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Give me abundant, clean, reliable, and cheap electrons and I will give you a world that can continue to grow without triggering unmanageable climate change….Give me abundant, clean, reliable, and cheap electrons, and I will put every petrodictator out of business. Give me abundant, clean, reliable and cheap electrons, and I will end deforestation from communities desperate for fuel and I will eliminate any reason to drill in Mother Nature’s environmental cathedrals.br> Unfortunately, he confesses, “no one has yet come up with a source of electrons that meets all four criteria: abundant, clean, reliable, and cheap.” But that doesn’t mean it can’t be done! br>
[I]t is precisely [this] kind of innovation we need to be, and can be, stimulating right now to overcome the technological barriers that prevent existing wind and solar systems from being cheap, abundant, and reliable — today. The way to stimulate this kind of innovation…is by generous tax incentives, regulatory incentives, renewable energy mandates, and other market-shaping mechanisms that create durable demand for these existing clean power technologies…..That kind of [progress] will come about only if government uses its power to set prices, regulations, and standards to reshape the energy market and force utilities and other big players to either innovate or die. [Emphasis added.]br> So there you have it. Friedman really doesn’t like markets at all. What he likes is government manipulation of markets forcing people to adopt technology. Only a collection of carrots and sticks can goad this dumb donkey-cart of an energy economy onto the proper pathway.
In case you haven’t noticed, it’s already happening. You would be amazed at the number of windmill and solar projects popping up all over the country in response to the maze of federal and state mandates and incentives, to push us in that direction. None of these projects make sense economically and none will ever produce much useful energy, but what else are government mandates for?
WHAT FRIEDMAN DOESN’T understand is that markets are a network of information. They inform us, in rapid and uncompromising fashion, about the availability of resources and the rewards for turning them to specific uses. Windmills and solar collectors remain a very bad investment for one reason — they produce very little useful electricity. As an example it is only necessary to note Friedman’s sorrowful history of First Solar (“Read it and weep!”), an Ohio company that invented thin photovoltaic films to capture solar energy on buildings. Although the company was funded at one point by John Walton, it eventually relocated to Germany in order to take advantage of a German law that forces utilities to buy solar electricity from any provider at a government-fixed price. “That is a no-brainer,” exuded Mike Ahearn, First Solar’s CEO.
But a no-brainer for whom? When we finally get down to details, it turns out that First Solar’s annual production target is 25 megawatts worth of electricity. The average coal or nuclear plant now produces 1,000 MW and the newer ones get 1500 MW. It would take more than a hundred square miles of First Solar cells to match the output of the average power plant. The market is telling us that solar and wind are hideously expensive and then don’t produce much electricity anyway. Every time the wind dies down or the sun goes behind a cloud the power goes out.
Of course that doesn’t mean that Americans won’t indulge in such folly. Late last month, Republican Governor Charlie Crist of Florida announced the cancellation of a 700-MW “clean coal” plant in favor of 10 MW of thermal solar power. The installation is supposed to expand to 300 MW at some point, although “a site has not yet been chosen.”
The uniform disadvantage of all forms of solar energy is that they must consume vast, almost unthinkable, amounts of land. Biofuels suddenly tanked last winter when it was recognized that they are consuming one-third of America’s corn crop, leveling whole tropical forests, and causing a world food shortage — all to replace 3 percent of our oil supply. In fact, the only technology that can match fossil fuels while creating far less environmental disruption is nuclear power.
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Mort| 1.26.09 @ 10:56PM
http://spectator.org/archives/2008/10/06/the-greeening-of-thomas-friedm
Mr. Tucker -
Your condemnation of green, clean, and renewable energies may sound good for a short-term perspective, but you're missing the point. The energy revolution has to be the next big one. If we don't have an administration that gets serious about this, we're going to continue to wallow in greed and short-term profit objectives. We haven't put the incentives in place to attract adequate resources ($ and innovation) to be devoted to making clean, green, and renewable energies work on a large scale, and I'm including nuclear in this. The two minor details that you fail to address in you comments about nuclear energy are what do we do with the waste and how do we prevent terrorists from targeting these plants or stealing the energy for weapons. Your IQ doesn't have to be much higher than 70 to realize that our current energy model is inadvertently impoverishing us and the rest of the world. I'm not sure why you would want to fight an administration that wants to seriously encourage investments and innovations in these areas. Maybe we should wait for China or India to leapfrog us in these areas, while we maximize the ROI on our fossil-fuel based energy model.