By Quin Hillyer on 9.25.08 @ 12:08AM
Another way to meet the crisis.
Why should we believe them?
Ben Bernanke and Hank Paulson, that is. What have they done to
earn our trust? Nothing they have done has seemed to work, and
their policies allowing the dollar to weaken drastically in recent
years quite arguably played a big role in causing the current
economic troubles.
But let's look at their crisis management.
First they bailed out Bear-Stearns. A very wise man who is "in
the know" told me about six weeks ago that all the government
should have done with Bear was to step in just long enough to stop
the panic, while continuing to work to try to help find a buyer
such as Bank of America -- but without putting taxpayers
on the hook as a backstop. If no buyer were found, the feds should
just have served as referee for an orderly liquidation. Let the
Chinese bond-holders soak up the losses. Work to strengthen the
dollar to make dollar-denominated assets more attractive. Cut
corporate taxes. Increase domestic energy production. And let the
markets work -- including letting them take the short-term hit from
the collapse of Bear.
By extrapolation, the feds should not have bailed out Fannie Mae
and Freddie Mac. (Deroy Murdock suggests what should have been done instead.)
Nor AIG. Nor the whole financial sector. The best analogy is to the
boy-with-finger-in-dike story, but with a twist. What our Lords of
Government Interference are doing is pulling concrete out of one
spot in the dike to fill another spot in the dike, then pulling
concrete out of a third spot to plug the second spot, and so on. It
just doesn't work.
What happens when you commit so much government money to a
bailout is that you make the government's own money less valuable.
With added federal debt, you get a weaker dollar. Hence, just days
after the bailout proposal was enacted, the prices of gold and oil
shot through the roof -- meaning that the overall economy is now in
even worse shape, completely counteracting any beneficial effects
of the intended bailout.
Neither of our presidential candidates is helping matters.
Barack Obama continues to insist on another "stimulus package." In
other words, the government should add even more debt on our
children in order to boost spending today -- and thus also keeping
pressure on consumer prices, which will have more reason to rise if
demand is high. This is proto-typical left-wing madness, from a
proto-typical left-wing ideologue.
Then there was John McCain's routine of flailing around like a
man in the midst of delirium tremens trying to play
pin-the-tail-on-the-scapegoat. Fire Chris Cox! Hire Andrew
Cuomo! Don't do the bailout but trust Paulson to do the right
thing! Greed and corruption! Malefactors of great wealth!
Green-eyed monsters are attacking our way of life!
Okay, he didn't really say that last part -- but, changing
metaphors, if McCain wants to make the case that he's as steady in
a crisis as John Wayne, why did he spend a week acting like Joe
Pesci?
UNFORTUNATELY, THERE IS NO silver bullet to kill this credit-crisis
monster. But there is a way immediately to bolster the overall
economy -- the economy that actually runs on real goods and
services, widgets and trucks and steel and overnight deliveries and
even haircuts and shoe-shines -- that might cost the Treasury less,
in the long term, than the massive bailout being proposed by the
Treasury Secretary.
Eliminate the corporate income tax. Immediately and permanently.
As I argued
months ago, the corporate income tax is a drain on profits, a drain
on the value of every old-age pension, a drain on the value of
every 401K plan, a drain on every union's employment-insurance
package, and a drain on the enforcement resources of the IRS. Sure,
the corporate income tax is supposed to bring in about $300 billion
this year. But that looks a lot less daunting in the face of
Paulson's proposed $700 billion bailout. And some of the Treasury's
loss from eliminating the tax would be made up by increased tax
receipts on the higher dividend payments that would result; some of
that (over time) would come in through substantially greater
capital gains tax receipts; some of that will be recouped through
non-inflationary downward pressure on interest rates (including the
rates the government itself pays on its debt), and some through
overall economic growth.
It also would encourage corporations to stop outsourcing jobs to
foreign lands and bring them back home.
Plus, in a facet of this that should appeal to McCain, it would
eliminate the need for half the lobbying in the nation's Capitol --
because without a corporate income tax, there would be no need for
lobbying for special corporate tax advantages. It would be the
single best reform measure, from McCain's standpoint, that could be
imagined.
Finally, the psychological boost it would give the entire
corporate community would probably be substantial enough to stop
any panic in its tracks. If every company that is not a
purely financial outfit suddenly can keep the remaining 35 percent
of its profits, the ripple effect -- or tidal effect -- throughout
the markets might be great enough to give everybody confidence,
even the lenders and the traders of derivatives and all that other
tommyrot.
GRANTED, THE UNDERLYING problems in the financial sector would
still be there, or at least would be there until the housing market
stabilized. Bad loans and credit-default swaps (or whatever they're
called: I'll admit to being a bit mystified by the more exotic
specimens of debt trading) would still be bad. A lot of people
would still be forced to pay the piper.
But the rest of the economy would be far more likely to be
strong enough to absorb the losses.
In the long run, meanwhile, a strong and stable dollar will do
more good, by attracting increased investment, than will any
artificial effort to prop up the financial system with tax dollars
and long-term government debt.
Again, this is not to suggest that eliminating the corporate
income tax is all that needs doing in order to stabilize this shaky
economy. Congressmen Paul Ryan and Jeb Hensarling and their
colleagues on the House Republican Study Committee have a number of
good ideas. So does Chairman Thaddeus McCotter of the House Republican Policy
Committee. But the elimination of the corporate income tax is a
simple way to cut the Gordian Knot in one quick motion; and by the
standards of everything else being discussed these days, it is
comparatively quite affordable.
To avoid the fallout from the bailout -- a bailout that is a
philosophical sell-out -- take the corporate income tax and throw
it out. Now.
topics:
Taxes, Trade, John McCain, Barack Obama, Hank Paulson, Ben Bernanke, Energy, Oil