "avoiding being sued as
opposed to creating value for shareholders."
Even more immediately damaging, Berlau added, was the requirement
of mark-to-market accounting for banks. This practice requires
accountants to write down assets to the price they are currently
selling for on the market, regardless of the underlying value of
the instrument. "You could say that mark-to-market created a
lawyer/accountant based contagion," he asserted.
Financial firms already face constricting regulatory hurdles. Ted
Frank, a legal expert at the American Enterprise Institute,
explained by email, "We now have stronger disclosure controls
than any time in history thanks to Sarbanes-Oxley, yet the credit
crunch happened anyway." He pointed out that hedge funds, which
are not subject to Sarbanes-Oxley (the regulations
passed in reaction to the Enron scandal of 2001), have fared
better than investment and commercial banks.
APART FROM the economic costs imposed by these regulations gone
awry, the explicit legal costs of regulations already on the
books are high. The Office of Federal Housing Enterprise
Oversight (OFHEO) alone, which was created specifically to
oversee Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, had a $66 million budget for
the 2008 fiscal year, and over 230 employees. We now know that
money wasn't well spent, even by government standards.
The OFHEO is just one small entity among a host of federal and
state regulators with overlapping oversight and poorly defined
roles.
The Securities and Exchange Commission, the most important
regulatory body, might be overvalued as a regulator as well. As
D. Bruce Johnsen, a professor of law at George Mason University,
explained to TAS, the Investment Company Act of 1940,
which provided many of the standards for financial regulation,
granted the SEC blanket exemptive authority in matters of
oversight. The SEC used this authority to exempt companies with
legitimate cases against it. As a result, there has been no
development over time of common law guidelines through the usual
process of repeated litigation. Without a common law basis for
regulation, the SEC is left on its own to administer arbitrarily
to the enormous financial industry.
"Compare this to antitrust law, where litigation is routine,"
Johnsen added. "Over time [...] antitrust law has evolved toward
a set of reasonably clear and increasingly sane rules about what
firms can and can't do."
It's "increasingly sane rules" that current financial regulation
seems to be lacking.
IF, AS PELOSI SUGGESTS, the toothlessness of current financial
oversight is at fault, then what improvement can we expect from
new
Obama's
policies that stiffen capital requirements, reshuffle
agencies, or create an oversight committee to report on market
risks?
Walter Olson, senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute and editor
of the blog Overlawyered,
outlined some of the weaknesses of these new plans for
TAS. As for Obama's centralized oversight committee in
today's circumstances, "a cynic would say that that would just
have provided one more Washington voice for Fannie/Freddie and
their friends to buy off or neutralize," Olson noted.
Even less viable is Obama's plan to have the Fed oversee any firm
it might later be called on to help in a liquidity crisis. "So is
this a blank check to regulate any entity that (undisprovably!)
'might' later ask for a bailout?" Olson wondered.
One such proposal failed to make it into the provisions of the
bailout bill, but could pass in a separate bill or, in one form
or another, under the next presidential administration: allowing
bankruptcy courts to restructure the terms of home mortgages.
According to Ted Frank, such a practice would create "tremendous
litigation expenses, since adverse parties would have to battle
for the judge's favor over how to value the underlying real
estate asset."
More generally, Frank is fearful of overzealous prosecution by
regulators. He gave as an example the Bear Stearns executives who
merely "incorrectly rejected pessimistic speculation about the
future of funds that ended up crashing," but now face allegations
of fraud.
He predicted, "Down the road, we can expect to see other
scapegoats." Spitzerism, anyone?
Professor Johnsen sees widespread problems with some of the
proposed regulations on lending and borrowing. He noted that the
art of "financial engineering" is advanced enough to circumvent
the most complicated set of rules. "One can prohibit borrowing,
but a good MBA student can figure out how to arrange puts and
calls to create the same payout structure as borrowing. If done
carefully, the firm is able to borrow without looking like it is
borrowing." The government has better things to do than playing
these games with Ivy League grads.
Scapegoating deregulation might be politically expedient, but
winning the election isn't as important as the future of the
economy. Increasing government oversight of financial markets and
imposing stringent capital requirements will result in more
deadweight offices like the OFHEO, and financial instruments even
more complicated than the ones at the heart of the current
crisis. In this climate, any sensible regulatory policy is likely
to get thrown under the bus.
topics:
John McCain, Nancy Pelosi, Economics, Books, Law