Republicans concerned about maintaining a workable minority in
the Senate believe that several seats have been saved or
strengthened with the addition of Alaska Gov. Sarah
Palin. Those seats include Oregon, Minnesota, and New
Hampshire.
“We may be a bit more competitive in Colorado, but that is a
much tougher race,” says a GOP political consultant based in
California.
That Colorado seat features Democrat Mark Udall
against Republican Bob Schaffer. Udall has been
heavily favored. “Palin, though, makes Colorado more competitive
nationally with her appeal to rural voters and women,” says the
consultant. “We may lose the seat, but we may hold the state for
the presidential.”
A similar state may be Virginia, where Democrat Mark
Warner is expected to defeat former Gov. Jim
Gilmore. But as of mid- September, the McCain-Palin ticket
appeared to be turning the once rock-ribbed red state back from
purple to red. “Palin, assuming she holds up, has really
transformed the map,” says the consultant. “The Obama team has to
be pulling out their hair. States like Ohio and even Michigan are
now more in play if the Republicans can rally rural voters. You’re
even seeing places like upstate New York in play.”
Bad Experience
In selecting Sen. Joseph Biden as his running
mate, Sen. Barack Obama may have made the safe
pick, but according to several campaign insiders, Biden wasn’t
necessarily his first or even his personal choice. “He really
wanted [Kansas Gov. Kathleen] Sebelius,” says one
Obama insider with knowledge of the Democratic candidate’s vetting
process. “And if our European tour had played better here at home,
she might have been the pick.”
But, says the insider, the campaign’s internal polling indicated
what the public polling indicated— that Obama failed in his
European sojourn to build out his foreign policy credentials. “We
needed the foreign policy on the bottom of the ticket more than we
want to admit,” says the insider. Sebelius would have helped Obama
in several other ways domestically, particularly in the Midwest,
where her success as a moderate governor in a borderline red state
would have perhaps diluted his extreme leftist tendencies.
But beyond his failure to create the impression that he had any
foreign policy experience, Obama’s polling also indicated that
Sebelius’s presence on the ticket probably further damaged his
relationship with Hillary Clinton supporters. “We
have enough problems with them as it is. Putting Sebelius on the
bottom of the ticket would have been another stick in the eye,”
says another adviser.
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ruth| 4.13.10 @ 5:03AM
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